Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Well I had to account for the cold bias of his thermometer . Pretty sure he should hit at least 42F Wednesday if clouds break up as they did last time a week ago. I'll take the under Why would clouds break up into a sunny day? Just curious as to your reasoning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'll take the under Why would clouds break up into a sunny day? Just curious as to your reasoning Same reason they did a week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Same reason they did a week ago. You are in Florida and weren't here. And why was that? Please explain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 Well I had to account for the cold bias of his thermometer . Pretty sure he should hit at least 42F Wednesday if clouds break up as they did last time a week ago. GFS and Euro only get me to 34-35 with no cloud breaks, where are you seeing those temps and sun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 You are in Florida and weren't here. And why was that? Please explain You don't listen to anybody's explanation so I won't explain myself. I'll bet your thermo hits 38 while ORH hits 40F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 It's not like it will be 60 Wednesday. Whether it's 38 or 45...it won't really matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 You don't listen to anybody's explanation so I won't explain myself. I'll bet your thermo hits 38 while ORH hits 40F. I listen to everyone. I just don't think you are sure of the reason TBH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 next Friday is below zero on the GFS and Euro, so hard to believe but wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 So if you think about it, a little melting and compacting with any rain will freeze up nicely. You are getting to the point in the season where moisture content of the snow pack > actual snow depth. Obviously this isn't always the case. 2" of cement can't compete with 18" of higher ratio snow..but you get the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Looks like +4C at the surface on the EURO Ginxy. Don't know where you are getting 34-35? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 Euro pumps out 3-5 front end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I listen to everyone. I just don't think you are sure of the reason TBH. I'm done with the OT arguing. And BTW RH fields suggest breaks in the cloud cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 euro .gif Looks like +4C at the surface on the EURO Ginxy. Don't know where you are getting 34-35? text is +2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 Euro pumps out 3-5 front end Then another 3-5 rear end with much more just sw of us (through 100 hrs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 text is +2 In text we trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Temp debates FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Temp debates FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Temp debates FTL. What difference does it make if it's +2 or +4 at the surface? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 yup looks beautiful!! Then another 3-5 rear end with much more just sw of us (through 100 hrs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 WSI maps have lower 40s for everyone on Wednesday...I don't think that is out of the question. It's posisble it stays closer to upper 30s and maybe a protected glen at the bottom of a canyon in the CT River valley stays 34F, but the general idea of some relative mildness on Wednesday isn't weird. Also, I don't think anyone on here called for mid 50s and rain on Wednesday...that is a straw man that keeps getting thrown around in this event. At least make a link to those posts or don't bother making those posts, they sound petty. Lastly, I am enthused a little bit that the Euro brought the anafront event back a bit. Hopefully that continues to trend a bit deeper with the energy getting infused in the base of the trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 WSI maps have lower 40s for everyone on Wednesday...I don't think that is out of the question. It's posisble it stays closer to upper 30s and maybe a protected glen at the bottom of a canyon in the CT River valley stays 34F, but the general idea of some relative mildness on Wednesday isn't weird. Also, I don't think anyone on here called for mid 50s and rain on Wednesday...that is a straw man that keeps getting thrown around in this event. At least make a link to those posts or don't bother making those posts, they sound petty. Lastly, I am enthused a little bit that the Euro brought the anafront event back a bit. Hopefully that continues to trend a bit deeper with the energy getting infused in the base of the trough. perhaps you should turn the radio and TV on, that's exactly what was put out there. Who said anything about people posting that here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 perhaps you should turn the radio and TV on, that's exactly what was put out there. Who said anything about people posting that here? I've seen mid-40s and apparently you said WBZ said 48F...but I hadn't seen mid 50s. But 40s would not be a surprise on Wednesday. They aren't a lock, but the Euro shows them and so does MOS. We'll see if the models continue to trend flatter or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 I've seen mid-40s and apparently you said WBZ said 48F...but I hadn't seen mid 50s. But 40s would not be a surprise on Wednesday. They aren't a lock, but the Euro shows them and so does MOS. We'll see if the models continue to trend flatter or not. apology accepted,lol multiple sources on Friday were touting 50s and rain after a brief bout of snow. I see zero sun on the Euro and surface temps of 34-35 on the text outputs on both the GFS and EuroWhat does WSI show for the GFS, there's a surface temp disconnect somewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 apology accepted,lol multiple sources on Friday were touting 50s and rain after a brief bout of snow. I see zero sun on the Euro and surface temps of 34-35 on the text outputs on both the GFS and Euro What does WSI show for the GFS, there's a surface temp disconnect somewhere GFS on WSI only makes upper 30s on 2m temps. I could see how some brief breaks of sun happen on the Euro and any other guidance...look at the RH fields, they get a bit dry in the mid-levels...we dryslot. But even without sun we can still crack 40F. So I'm not sure why it's hard to picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 GFS on WSI only makes upper 30s on 2m temps. I could see how some brief breaks of sun happen on the Euro and any other guidance...look at the RH fields, they get a bit dry in the mid-levels...we dryslot. But even without sun we can still crack 40F. So I'm not sure why it's hard to picture. who said it wasn't? Just not seeing that on modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Then another 3-5 rear end with much more just sw of us (through 100 hrs) OT but that would hurt. Then again 15 years go it might have been 6-8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 OT but that would hurt. Then again 15 years go it might have been 6-8. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Euro ensembles are bullish for the anafront event...nice reversal from the last two runs...but there's still 84-90 hours to go on that one, and they are fickle. But there's no doubt that there must be some good members in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 fwiw srefs looked good but it is the srefs Euro ensembles are bullish for the anafront event...nice reversal from the last two runs...but there's still 84-90 hours to go on that one, and they are fickle. But there's no doubt that there must be some good members in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 Euro ensembles are bullish for the anafront But there's no doubt that there must be some good members in there. so that's what Jerry was talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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