clskinsfan Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 12Z NAM Cobb: MRB 3.2 DCA 1.8IAD 2.0 BWI 1.7 Edit: Hours 75 through 84 obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:43 PM, mitchnick said: addressing a lot of the concerns, "yes" a lot of things can go wrong, but the model consensus is for a decent hit areawide, as in north-south-east-west of the I95 corridor, more so than anything we've seen so far this year so relax as nobody can answer questions at this point as to which problems are the most likely Ignoring the last clause of your post, surely temps are the more likely problem than precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:46 PM, HighStakes said: I had 4 here but Westminster had close to 6. 5" here... nice for mid-March but nothing exceptional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 This run's gonna be big. Flip like 4z DC.. instant rippage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:49 PM, eurojosh said: Ignoring the last clause of your post, surely temps are the more likely problem than precip? can't answer that....the cold air could just as easily push the front through too fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:50 PM, Ian said: This run's gonna be big. Flip like 4z DC.. instant rippage. hberg nailed it. You could see it early. Juiced up and ready to rip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:43 PM, UVVmet84 said: Yeah it was good my way but barely. Cold and nice rates later in storm were cool for 3/17 It was nice in Arlington. Moderate-Heavy bands, fast accumulating flakes, and 8" on the ground in the morning. Even DCA recorded 7.2"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:48 PM, Ian said: That already happened.. https://twitter.com/islivingston/status/567704966148923392 On 3/2/2015 at 3:49 PM, clskinsfan said: 12Z NAM Cobb: MRB 3.2 DCA 1.8 IAD 2.0 BWI 1.7 Edit: Hours 75 through 84 obviously. westminster: 5.5" by hr84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 yeah huge hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Looks like switchover is a little before 4am on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GFS is a big hit. I wonder if some of us will have to worry about a warm layer at 750mb for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:50 PM, Ian said: This run's gonna be big. Flip like 4z DC.. instant rippage. damn..i'm way off...i was thinking 7/8z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Just lock this one or the 0z euro please. Big March snow is now normal in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:52 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: GFS is a big hit. I wonder if some of us will have to worry about a warm layer at 750mb for a while. What's your estimation for accumulations, I'm still at 63 hours? Or should I just post a snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:52 PM, stormtracker said: Looks like switchover is a little before 4am on the GFS 1am is probably all heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:52 PM, stormtracker said: damn..i'm way off...i was thinking 7/8z should be pretty quick once 850s.. just going off maps tho. sfc lags a little but def well before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 How do you get the GFS so fast? NCEP is at 60, while WxBell is probably -6... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:52 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: GFS is a big hit. I wonder if some of us will have to worry about a warm layer at 750mb for a while. NAM has that ugly warm layer above 850, so although the NAM may be wrong verbatim, it's warmth above 850 is not necessarily completely off base Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:53 PM, stormtracker said: What's your estimation for accumulations, I'm still at 63 hours? Or should I just post a snow map this run is probably 6" for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:54 PM, Warrior Bigfoot said: How do you get the GFS so fast? NCEP is at 60, while WxBell is probably -6... instantweathermaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:53 PM, Ian said: should be pretty quick once 850s.. just going off maps tho. sfc lags a little but def well before that. There might be a warm layer at 750-800 for a bit...something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:21 PM, mapgirl said: As likely as your buddy Bill being in the Falklands/Fulklands/Fuklans Or Brian being on the moon with Neil? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:48 PM, Ian said: That already happened.. https://twitter.com/islivingston/status/567704966148923392 Ha. Slanty McSideways strikes again... Back to weather, the moisture feed from deep in the Pac looks impressive for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:55 PM, Fozz said: instantweathermaps Thanks. I always forget about that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 If there's even moderate snow, roads are not an issue. The ground is COLD people. Can we just dispense with that stuff? If it isn't a thump, I don't want snow anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:55 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: this run is probably 6" for us easy.. looks like ~1" liquid after flip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Widespread 4-8". Warrior bigfoot jacking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 March may be my new favorite winter month. Filled with big, pasty snows with actual nice days scattered about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 On 3/2/2015 at 3:55 PM, WestminsterDeathband said: There might be a warm layer at 750-800 for a bit...something to keep an eye on. it was showing up on the NAM for a little bit. could be sleet until the column cools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 12 hr qpf from h66 to 78 is about an inch for dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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