IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Match up the 850mb freezing line with the current radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The good news is that the HRRR has heavy snow by 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The mixing really tries to hold off over Eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The city flips at 01:15Z on the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 HRRR drops 2-4" by 2200 NYC North, less for LI and NJ Edit: some of which may be sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I'm really worried about the freezing rain threat N&W. Will see what the 12z run shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I'm really worried about the freezing rain threat N&W. Will see what the 12z run shows 02.png Gonna be a crazy 48 hrs for sure... Glad I'm off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 12Z NAM is coming in further South but it's just as warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 I actually think once north of the Southern NY border counties, this might be the bigger storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 First system only Looks like ice storm warning criteria for Morris, Western Passaic and Rockland Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 First system only Looks like ice storm warning criteria for Morris, Western Passaic and Rockland Counties. 01.png Looks like a lot of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Looks like a lot of sleet If you look closely there are patches of 0.50"+ ZR in NE NJ and Rockland County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 If you look closely there are patches of 0.50"+ ZR in NE NJ and Rockland County. Yea I saw that but that's taking the model verbatim. This set up seems to support more of a sleet scenario than a freezing rain one. We'll see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Latest HRRR is now very little sleet and goes almost directly from snow to freezing rain around 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 That's pretty ugly Yanks. NW guys better hope it's wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Major Ice Storm for interior on 4k nam.. Gonna get pretty scary up here if it verifys.. Shows 3-5" of snow, .25-.50 of ice and freezing rain on top of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 If you look closely there are patches of 0.50"+ ZR in NE NJ and Rockland County.Warnings need to be issued by Upton, this looks like it's going to be a real bad ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 My fiance is supposed to be coming into LGA tonight at 10PM. JetBlue is offering fee waivers for tomorrow and Thursday but not today, go figure. What's the best way to get from Newark to LGA at that time of night with the least amount of traffic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 My fiance is supposed to be coming into LGA tonight at 10PM. JetBlue is offering fee waivers for tomorrow and Thursday but not today, go figure. What's the best way to get from Newark to LGA at that time of night with the least amount of traffic? On a normal night, there is barely any traffic within that route. Not sure with the weather how things will be. You can either take the RFK bridge through the bronx across the GWB, and down into jersey, which believe it or not has been alot quicker than going through the city. If you want a more direct route, take LIE to the queens midtown tunnel and go thru the city. Avoid the main streets though, Canal, 34th, etc. Just take side roads. I do this trip quite often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On a normal night, there is barely any traffic within that route. Not sure with the weather how things will be. You can either take the RFK bridge through the bronx across the GWB, and down into jersey, which believe it or not has been alot quicker than going through the city. If you want a more direct route, take LIE to the queens midtown tunnel and go thru the city. Avoid the main streets though, Canal, 34th, etc. Just take side roads. I do this trip quite often. Thanks, I was wondering if it was worth going all the way up to the GWB in order to avoid midtown. The RFK to the Grand Central is so much more direct and I have no idea how to get to LGA once through the mid-town tunnel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Btw radar looks outstanding for those front end snows... Gonna come down hard and quick before the change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Thanks, I was wondering if it was worth going all the way up to the GWB in order to avoid midtown. The RFK to the Grand Central is so much more direct and I have no idea how to get to LGA once through the mid-town tunnel. If the highways are jammed up, go thru queens for sure. Take queens BLVD to the tunnel. I will message you privately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On mobile so I can't post the maps but the rgem shows more sleet than freezing rain for the nw crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Observation Thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45935-march-3rd-snowsleetfreezingrainrain-observations/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Thanks, I was wondering if it was worth going all the way up to the GWB in order to avoid midtown. The RFK to the Grand Central is so much more direct and I have no idea how to get to LGA once through the mid-town tunnel. In/through NYC everything depends on the traffic and that's more uncertain than some of our forecasts, lol. My advice is to know 2-3 routes in advance and then to check the traffic before deciding I like BQE/278 down to the Williamsburg Bridge, then across to the Holland and then right to EWR - it's the shortest, fastest route if no traffic, but sometimes Manhattan is just a mess, so it can pay to go 8-9 miles out of your way to take the GWB if you're going 60 mph instead of 5 mph - you just never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 In/through NYC everything depends on the traffic and that's more uncertain than some of our forecasts, lol. My advice is to know 2-3 routes in advance and then to check the traffic before deciding I like BQE/278 down to the Williamsburg Bridge, then across to the Holland and then right to EWR - it's the shortest, fastest route if no traffic, but sometimes Manhattan is just a mess, so it can pay to go 8-9 miles out of your way to take the GWB if you're going 60 mph instead of 5 mph - you just never know.This. I know the city very well but I still use Google maps or waze to chart my route due to traffic and potential traffic incidents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Euro is a tick warmer and further North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Really nasty icing scenario for NNJ and Upstate NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Between tonight's storm and tomorrow night's storm how much snowpack do we lose? Is there any way we avoid BOTh temps in the 40's and rain tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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