Shawn Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 What is this I hear about a guy selling Boston snow for massive cash and people are actually buying? I've seen it on at least 3 separate news reports now... I feel like they're in cahoots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 This next threat is a yawn fest, can we just skip it and get to severe wx season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Just curious...do any of you guys have jobs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 5:38 PM, isohume said: Just curious...do any of you guys have jobs? Do you, after last week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 5:39 PM, mackerel_sky said: Do you, after last week? Lol...good one! No seriously, I see the same sn's here all the time no matter what time I login. I also notice most of you don't donate either. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 5:41 PM, isohume said: Lol...good one! No seriously, I see the same sn's here all the time no matter what time I login. I also notice most of you don't donate either. lol.I stay logged on with my phone, and don't bother to sign out, so it shows me on all the time. How's it looking for Thursdav, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 5:46 PM, mackerel_sky said: I stay logged on with my phone, and don't bother to sign out, so it shows me on all the time. How's it looking for Thursdav, lol I guess I'm just jealous of y'alls free time, seems everyone is posting no matter what time I login too. Thursday looks nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I have a job, but weather is far more important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:05 PM, Cold Rain said: I have a job, but weather is far more important. Lol...at least you're honest. What's your employer think about that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:05 PM, Cold Rain said: I have a job, but weather is far more important.lol.. same here. My employer agrees with me weather is more important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:08 PM, franklin NCwx said: lol.. same here. My employer agrees with me weather is more important. Wow...where do you work!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:07 PM, isohume said: Lol...at least you're honest. What's your employer think about that? Long as I hit/exceed my sales quota, we're good. So, we're good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:12 PM, Cold Rain said: Long as I hit/exceed my sales quota, we're good. So, we're good! Haha...I can see why you like weather more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:14 PM, isohume said: Haha...I can see why you like weather more. Indeed! Maybe I could sell weather things. I should look into that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:09 PM, isohume said: Wow...where do you work!?mostly for myself. I sometimes help out some other local companies on certain projects. But it's mostly for myself. I stayed logged on all the time cause it's pulled up on my phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:16 PM, Cold Rain said: Indeed! Maybe I could sell weather things. I should look into that....new and improved gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:22 PM, franklin NCwx said: mostly for myself. I sometimes help out some other local companies on certain projects. But it's mostly for myself. I stayed logged on all the time cause it's pulled up on my phone. Ahh...that explains it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:23 PM, franklin NCwx said: new and improved gfs. You can't give that crap away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:24 PM, isohume said: Ahh...that explains it.lol.. quick question. How are the gsp snowmaps generated? I noticed closer to the event on Wednesday that totals were getting lower for up here when models had the same forecast or were increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:29 PM, franklin NCwx said: lol.. quick question. How are the gsp snowmaps generated? I noticed closer to the event on Wednesday that totals were getting lower for up here when models had the same forecast or were increasing. It's always a combination of things (thermal/dynamical profiles,qpf uncertainties, model performances/biases, etc) and it depends on the individual forecaster. Each forecaster has a different forecast process and specific tools they like to use in the grids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:35 PM, isohume said: It's always a combination of things (thermal/dynamical profiles,qpf uncertainties, model performances/biases, etc) and it depends on the individual forecaster. Each forecaster has a different forecast process and specific tools they like to use in the grids. Don't go with the Rap. It's a moron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:38 PM, Cold Rain said: Don't go with the Rap. It's a moron. I don't use the aviation models like the RAP and HRRR for winter weather much. It's not their forte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:40 PM, isohume said: I don't use the aviation models like the RAP and HRRR for winter weather much. It's not their forte. You can say that again. The Rap gave parts of the area 20" after the event was underway the other day. The HRRR eventually got the placement of the snow fairly correct, eventually. The RGEM has been doing very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:46 PM, Cold Rain said: You can say that again. The Rap gave parts of the area 20" after the event was underway the other day. The HRRR eventually got the placement of the snow fairly correct, eventually. The RGEM has been doing very well. I don't trust what those models do with elevated convection (even a little and esp the HRRR). I've see the HRRR hang onto erroneous bands even after it was initialized with new Nexrad data showing no precip. It is it's own worse enemy sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:52 PM, isohume said: I don't trust what those models do with elevated convection (even a little and esp the HRRR). I've see the HRRR hang onto erroneous bands even after it was initialized with new Nexrad data showing no precip. It is it's own worse enemy sometimes. Gotcha. What is the best situation in which to use those models? We tend to look at them most here when evaluating snowfall potential and assessing the strength and location of thunderstorms during convective events. But neither of those may be useful (you mentioned the lack of value with snowfall already). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:59 PM, Cold Rain said: Gotcha. What is the best situation in which to use those models? We tend to look at them most here when evaluating snowfall potential and assessing the strength and location of thunderstorms during convective events. But neither of those may be useful (you mentioned the lack of value with snowfall already). I'm not saying don't use them in winter weather...but they haven't given me much value. I use them more for convect initiation and anticipating storm mode/motion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 CR, Do you see Fri/Sat supposed event for the Triangle trending NW? I can almost feel it this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 6:52 PM, isohume said: I don't trust what those models do with elevated convection (even a little and esp the HRRR). I've see the HRRR hang onto erroneous bands even after it was initialized with new Nexrad data showing no precip. It is it's own worse enemy sometimes.what about the sref? I see you guys use it in your discussions alot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 7:19 PM, CaryWx said: CR, Do you see Fri/Sat supposed event for the Triangle trending NW? I can almost feel it this far out. It could, but this isn't the same setup as some of the ones we've had this winter. We don't get as many of these anafrontal situations as prefrontal ones. The cold will be for real. If the cold filters in in time, we could get snow from that. Then, if we get a wave to develop along the front, we could get snow from that process. For that, we'll have to see where/when/if it develops. Lots of questions marks. Potential is there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 7:12 PM, isohume said: I'm not saying don't use them in winter weather...but they haven't given me much value. I use them more for convect initiation and anticipating storm mode/motion. Good deal. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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