Ralph Wiggum Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 First final guess of a call after seeing most of 12z......3-6" for my area. Again, apologies for jumping the gun earlier....needed caffeine :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 5:23 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: There is nothing worse than jumping into a frozen river Wait until 0z then we can jump together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Let's set the bar at 2" like Ralphie, then everyone will be overjoyed to wake up to 6"+. I'm setting the bar at 0.0" up here, so anything I get will be a bonus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 5:25 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: First final guess of a call after seeing most of 12z......3-6" for my area. Again, apologies for jumping the gun earlier....needed caffeine :-) Cool...lines up well with my thinking. I got my caffeine earlier, so I avoided the ledge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Hey Ralph you should have had a Snicker's Bar.. I thought you might get a kick out of this add... http://youtu.be/rqbomTIWCZ8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Not much mention of it but I think we could see some pretty nice snowfall rates with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'll roll with 5-7" here, but I'll pretend that I'm only expecting 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Mason Dixon line here baby. I aint' jumping..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 From others Euro is generally 4-8" throughout the region. Euro/Ukie/CMC have been fairly rock solid for the last few days really. GFS wobbled at 6z today but it too has been rather steadfast. IMO NAM not so much, furthest north at 12z yesterday to furthest south today. Personally I don't pay much attention to the NAM and it's surface maps though anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Just saw the Euro. Yep, pretty consistent with the snows. The 4 to 8 inch range is a solid range for the area. Maybe isolated higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I'm thinking 4-8" region wide. less than 4 in the far NW regions of the area. Maybe a lolli of 10" somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 here is a map. Euro has been steady as she goes with this: these maps are usually a little overdone b/c they count sleet but it portrays the picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:11 PM, baseball0618 said: here is a map. Euro has been steady as she goes with this: these maps are usually a little overdone b/c they count sleet but it portrays the picture. Eurowx doesn't include sleet in the snowfall accumulation. That was answered recently by eurowx.com in their forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:19 PM, wkd said: On 3/4/2015 at 6:11 PM, baseball0618 said: here is a map. Euro has been steady as she goes with this: these maps are usually a little overdone b/c they count sleet but it portrays the picture. Eurowx doesn't include sleet in the snowfall accumulation. That was answered recently by eurowx.com in their forum. good to know. thanks! I definitely think there will be some double digit totals within say 50 miles of the mason dixon line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro is 6-7" at TTN on a 10:1. Smidge less than last run due to delayed changeover until after 6Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Euro is good for all even Lehigh Valley 6-8" we are so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Glad to see the Euro hang in there. Ray we may beat your 4.8 max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:25 PM, famartin said: Euro is 6-7" at TTN on a 10:1. Smidge less than last run due to delayed changeover until after 6Z. Ratios should get better as the day wears on though right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:33 PM, Harbourton said: Glad to see the Euro hang in there. Ray we may beat your 4.8 max 5 is the max, remember my list is split by calendar day whether the storm kept going or stopped. Definitely possible. Hedging my bets with 4-8 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:33 PM, JERSEYSNOWROB said: Ratios should get better as the day wears on though right? Yes, but might have issues with sun angle that keep it from going too high, plus they will start sub 10:1 right at changeover. So, maybe they are 11:1 or 12:1 overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:39 PM, famartin said: Yes, but might have issues with sun angle that keep it from going too high, plus they will start sub 10:1 right at changeover. So, maybe they are 11:1 or 12:1 overall. ok thanks Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:38 PM, famartin said: 5 is the max, remember my list is split by calendar day whether the storm kept going or stopped. Definitely possible. Hedging my bets with 4-8 right now. I'll give you credit Ray for always keeping me on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigtenfan Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 I have an 11AM flight out of West Palm Beach due into EWR at about 2PM. What are my chances of the flight making it even if it is delayed? Thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:46 PM, bigtenfan said: I have an 11AM flight out of West Palm Beach due into EWR at about 2PM. What are my chances of the flight making it even if it is delayed? Thanks in advance I'd bank on a couple hours of delay. Hopefully that's it. Not sure if they cancel to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:46 PM, bigtenfan said: I have an 11AM flight out of West Palm Beach due into EWR at about 2PM. What are my chances of the flight making it even if it is delayed? Thanks in advance delay is nearly certain, but I don't see why you couldn't land in the early/late evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigtenfan Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Thanks to both of you for the fast answers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 6:25 PM, famartin said: Euro is 6-7" at TTN on a 10:1. Smidge less than last run due to delayed changeover until after 6Z. Ray when do you think the changeover occurs? Yesterday it seemed like it would be around 1-3AM. do you think it will be later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 OK, internet access is back so here's what I can see on the EC for other locales. These are based on my interpretation of the QPF and thermal profiles based on 6-hour time intervals...so there's a little guesswork. MPO ~0.33" as snow ABE ~0.47" as snow RDG ~0.52" as snow TTN ~0.62" as snow PHL ~0.74" as snow ILG ~0.76" as snow ACY ~0.65" as snow GED ~0.50" as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 NAM, RGEM, GFS, GGEM all together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 On 3/4/2015 at 7:21 PM, yankeex777 said: Ray when do you think the changeover occurs? Yesterday it seemed like it would be around 1-3AM. do you think it will be later? EC looks like 3-4AM. GFS more like 2-3AM. NAM near 1AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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