clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:18 PM, Bob Chill said: Hi res really rips between 15-21z in the cities Theres that Winchester to Westminster death Band showing up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:25 PM, stormtracker said: I don't mind talk about it. I'd never suggest banning talk of it. But this hand wringing over an outlier is kinda crazy. Where's the hand wringing? I've seen a few people make longish posts on things everyone knows about the NAM to disprove it mostly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:25 PM, clskinsfan said: Theres that Winchester to Westminster death Band showing up again. Nam is the north outlier. Rockville-Columbia. #seasonaltrend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Doug Kammerer first call map for dc nbc 4 is 5 to 8 inches from Fredericksburg Virginia up 95 to White Marsh north of Baltimore. Then strip of 8 + in northern Baltimore, Frederick, Carroll and far western Loudon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:18 PM, Bob Chill said: Hi res really rips between 15-21z in the cities Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:18 PM, Bob Chill said: Hi res really rips between 15-21z in the cities 28 inches...ill take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 verbatim, it's not like the NAM's are shutouts. Even for DCA, it would be 2-4", perhaps not well on the street, but snow nonetheless. Not that I care. I have been following models for a long time, and I know how bad the NAM can be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 18z RGEM 17-18mm Snow for DC, 3.5-4.0mm Sleet. General 6-9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:36 PM, NinjaWarrior2 said: 18z RGEM 17-18mm Snow for DC And ~3mm sleet in addition to that before flip to snow. http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Washington&mod=gemreg&run=18&var=prcp〈=en&map=us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:27 PM, Bob Chill said: Nam is the north outlier. Rockville-Columbia. #seasonaltrend HaHa! At least I find it highly unlikely that the rug will get pulled out from under any of us with this event. It is gonna snow. The only question is how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 At 30 hrs, 0c 850 line just west of the WV/VA border (7pm WED) 33 (10pm) crossing into NW VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:38 PM, clskinsfan said: HaHa! At least I find it highly unlikely that the rug will get pulled out from under any of us with this event. It is gonna snow. The only question is how much. Isn't that always the way of it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 At 36 0c 850 line crossing through DCA at 06z THUR (1am THUR morning) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:26 PM, Ian said: Where's the hand wringing? I've seen a few people make longish posts on things everyone knows about the NAM to disprove it mostly.im making it up. There's no hand wringing in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 9z looks like 25 and snow for DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Hr 39 should be snow for DCA... maybe some riming (0.3 at 750 is warmest layer in column) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GFS has a decent amount of more precip than euro between 6z and 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's possible the GFS is too cold...it is super cold...Have people noticed a cold bias with the new GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jb1979 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:44 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: It's possible the GFS is too cold...it is super cold...Have people noticed a cold bias with the new GFS? It's actually been too warm for most events this year within 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:44 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: It's possible the GFS is too cold...it is super cold...Have people noticed a cold bias with the new GFS? I've noticed the opposite to be honest. At least at the surface. Not sure about midlevels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 well..the GFS is a shellacking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:44 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: It's possible the GFS is too cold...it is super cold...Have people noticed a cold bias with the new GFS? 2mt yes... uncertain about air aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:44 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: It's possible the GFS is too cold...it is super cold...Have people noticed a cold bias with the new GFS? havent really seen it...it run warm last weekend i thought with the feb 22 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:45 PM, Bob Chill said: I've noticed the opposite to be honest. At least at the surface. Not sure about midlevels. cool..cause it has DCA at like 16 on Thursday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:44 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: It's possible the GFS is too cold...it is super cold...Have people noticed a cold bias with the new GFS? Yeah, but only post-truncation (180 hours). Daytime highs have also been running cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:44 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: It's possible the GFS is too cold...it is super cold...Have people noticed a cold bias with the new GFS? Possible... its 18 degrees in DCA at 10am (15z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:46 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: well..the GFS is a shellacking Stone cold snow assassin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane M. Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On 3/3/2015 at 9:46 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: well..the GFS is a shellacking It just keeps going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 6-8" everywhere. Another great run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's basically 12-14 hours of snow for DCA, so potentially a bit longer for some other areas...6-8"? for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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