Windman18 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Where? In NW MD maybe I was just basing that off of the snow map on tropical tidbits. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navm.html?model=nam4km®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2015030100&fh=33&xpos=0&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Euro has some explaining to do on its precip if the higher totals end up right. Fall from grace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 4km NAM refuses to get rid of the wedge of CAD through at least 01z MON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 4km NAM refuses to get rid of the wedge of CAD through at least 01z MON You know what's interesting Yoda? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Topper seems concerned -- Topper Shutt @TenaciousTopper 1m1 minute ago Update for Sunday: Some snow between 9 AM & 1 PM, then sleet until 4 or 5 PM then ending as freezing rain. Let's hope for more sleet. @wusa9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 You know what's interesting Yoda? that the 00z GFS will be out in 25 mins? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Side note: I always lol at his new name on Twitter. Tenacious Topper? ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 our real problem in this forum is trajectory http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USOH0245&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 that the 00z GFS will be out in 25 mins? what if it gives us ISW criteria stuff? how interesting would that be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'm guessing the red box indicates that our area is next in line for the fire NAM nest? http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/firewx/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravenfanalways Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 We aren't getting an ice storm. No one near the cities or in the immediate suburbs will get anything more than slush. Impactful ice storms around the cities require massively thick cloud decks during peak climo with powerful highs seeping in fresh cold air. I am not talking about something that impacts the boonies and breaks some branches in the forest. That isn't an ice storm in the cities. Well I guess we might as well close the thread then and stop tracking this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 what if it gives us ISW criteria stuff? how interesting would that be? Very interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 our real problem in this forum is trajectory http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USOH0245&animate=true Does appear to want to 'overtop' the area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I was just basing that off of the snow map on tropical tidbits. http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/navm.html?model=nam4km®ion=us&pkg=asnow&runtime=2015030100&fh=33&xpos=0&ypos=0 I think those maps are pretty useless in these types of situations. It's probably counting all of the precip in the 3 hour period of snow, when the flip to ice is partway through. I'm pretty sure those maps count sleet as snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Side note: I always lol at his new name on Twitter. Tenacious Topper? ok.awful...just awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Does appear to want to 'overtop' the area....now that's a north trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 awful...just awful I hate to break up the party, but I think it's a good fit for a Twitter name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 The HRRR likes the dry slot idea too (although out of it's range) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Well I guess we might as well close the thread then and stop tracking this one. We track flurries around here, so no. But climo says this will be mostly nothing of note. Ice storms are the most overhyped weather we have around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 We track flurries around here, so no. But climo says this will be mostly nothing of note. Ice storms are the most overhyped weather we have around here. You're not breaking news that most here don't already know. Who's blowing up the thread calling for a big ice storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I remember the 94 ice storm that affected east of DC through to the Chesapeake. Sure it didn't get DC proper, but you can't say that all ice storms are over-hyped simply because some are, and many of us don't live in the big cities where the heat island makes these sorts of storms harder to occur. I'm already down to 17F with a DP of 9F. There is a massive sheet of ice near me that stretches some 40 miles up the Chesapeake Bay and its full width. I was looking at an ice pile (I won't call it ice berg since it's a pile of sheet ice formed by the tidal action) the size of a small house today. Winds are expected to be light tomorrow, and anyone near the bay is going to have that warmer SE wind blowing across all that ice before it reaches them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casualbrain Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Could someone tell me where (what site) everyone goes to to look at model runs? (I'm kinda new to that) One link to rule them all http://www.billbuntingweather.net/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 GFS is kinda blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 We track flurries around here, so no. But climo says this will be mostly nothing of note. Ice storms are the most overhyped weather we have around here. People say this all the time but I don't really think it's true. Has anyone really called for a powerline-toppling icemaggedon? When was the last ZR event where any major forecaster did? Considering the amount of people who trip on ice and injure themselves, I'd go out on a limb and say snow is what is really overhyped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 People say this all the time but I don't really think it's true. Has anyone really called for a powerline-toppling icemaggedon? When was the last ZR event where any major forecaster did? Considering the amount of people who trip on ice and injure themselves, I'd go out on a limb and say snow is what is really overhyped. Yeah, pretty much agree. I don't get some of the sarcasm or negativity about the possibility tomorrow. Nobody that I know of was calling for a major ice storm. Likewise, this was not really going to be much of a snow event...the ice/sleet has been the big story here. While it won't be crippling, especially in the urban areas, it won't be anything to overlook either. Either way, it's an interesting winter event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Hey everyone, I'm in the Hampton Roads area at the moment at a conference and a number of us are scheduled to drive back to the DC area starting around 10:30 or 11 a.m. tomorrow. As you can guess, there's a bit of concern about the weather. I haven't been able to get on the board much today, so I'd appreciate a summation of what to expect. From what I can see there could be some freezing rain down here but it'll change over earlier, while Richmond northward could be fun. Thanks!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 This high pressure is nuts. The coast hugger was not like this. Moisture cant make it this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Hey everyone, I'm in the Hampton Roads area at the moment at a conference and a number of us are scheduled to drive back to the DC area starting around 10:30 or 11 a.m. tomorrow. As you can guess, there's a bit of concern about the weather. I haven't been able to get on the board much today, so I'd appreciate a summation of what to expect. From what I can see there could be some freezing rain down here but it'll change over earlier, while Richmond northward could be fun. Thanks!!! If you have good tires and patience, you should be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Yeah, pretty much agree. I don't get some of the sarcasm or negativity about the possibility tomorrow. Nobody that I know of was calling for a major ice storm. Likewise, this was not really going to be much of a snow event...the ice/sleet has been the big story here. While it won't be crippling, especially in the urban areas, it won't be anything to overlook either. Either way, it's an interesting winter event. I was actually on my way to buy a chainsaw and a generator but then I saw PhineasC's post and breathed a sigh of relief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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