Ralph Wiggum Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 The Doctor keeps hope alive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Euro still looks like close to 6" at TTN on a 10:1... assuming the 34 surface is a little warm on the EC, still think it changes over around 6Z and the 0.57" after that is snow. Here's the GGEM, btw: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 i like this ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Ray: How do you get the smaller region from meteocentre? I see no choice other than North America. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Ray: How do you get the smaller region from meteocentre? I see no choice other than North America. Use "Quebec". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Euro still looks like close to 6" at TTN on a 10:1... assuming the 34 surface is a little warm on the EC, still think it changes over around 6Z and the 0.57" after that is snow. Here's the GGEM, btw: GGEM.gif However, GFS has double that. If you average it comes to 8 or more inches. May be just may be this is our storm Glass half full Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 However, GFS has double that. If you average it comes to 8 or more inches. May be just may be this is our storm Glass half full Actually GFS was more like 0.80" (see the earlier map I posted). So really, not that far apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Use "Quebec". Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Still no reason to deviate from a widespread 6 or so without a another bump south in the model data. Chance for a narrow strip of 10 would be closer to the Delmarva with lower confidence on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 18Z Nam bumped north less south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 18Z Nam Enough said. 18z GFS will actually tell us a little something. 0z suite will be far more telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Enough said. 18z GFS will actually tell us a little something. 0z suite will be far more telling. 18Z NAM a few days ago was first to raise a red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 NAM deathband FTW in CNJ. Love it. My confidence is growing for a 8-12" storm for my area. I'll call for 7-10" for now. Gotta love being in the bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 NAM deathband FTW in CNJ. Love it. My confidence is growing for a 8-12" storm for my area. I'll call for 7-10" for now. Gotta love being in the bullseye I think it includes what is falling now and the eventual rain tonight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I think it includes what is falling now and the eventual rain tonight and tomorrow. Indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Indeed Boatload of QPF though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jb1979 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Nam was actually maybe a hair south at 18Z - actually pretty noticeably south on the West side of the state. It actually looks slightly better snow-wise for the city due to a quicker changeover - but that's judging by sim radar. Someone who has the time to look at soundings can confirm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 WPC is pretty bullish on 4-8" for everybody Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 18Z NAM a few days ago was first to raise a red flag. Meh, I'm still not a fan of the 18z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GFS small bump south and slightly less QPF, keeps moving the cliff closer Meanwhile word is the ECM ensembles were north. That is your 18z update from the weather asylum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GFS small bump south and slightly less QPF, keeps moving the cliff closer Meanwhile word is the ECM ensembles were north. That is your 18z update from the weather asylum It's such a narrow band of precip. that any minor bump is magnified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yup, I figured 18z GFS would continue the southward movement. Might have to pull back on my thinking of 4 to 6 inches of snow in Upper Chester, Montgomery and Bucks counties for tomorrow night into Thursday event. Will wait to see if this trend continues in the 0z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It's such a narrow band of precip. that any minor bump is magnified It's a dental nightmare winter, pure unadulterated agony with every storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Yup, I figured 18z GFS would continue the southward movement. Might have to pull back on my thinking of 4 to 6 inches of snow in Upper Chester, Montgomery and Bucks counties for tomorrow night into Thursday event. Will wait to see if this trend continues in the 0z suite. I need 1.6" for a 40" winter That better happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I need 1.6" for a 40" winter That better happen congrats! ur closer then my 35.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 congrats! ur closer then my 35.9 You should make 40" too but it's getting far closer to not happening then I ever would have expected. Might be good your skipping town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I need 1.6" for a 40" winter That better happen You're shooting at the wrong thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 You're shooting at the wrong thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Jeez I'm just hoping Berks can get one significant snow event out of this winter. 40" is a pretty good winter, but I don't think I'll even get to 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Jeez I'm just hoping Berks can get one significant snow event out of this winter. 40" is a pretty good winter, but I don't think I'll even get to 20" That is a puzzling snow hole you got there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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