Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 NAMMED.pngMight not be snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Matt has the right approach. The mets are telling us forecast soundings are better than forecast thicknees. Forecast snow maps three days out are good for wrapping fish heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 That nam sounding is hideous. It sure is! Hopefully, just a case of the NAM yakking up a hairball at 18Z. And that's one nasty hairball. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Who cares...they're snow maps..there are like 20 posts looking at soundings and describing the uncertainty across the region as to precip type. The sleet will give a nice base layer for the snow here. I think everyone needs to come to the realization that we will probably have a period of sleet especially near DC. 2-4/3-5 is still on track it appears. I just want big rates - I hate 6 hours of light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Might not be snow I would pay money to see 6" of sleet. One more experience for the extreme run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Matt has the right approach. The mets are telling us forecast soundings are better than forecast thicknees. Forecast snow maps three days out are good for wrapping fish heads. are useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Might not be snow anything frozen at the surface with that foul sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I would pay money to see 6" of sleet. One more experience for the extreme run. at 3:1 ratios you'd just need about 2" of liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Here's a full list: -more snow city folk always have an overblown sense of how great it is to live in the city tons of great places to eat out this way, never need to stress over parking, and we have taxation with representation plus, we can come and go to/from the city as we please the only dc proper envy i have is recently semi legal green stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Matt has the right approach. The mets are telling us forecast soundings are better than forecast thicknees. Forecast snow maps three days out are good for wrapping fish heads.Yoda's PBP of 21z SREF is going to be huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Matt has the right approach. The mets are telling us forecast soundings are better than forecast thicknees. Forecast snow maps three days out are good for wrapping fish heads. Or lining a litter box? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Might not be snow anything frozen at the surface with that foul sounding. Ian's aware of that. I was posting it to make fun of it. Maybe it is right, and DCA will have a 9z 850mb temp of +10.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Anyone have soundings for cape may? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 What blasts thru here late Wednesday will have dynamics equal to the Saturday evening plastering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Yoda's PBP of 21z SREF is going to be huge. I'm interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwgNAS Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The sleet will give a nice base layer for the snow here. I think everyone needs to come to the realization that we will probably have a period of sleet especially near DC. 2-4/3-5 is still on track it appears. I just want big rates - I hate 6 hours of light snow. Just makes it easier for the snow to stick to absolutely everything when it does come down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 city folk always have an overblown sense of how great it is to live in the city tons of great places to eat out this way, never need to stress over parking, and we have taxation with representation plus, we can come and go to/from the city as we please the only dc proper envy i have is recently semi legal green stuff I don't know why you care about the greenery you sit around and smoke it all day anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 What blasts thru here late Wednesday will have dynamics equal to the Saturday evening plastering. so I'm going to get 50 mph gusts and 2.5" of snow in 90 minutes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Still can't get over the idea of northwest Mississippi and Memphis getting a foot of snow. They have horrid snow climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 city folk always have an overblown sense of how great it is to live in the city tons of great places to eat out this way, never need to stress over parking, and we have taxation with representation plus, we can come and go to/from the city as we please the only dc proper envy i have is recently semi legal green stuff I grew up in two towns of less than 5,000 and one less than 20,000 so I know the city isn't the greatest thing ever. Tho if I wanted to live in not the city it may not be this area.. Jobs are good though. I kinda like the 80 dew point obs too.. Ain't getting that in Manchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwgNAS Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Hmmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I grew up in two towns of less than 5,000 and one less than 20,000 so I know the city isn't the greatest thing ever. Tho if I wanted to live in not the city it may not be this area.. Jobs are good though. I kinda like the 80 dew point obs too.. Ain't getting that in Manchester. In a perfect world with high speed rail, I'd live in Northern Maryland probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Ian's aware of that. I was posting it to make fun of it. Maybe it is right, and DCA will have a 9z 850mb temp of +10.1 Next run it might miss us to the south too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 In a perfect world with high speed rail, I'd live in Northern Maryland probably. you'd be surprised by the number of people that already do just that with the Marc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 you'd be surprised by the number of people that already do just that with the Marc. Keyphrase: High speed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 What blasts thru here late Wednesday will have dynamics equal to the Saturday evening plastering. Deep moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Questsnow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Hmmmm. Hi! Sorry, I was just wondering, are those the NWS forecasts? It seems like they follow CWA boundaries. I didn't know they made specific snow accumulation forecasts this far in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwgNAS Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Hi! Sorry, I was just wondering, are those the NWS forecasts? It seems like they follow CWA boundaries. I didn't know they made specific snow accumulation forecasts this far in advance. That is precisely why I entitled the post "Hmmm". I don't know who issues those forecasts, but I know those maps aren't model generated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 What is the NDFD?As the foundation of the NWS Digital Services Program, the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) consists of gridded forecasts of sensible weather elements (e.g., cloud cover, maximum temperature). NDFD contains a seamless mosaic of digital forecasts from NWS field offices working in collaboration with the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Hi! Sorry, I was just wondering, are those the NWS forecasts? It seems like they follow CWA boundaries. I didn't know they made specific snow accumulation forecasts this far in advance. Yes. My forecast is for snow/rain Wed night with 1-2". Snow likely on Thursday. But that period is too far out to give accums, so even tho thats when the bulk of the snow would fall, they dont give accum for that period. Basically that map is more worthless than a model total snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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