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March Banter Thread


H2O

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Last year some of the colder northern spots had snow cover from January 21st to early/mid March... I know southern PA did (Millersville included), which is a major reason why it's one of my favorite winters. My backyard was a little too far south a couple of times (rain on 2/3 messed it up), but I bet the northern Carroll county folks can confirm.

Yeah, after we got about 7 inches on 2/3 then we gad the ice storm 2 days later. When the snow melted from the big storm in mid February you could still see the glacier underneath from the 2/3 storm wuth over a half inch of ice on top. Snow cover lasted until mid March. Still patcges of snow left before St. Patty's storm.
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He has been lying/misleading about my commentary and this is not the first time. We have very different styles. I commended him several times on turning bullish before the pattern flipped.. he is no slouch and knows his stuff. But he also likes to ride a gut feeling like it's real and meaningful.. then he went out of his way to find 'bad' calls from well before the storm because I was skeptical (as I should have been). When have I ever done that to him? Never.

saying that I lied...prove it

the posts I pulled up were your exact words...you may not like nor agree with my interpretation, but that is not a lie and then to say I've done before is total garbage too...prove it

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To me the fun part of a forum like this is watch all of the models and nearly all of the posters be right and wrong several times during  the week we follow each storm.  The only posters "never" wrong are the Nate Silver acolytes, and they can be tedious. 

 

Its silly to criticize or be overly sensitive … posts are most interesting when they reveal how you feel at that moment … for most of us its a roller coaster and not an objective forecast. 

 

Dont' embarrass … move on

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saying that I lied...prove it

the posts I pulled up were your exact words...you may not like nor agree with my interpretation, but that is not a lie and then to say I've done before is total garbage too...prove it

You've willfully mischaracterized my thoughts on multiple occasions. I'm not sure how else to take that at this point. A lot of posts can mean a lot of things without context. At five days+ out I thought a sheared south solution was possible. So what? I looked at the same models you did and if I was totally uninhibited I probably would have been honking along given it was the most agreed upon system of the year. But I've been burned plenty doing that. In general I don't make many calls from range these days. I never once said the storm wasn't going to happen or anything like that though. I won't ever make a call from range based on a gut feeling, sorry. i always look for what can go wrong because it often does.
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LOL, I didn't see grass that year from 1/30 to 3/11.

 

 

I think Feb 2010 was longer for most around here but maybe similar in spots at this point. Many probably had cover from Jan 30 till like Feb 25 or so at least. Definitely the longest since then.

I went back and looked, same here. From 1/30 to 3/5 recorded snow depth, with T's out to 3/10. 2/6-2/20 had a foot or more on ground, solid two weeks!

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NPS has set an expected peak bloom for cherry blossoms of April 11-15th. Long way off, but that could change if we stay mild. I love snow and windows open weather with breezes and flowers. #conflicted

I guess I'm ok with no more snow as long as we don't get lots of rain and we stay mild.

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It was definitely a flip of the switch shortly after the last storm. Never seen 10 feet of snow melt so fast. I was willing it to melt away towards the later half of the month. The ice dams on the roofs

sucked. I was lucky because I did a nice roof replacement in 06 that included an ice dam barrier underneath the shingles. A lot of my neighbors werent so lucky. They had water running down the inside of their siding. Some had it infiltrate their attic.

I debated the extra $800 for the extra protection when I did the roof. Man I don't regret doing that now. Peace of mind for sure.

 

I had some kind of snow cover from Jan. 30 into the early part of March (excluding obvious piles from plowing/shoveling).  The piles of course lasted a lot longer!  Didn't the Washington Post put up a photo of the "last remains" from a pile of snow from 2009-10, sometime in late April?

 

We definitely flipped soon after the Feb. 10 blizzard.  That effectively was the last day of winter in 2009-10, but February still was rather cool (and below normal) through the end of the month.  Just not extremely so.  There were definitely issues with ice in drains, especially with melting/re-freezing at night and that sort of thing.  The place I was staying at the time had a flat roof, and they had people up there shoveling it off after both February storms thank goodness.

