StudentOfClimatology Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 DC flips to frozen at 11z on the GGEM w/ plenty of QPF to go. At least 0.75" frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 48 and 54 are rockin' on the 12z GGEM ETA: And 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z NAM cobb output for Westminster flip to snow by 10z, .59 qpf after that, ~6" snow not terrible even for the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yeah, GGEM is Crush, Kill, Destroy. Out to 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Later flip than the GFS, but frozen QPF is similar. Looks like DCA flips to sleet around 10-11z then flips to snow around 14-15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 From hr 36 to 60, 24 hr QPF on 12z GGEM is almost 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z NAM cobb output for Westminster flip to snow by 10z, .59 qpf after that, ~6" snow not terrible even for the NAM I saw that earlier. North of Baltimore is a solid 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Right or wrong, gfs has been steadfast with the earliest flip. Seeing it bump even earlier today is interesting but also in the face of other guidance (for now). This is a good test for the model to see what kind of bias it may have in a particular setup. I personally think the new gfs is a good bit better than the old one inside of 3-4 days but like others have said, the early flip is suspect. What is the warm layer wet bulb temp at 09Z? I'm waiting for twister and its taking too long. I guess I could go to the ARl site but am too lazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Later flip than the GFS, but frozen QPF is similar. Looks like DCA flips to sleet around 10-11z then flips to snow around 14-15z. The cool part with the global guidance this storm is the later flips haven't been different with impact. It looks like either way you shake it we are going to get hit. I don't care if it's early or late, just paste the region and I'll bump my winter rating to 8/10 (I rate winter on temps almost equally with snow. The bay freezing big time in Feb is wild) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 What is the warm layer wet bulb temp at 09Z? I'm waiting for twister and its taking too long. I guess I could go to the ARl site but am too lazy. -.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z GGEM 10:1: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 What is the warm layer wet bulb temp at 09Z? I'm waiting for twister and its taking too long. I guess I could go to the ARl site but am too lazy. I believe this is DCA or very close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Need soundings for 42-60... but QPF is alot (like 35mm?) 12z UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Wes, this is dca. I'm a rookie @ cod site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Wes, this is dca. I'm a rookie @ cod site you can click anywhere on the map to get a sounding -- but then you can put in KDCA, KIAD, KBWI and then update. For Westminster I have to put in a lat/long or click very close to westminsters location for its sounding to show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z UKIE is ~30mm of snow.... wow... crushes us after 12z http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Washington&mod=ukmet&run=12&var=std〈=en&map=us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 LOL crazy uncle UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z UKIE is ~30mm of snow.... wow http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Washington&mod=ukmet&run=12&var=std〈=en&map=us LOL crazy uncle UKMET wouldn't it be funny of that Euro maps from a week ago ended up verifying.....we're getting there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k94 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 UKMET for DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 PBZ just put up WSWatches... 6"+ Garrett County fyi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Most of you will like it :-) Not updating yet for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z suite looks great thus far. What a steady improvement over the past few runs of ukmet not even necessarily with changeover time but when the incredible rates move in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Inside of 48 and trend towards a major snowstorm. I'm staying up for the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12z UKIE is ~30mm of snow.... wow... crushes us after 12z http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Washington&mod=ukmet&run=12&var=std&lang=en&map=us what..30mm? typo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 what..30mm? typo? Nope 12" for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 what..30mm? typo? Not a typo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 don't look..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.