CoraopolisWx Posted March 21, 2015 Share Posted March 21, 2015 So far this late season trough is too broad and east, pushing southern systems OTS. Like other threads have mentioned, we need a strong northern vort to dig south far enough to capture the southern stream. Much easier said than done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Put all my winter stuff away this weekend (shovels, salt, etc) Even if we get anything now it will be gone in a few hours. Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Yeah.. it's not really looking more than just a half an inch or so. Looking chilly for the weekend, it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Seeing some of the snow amounts in the midwest, had this phased with the southern stream, we could have had a good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Light dusting on the grass here already.....here comes our big one-haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 Snowing tonight, 60s wednesday and thursday and then more snow this weekend???? Winter just doesn't want to let go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 Nice covering so far. Late season night snow FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 Over an inch here. Probably a top ten snowfall for the season. Heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 24, 2015 Author Share Posted March 24, 2015 You know, I didn't get a chance to measure this morning, but it looked like I got close to 2 inches last night. I did notice when looking at the radar last night that most of the heavier snow was moving right over southern Allegheny County. Guess I was in the sweet spot for a change. Honestly, I hope it's the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 24, 2015 Share Posted March 24, 2015 Ended up with a light dusting. Looks like the heavier snow was to the South of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 25, 2015 Share Posted March 25, 2015 Got close to 3" here, but it was on the grass and cars mostly. Any chance this was our "onion snow?" Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 25, 2015 Share Posted March 25, 2015 Looks like next week Spring starts. More consistent mild pattern. I believe our monthly snow avg for April is like 2" and most of that is in the first part of the month. Going to the home opener on the 13th, hope it's like last year where it was like 65 and sunny. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 25, 2015 Share Posted March 25, 2015 Looks like next week Spring starts. More consistent mild pattern. I believe our monthly snow avg for April is like 2" and most of that is in the first part of the month. Going to the home opener on the 13th, hope it's like last year where it was like 65 and sunny. Sent from my iPhone I know its 10 days away and not very likely to happen, but don't put those snow shovels away just yet.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 25, 2015 Share Posted March 25, 2015 I know its 10 days away and not very likely to happen, but don't put those snow shovels away just yet.... I did. April I find it hard we are going to get dumped on. Since 1900 I think we only have 6 days ever in April where we got 4"+ And only one time since 1988. After the first week of April only 1 time since 1900 did we get 4" + Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Light dusting with these heavier snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Is it February or April because it could have fooled me. Ready for 50/60 degree nights and Pirate games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Is it February or April because it could have fooled me. Ready for 50/60 degree nights and Pirate games. Next week looks like we could moderate some. 70 on Thursday? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Light dusting on all surfaces, even concrete and pavement. Pretty impressive given the light nature of the snow and time of year. I'm with you all though, time for Spring to setup shop but looking at the GFS it looks pretty up and down and we may yet see more snow over the next 7-10 days. I think both the Euro and CFS weeklies are showing by week 3 we see some positive departures relative to normal finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted March 29, 2015 Share Posted March 29, 2015 000SXUS71 KPBZ 282141RERPITRECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA0540 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015...RECORD COLD HIGH AND MEAN TEMPERATURES AT PITTSBURGH...TODAYS HIGH WAS 30, THE LOW 15, AND THE MEAN TEMPERATURE 23.THE HIGH OF 30 BREAKS THE RECORD COLD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE DATEOF 31 FROM 1919.THE MEAN TEMPERATURE OF 23 TIES THE RECORD LOW MEAN FOR THE DATE SETIN 1923.$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted April 1, 2015 Share Posted April 1, 2015 Todays GFS and NAM runs have begun to show a more defined storm Friday night into Saturday. Obviously it's still early, but there is some potential for a rain/snow mix at the very least. Even from last weeks long range, said storm was never completely lost by the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 70's today. 60's tomorrow. A little drop this weekend, but looks like upper 50's to mid 60's all next week. Spring is here. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Wheww that wind is something fierce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted April 2, 2015 Author Share Posted April 2, 2015 Had a brief thunderstorm move through a bit earlier. I got up to 66 earlier but now I'm at 56 imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digger Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 Didn't hear any thunder, but at around 2:30, in Squirrel Hill, I had a few minutes with teeny tiny hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted April 5, 2015 Share Posted April 5, 2015 Visiting my relatives in southwest New York and getting 4 inches of heavy snow this morning. Heading to Johnstown and Pittsburgh this afternoon where the sun is shining I hear. No more snow! I want spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted April 5, 2015 Share Posted April 5, 2015 Visiting my relatives in southwest New York and getting 4 inches of heavy snow this morning. Heading to Johnstown and Pittsburgh this afternoon where the sun is shining I hear. No more snow! I want spring!Wish I had been there.The long range fantasy snowstorms are becoming few and far between. Although yesterday a monster did show up on the GFS at 374 hrs. