snowman19 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Call me the crazy one, but I think this is your storm guys. The nyc forum is convinced this is going to keep coming north, but I think this trends south by game time. 1) models underdoing the cold push/arctic high pressure as they have all winter. 2) the trend of these events as of late to start north then trend south as we get closer. I think you guys are good to go with this one, this is a south of nyc event imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 just spit out my water all on my screen, seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'll say one thing....tracking rain to snow is a hell of a lot more fun that snow to rain like last Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Would really love Matt to come on with more statements about the euro being a stone cold snow assassin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Slower than GFS with flip around DC... 0C 850 Leesburg to Balt or so at 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Call me the crazy one, but I think this is your storm guys. The nyc forum is convinced this is going to keep coming north, but I think this trends south by game time. 1) models underdoing the cold push/arctic high pressure as they have all winter. 2) the trend of these events as of late to start north then trend south as we get closer. I think you guys are good to go with this one, this is a south of nyc event imo well ****, now that we have the blessing of this poster from NY -- LETS DO THIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'll say one thing....tracking rain to snow is a hell of a lot more fun that snow to rain like last SaturdayMy 9" of actual already fallen snow was pretty nice I must say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro probably flips DC around 3am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Good stuff pushes in/thru during the sunrise period. Plenty cold at sfc by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwgNAS Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Good stuff pushes in/thru during the sunrise period. Plenty cold at sfc by then. Good time for OPM to close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 It looks like there's not much rain before the rippage on the 12z EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 0.4-0.5+ after the flip for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Solid.. drier than GFS but probably 3-6 or so around DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'll say one thing....tracking rain to snow is a hell of a lot more fun that snow to rain like last SaturdayWaiting for changeover that is later than progged or never occurs will make you wish it was 15 degrees to start with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro must have a dry bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro has been dry on qpf lately and it is dry compared to other models again on this event, even with pre flip rainage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 well ****, now that we have the blessing of this poster from NY -- LETS DO THIS He just gave us this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro not as QPFie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Solid.. drier than GFS but probably 3-6 or so around DC area. That's my take on it, still more like the GFS than the NAM in terms of timing. Just finished an article on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 With the sun angle in the day...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro must have a dry bias It has been drier than other models lately...not sure how it's been verifying tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro was wayyyy to dry for BWI yesterday like .25" forecast vs. reality of .61" since it is usually conservative on qpf, those numbers look fine for now with a decent chance at reality being more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Call me the crazy one, but I think this is your storm guys. The nyc forum is convinced this is going to keep coming north, but I think this trends south by game time. 1) models underdoing the cold push/arctic high pressure as they have all winter. 2) the trend of these events as of late to start north then trend south as we get closer. I think you guys are good to go with this one, this is a south of nyc event imo 1. They have not. 2. Not one storm all year like this one. Comparisons won't work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I want to lock in 3 as my over/under for this storm. Kinda been lucky in getting just enough in each event or catching bands to be the leader in snow around here. Don't need much to get to 30 for back to back years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro is constantly ruining our day:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 That's my take on it, still more like the GFS than the NAM in terms of timing. Just finished an article on it. Seems to be about where our high end events settle this winter (IMBY) too. Both Euro/GFS pretty much done by 1p so not a ton of time hard to get a lot more maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 1. They have not. 2. Not one storm all year like this one. Comparisons won't work. Every forum believes a storm will trend their way. lol...no need to keep mentioning it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Nice to see the models that flip later still deliver a solid shot just like the ones that flip earlier. Things are getting tight. Widespread 3-6" still seems like a good # with some upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro looks like 4-7" region wide, assuming maybe an average of 8 to 1 rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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