 

I do recall feeling lucky that the snow just more or less gradually melted over the next few weeks.  We didn't get a big, warm rain storm to result in massive flooding, which would have been a disaster.  That's one thing I was worried about when those storms ended, that we'd get a deluge onto that snow pack (a'la 1996 which I've heard about).  Thank goodness it didn't happen.  Still had issues with lots of running water and some flooding, though, and I'm sure some areas were worse off in that regard even without a big rain.  In fact, didn't we kind of go pretty dry that spring at least (maybe into the summer), after all the precipitation we got during the winter?

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I haven't looked, but I will assume that soil moisture is in pretty good shape right now.  :unsure:

lol. I would think. Wet December. Super wet Jan here with all the "timely" cold rain. Feb and early March continued wet, with snow and rain/freezing rain. I have well drained soil here and its pretty saturated. My driveway is gonna be a rutted swampy mess the next few days. Can we have a dry April please?

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You've willfully mischaracterized my thoughts on multiple occasions. I'm not sure how else to take that at this point. A lot of posts can mean a lot of things without context. At five days+ out I thought a sheared south solution was possible. So what? I looked at the same models you did and if I was totally uninhibited I probably would have been honking along given it was the most agreed upon system of the year. But I've been burned plenty doing that. In general I don't make many calls from range these days. I never once said the storm wasn't going to happen or anything like that though. I won't ever make a call from range based on a gut feeling, sorry. i always look for what can go wrong because it often does.

1) So no proof that I'm a liar. Do yourself a favor and don't call people liars when a. they are not, and  b. you can't prove it.

2) Your general comment that I "willfully mischaracterized my thoughts on multiple occasions" is more unproven garbage.  In fact, you've just proven what I said was absolutely correct. I said in my original post that "you downplayed, if not poo-poo'ed" the threat at 5 days. Look at the part I just bolded "At five days+ out I thought a sheared south solution was possible." RIGHT, YOU DOWN-PLAYED THE THREAT!!!!! Had you just responded to my original post by saying just that, instead of calling me a liar and cursing, that would have been that. You would have explained why you posted what you did. So with your own words here you've proven that my interpretation of your posts 5 days before the storm were exactly what you intended and sounded like to me. Thanks.

3) We've never met and probably never will. Maybe had most of your comments about the storm been in person, they would have had better context. I will say, however, that as long as you feel the need to add your snarky/snippy comments, expect people to take them different ways, some ways you never intended, but don't blame that on the reader.

 

Frankly, I could say a whole lot more about you, but I won't.

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NPS has set an expected peak bloom for cherry blossoms of April 11-15th. Long way off, but that could change if we stay mild. I love snow and windows open weather with breezes and flowers. #conflicted

I guess I'm ok with no more snow as long as we don't get lots of rain and we stay mild.

 

while i appreciate japan's nice horticulture gesture for murdering tends of thousands of our men, i'd love to see a late winter snow blast destroy the blossoms and mess with the parade

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If I was a dbag I'd go thru all of mitch's comments to find the stupid ones. But how would I choose?  I can't wait till next year when we are forced to make calls at d9 to be accepted by the weenie posse!

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for matt...new study out shows treating depression with AD more effective at reducing cardiovascular risk than statins

On a similar front, new study showing that oversleeping may be tied to stroke risk. Come to the 'dark side' and join me in 3-5 hours sleep a day and save yourselves.......

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mostly agree with this.  we can sleep when were teh ded.  but sometimes it's nice to sleep in, and then have pancakes.

Pancakes sound good!

EDIT:

On that subject anybody headed to Highland County next weekend for the Maple Festival? I'll be there on Saturday. Usually eat at Bolar, then hit up a couple of the farm/sugar operations. 

Have a friend up there that does a smaller operation, helped him start up last year (in a foot of snow) tapping the trees and running the lines back to the collection vats.

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Other than alcohol and pot, the only drug I have found useful, or "therapeutic" are the ones that act on GABA. Benzos rock.

 

careful with that benzo slope, as it is steep and more slippery than when Alcohol Helps is in the mood. i prefer some of the european benzos that are not widely available here, because big Pharma and fda

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