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 60's and 70's for the next 10 days and thunderstorms this week.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Right now 72 and sunny for the Home Opener. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 SPC AC 081730 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1230 PM CDT WED APR 08 2015 VALID 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY...SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE OZARK PLATEAU AND ARKLATEX REGION... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE ENH RISK AREA...ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND OHIO VALLEY...SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS AS FAR SOUTHEAST AS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION...AND MUCH OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL. A COUPLE OF STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. ...SYNOPSIS... A SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE...WITHIN THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF SPLIT WESTERLIES EMERGING FROM THE MID-LATITUDE PACIFIC...IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AN EAST NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY 12Z THURSDAY...AND THE UPPER MIDWEST BY THURSDAY NIGHT...WHERE/WHEN MODELS SUGGEST THAT IT MAY INCREASINGLY PHASE WITH A SIGNIFICANT NORTHERN STREAM IMPULSE. AS THIS OCCURS...MORE SUBSTANTIVE DEEPENING OF AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE CYCLONE...EMERGING FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS...IS EXPECTED TO PROCEED ACROSS AND EAST NORTHEAST OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION. ALTHOUGH SUBSTANTIVE DEEPENING OF THE LOW IS NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST AS IT TRACKS FROM THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY TOWARD LAKE MICHIGAN DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...IT STILL IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST MODERATELY STRONG WITH LOWEST PRESSURES AT OR BELOW 1000 MB. A TRAILING SURFACE COLD FRONT APPEARS LIKELY TO ADVANCE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE OZARK PLATEAU AND SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS...WHERE IT WILL GRADUALLY OVERTAKE A WELL-DEFINED DRYLINE. A WARM FRONT EAST OF THE LOW APPEARS LIKELY TO ADVANCE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION...WHILE COLD AIR REMAINS DAMMED TO THE EAST OF MUCH OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. AIDED BY THE PRESENCE OF MOIST AND POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE AIR IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE CYCLONE...LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...FROM THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS INTO THE APPALACHIANS...PERHAPS PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT TO THE EAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. IN THE PRESENCE OF MODERATELY STRONG...40-50 KT DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR...A NUMBER OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY SEEMS LIKELY TO BE FOCUSED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARIES...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SOUTHEASTWARD SURGING FRONT/DRYLINE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS BY THURSDAY EVENING. ...GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY INTO SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS... MODEL OUTPUT IS SUGGESTIVE THAT DEEPER/RICHER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING MAY BE CONFINED TO A RELATIVELY NARROW CORRIDOR IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT. AND CONSIDERABLE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MAY BE ONGOING IN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS AT THE OUTSET OF THE PERIOD. BY 12Z THURSDAY...IT ALSO APPEARS THAT THERE MAY BE CONSIDERABLE STABILIZATION OF THE BROAD AREA OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES NOW PRESENT ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO THE VICINITY OF THE APPALACHIANS. THESE FACTORS...AMONG OTHERS...MAY BE LIMITING FACTORS TO A POTENTIALLY MORE SUBSTANTIVE SEVERE WEATHER RISK FOR THIS PERIOD. STILL...GIVEN THE LARGE-SCALE FORCING AND STRENGTH OF DEEP LAYER FLOW/SHEAR...INCLUDING A RATHER BROAD AREA OF 40-50 KT SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB FLOW DURING THE DAY...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. AND POCKETS OF STRONGER DESTABILIZATION COULD YIELD SCATTERED AREAS WITH POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO...IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT ONE OF THESE AREAS COULD DEVELOP NEAR THE WARM FRONT...IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE LOW...ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE CHICAGO METRO AREA... DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS. ANOTHER COULD DEVELOP NEAR THE COLD FRONT/DRY LINE INTERSECTION...ACROSS PARTS OF THE OZARK PLATEAU AND ARKLATEX REGION DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER...TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY CURRENTLY EXISTS CONCERNING COVERAGE AND AREA TO SUPPORT 10 PERCENT SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES AT THE PRESENT TIME. OTHERWISE...DAMAGING CONVECTIVE SURFACE GUSTS MAY EVENTUALLY BECOME THE MOST PROMINENT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH AN EVOLVING SQUALL LINE ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT BY THURSDAY EVENING. ..KERR.. 04/08/2015 CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z CURRENT UTC TIME: 2333Z (7:33PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted April 9, 2015 Share Posted April 9, 2015 Now that the chance of it snowing is less than 10% at this time of the year, I want a thunderstorm. Yet those also can't hit us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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