Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Finally got high res regional ukie stuff. It's the worst of the bunch for the corridor. 6" line runs central balt co-nw hoco/moco/jyo/okv. East of the fall line is 3". I'm around 4-5"+/-. DC doesn't flip until after 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Finally got high res regional ukie stuff. It's the worst of the bunch for the corridor. 6" line runs central balt co-nw hoco/moco/jyo/okv. East of the fall line is 3". I'm around 4-5"+/-. DC doesn't flip until after 7am. I guess it's a little concerning since we are inside the wheelhouse now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Finally got high res regional ukie stuff. It's the worst of the bunch for the corridor. 6" line runs central balt co-nw hoco/moco/jyo/okv. East of the fall line is 3". I'm around 4-5"+/-. DC doesn't flip until after 7am. So even the worst model gives me close to 6". Not to shabby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 So even the worst model gives me close to 6". Not to shabby. It's pretty wet like the other models just differs with timing of the airmass getting right. It's like 3 hours away from a pummeling. Still a good run but not far from a great outcome. I'm hugging the GFS/Euro either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 I'm hugging the GFS/Euro either way. I think we've got the "floor" potential pretty well set. I'd say ~2" for DC and 3" for Baltimore and the 'burbs appears to be the floor right now. Ceiling is still TBD, but I think a general 2-5" or 3-6" forecast is reasonable for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 So even the worst model gives me close to 6". Not to shabby. better check your map, you're east of that line Columbus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 better check your map, you're east of that line Columbus Lol, like maybe 3 miles. That is why i said close to 6" instead of 6". Well to make you happy, the worst model shows me with 5" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Prob the last useful run of the euro ens. Very supportive of a widespread 4-6" event. DCA/bwi/iad are all in the 5.5" mean snowfall contour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Prob the last useful run of the euro ens. Very supportive of a widespread 4-6" event. DCA/bwi/iad are all in the 5.5" mean snowfall contour. I'll take my 2-3 inches of snow and like it. It is March after all, anything more is super bonus. Been a really nice past 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Euro mean for DCA is 5" of weatherbell snow or so, increases as you go west and north (duh). Total QPF for the whole thing including the rain is between 1.2 and 1.4 (pretty uniform for the region). Not THAT much spread from what I can see. No insane 18" thumps in there..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 3-6 inches in March is like 1-3 in January. This is basically a the Jan 6 clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 3-6 inches in March is like 1-3 in January. This is basically a the Jan 6 clipper Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwgNAS Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 NAM is running... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 NAM is running... You better go catch it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 NAM seems a little faster with the cold press vs 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 NAM seems a little faster with the cold press vs 12z Why are you still crying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Whole orientation of the precip looks much more W-E this run as opposed to SW-NE....pretty big difference from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Why are you still crying? Can't change anything. Voodoo magic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Why are you still crying? Might be time to revert back...but don't want to jinx things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Since I went to the spring lightning bolt... we have gotten snow...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Might be time to revert back...but don't want to jinx things KEEP IT!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Got NAM'd, oh shiet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 NAM appears a bit north, no snow even in Kentucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 NAM timing is still much slower than the rest of the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 NAM is north. ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 North trend comes back to haunt us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 KEEP IT!!!!!! Yeah, cause NAM is a little too amped for us attm. But, it's the NAM...but we're still gonna have the usual panickers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wow it's quite a bit warmer lol. I cant say for sure that NAM is wrong. 40 degree variation 7:00am Thursday on SREF, yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Congrats SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Ugly run for us, big run for NYC. I'll be worried if the globals are on board with the NAM at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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