Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Maybe so... but that is what I am expecting to happen. I hate that sarcasm is lost in posts. nah, this one is in the bag. It's just a matter of how much. I like 4-8" with some lucky f'ers getting 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 nah, this one is in the bag. It's just a matter of how much. I like 4-8" with some lucky f'ers getting 10". seems like this event might be similar to the 2/21 one, except we end as snow instead of rain. if we do end up getting around 0.50" of qpf that's all snow then that would make for a quality send-off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I do not think you are correct about this, it's not that you are ignorant but simply incorrect. The cold air will in fact be coming in and changing the rain to snow. touche....but it is precisely the opposite of the situation where precip is outrunning the cold air push. The thump "waits" for the cold sector to arrive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 CTP just went with winter storm watches to the north, not too long for LWX probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yeah, I'd wait till Thursday around noon for that kind of language. Whenever NWS plays catchup we cash in. Whenever they sound the alarm early we bust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yoda, where are you with the WSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Using the meteocentre maps for the 12z runs, here's roughly how much falls as snow imby: NAM 0.47" GFS 0.87" GGEM 0.91" UKMET 0.87" Euro 0.85" Looks good for about 7-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yoda, where are you with the WSW? When it comes out, I will C and P it 15z SREFs mean at DCA is between 5" and 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 DT 6 to 10 in DC. First call. He discounts the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 DT 6 to 10 in DC. First call. He discounts the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 DT 6 to 10 in DC. First call. He discounts the nam. When first call is really the 2nd or 3rd call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 some lucky f'ers getting 10". Hi. And to make this non-banter, I'll just say the GEFS has 0.75"+ of liquid for most of us after 6z Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Hi. And to make this non-banter, I'll just say the GEFS has 0.75"+ of liquid for most of us after 6z Thursday. That's pretty impressive. They are mid-range ensembles though right? Probably not much use after the 00z runs tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 WxBell UKMET weenie snow map shows 10" region-wide, with 11-12" M/D line through NE MD up to Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 WxBell UKMET weenie snow map shows 10" region-wide, with 11-12" M/D line through NE MD up to Philly. Can you post it please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 That's pretty impressive. They are mid-range ensembles though right? Probably not much use after the 00z runs tonight? Old rule-of-thumb I heard was to favor the Op within 72hrs. The GEFS now run on the resolution of the old Op, so I would think that makes them a little more useful at shorter time ranges. I'd still favor the Op either way at this ~36-48hr window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Try again Warrior Bigfoot. Just got a big box with a tiny blue box inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 oo! pick me! pick me! We are in the DT teardrop of 10". Booked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 WxBell UKMET weenie snow map shows 10" region-wide, with 11-12" M/D line through NE MD up to Philly. That's the no-mixing/extreme back end ratio wish cast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Did this work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC250 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015DCZ001-MDZ004>006-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ053-054-505-506-040400-/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0005.150305T0000Z-150306T0000Z//O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-150304T0300Z/DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY-NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD-SOUTHEAST HARFORD-FAIRFAX-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...PARKTON...REISTERSTOWN...COCKEYSVILLE...BALTIMORE...DUNDALK...CATONSVILLE...ANNAPOLIS...GERMANTOWN...DAMASCUS...ROCKVILLE...LISBON...COLUMBIA...ELLICOTT CITY...JARRETTSVILLE...ABERDEEN...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...PURCELLVILLE...LEESBURG...ASHBURN250 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THISEVENING......WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGHTHURSDAY EVENING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAYEVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.* LOCATIONS...THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAS.* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN AND SOME SLEET TODAY. SNOW... HEAVY AT TIMES...WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A GLAZE WITHIN THE METRO AREAS TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH NEAR THE MASON DIXON LINE.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR 5 OR MORE INCHES.* TIMING...ICING THROUGH SUNDOWN. RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...ROADS MAY BECOME ICY LATE TODAY...MORE LIKELY NORTH OF WASHINGTON DC. ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED WITH VISIBILITY REDUCED TO NEAR ONE-QUARTER MILE AT TIMES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. TRAVELING POTENTIALLY WILL BE DANGEROUS.* WINDS...SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH TODAY. NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.* TEMPERATURES...NEAR 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Did this work? ukmet_snow_harrisburg_73.png Yes thank you very much. Sweet looking map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC250 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015MDZ501-502-VAZ026>031-040-052-501-503-504-507-WVZ050-055-501>506-040400-/O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0005.150305T0000Z-150306T0000Z/EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-RAPPAHANNOCK-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN HIGHLAND-EASTERN HIGHLAND-NORTHERN VA BLUE RIDGE-HAMPSHIRE-HARDY-WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FROSTBURG...CUMBERLAND...HARRISONBURG...WINCHESTER...FRONT ROYAL...WASHINGTON...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...WARRENTON...HIGHTOWN...MONTEREY...BIG MEADOWS...MOOREFIELD...BAYARD...MOUNT STORM...PETERSBURG...ELK GARDEN...KEYSER...FORT ASHBY...CIRCLEVILLE...FRANKLIN250 PM EST TUE MAR 3 2015...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGHTHURSDAY EVENING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAYEVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.* LOCATIONS...POTOMAC HIGHLANDS AND THE NORTHERN SHENANDOAHVALLEY.* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.* TIMING...RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW MAY BEHEAVY AT TIMES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED WITH VISIBILITY REDUCED TONEAR ONE-QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. TRAVELING POTENTIALLY WILL BEDANGEROUS.* WINDS... NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.* TEMPERATURES...25 TO 30 DEGREES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.&&$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishStorm Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Is a flood watch a possibility with this for tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Is a flood watch a possibility with this for tomorrow? We won't flood with <1" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 FAIL BY YODA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishStorm Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Melting snowpack? We won't flood with <1" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 FAIL BY YODA Yoda inspired. Just like all snow walks are inspired by Jebman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 thank goodness we got the watch nonsense out of the way. it will keep the Nervous weenies from bringing it up every 12 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 FAIL BY YODA He was overly "interested" while reading it, and got side-tracked. (Sorry Yoda...all in jest though! ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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