ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Pike to the coast (BOS) verbatim ? If so, Odds lookin better than 50/50 to break it this next week Looks like 2-4 for those areas. Maybe even a lolli to 5 in ORH county to SE NH or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Any idea on the follow up wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Man..every system this winter..just deamplifies coming east. We've still got 3 + days to have this cold trend continue. Starting to wonder if we can get it to go out south of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Any idea on the follow up wave? Too much energy lost to the southwest. We get tickled with maybe an inch BOS-HVN line or thereabouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Man..every system this winter..just deamplifies coming east. We've still got 3 + days to have this cold trend continue. Starting to wonder if we can get it to go out south of LI We really only have another 24-36 hours. The models won't move too much once inside of 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 We really only have another 24-36 hours. The models won't move too much once inside of 48 hours. Well we've gone from mild to warm rains to snow to ice to cold drizzle. I don't believe we're done trending that way quite yet. The euro also jumped this past Thursday's storm north like 75 miles in one run..Not that , that will happen with this..but still room to move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Too much energy lost to the southwest. We get tickled with maybe an inch BOS-HVN line or thereabouts. Sounds like elongated trough again. Would be nice to grab a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Well we've gone from mild to warm rains to snow to ice to cold drizzle. I don't believe we're done trending that way quite yet. The euro also jumped this past Thursday's storm north like 75 miles in one run..Not that , that will happen with this..but still room to move It still could go back the other way. We are at the window where models wobble, but better solutions today anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 BOS: 3.6 to tomorrow evening 3.1 Wednesday. Champagne Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 BOS: 3.6 to tomorrow evening 3.1 Wednesday. Champagne Thursday. That is uncanny. Dad's one year anniversary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 We really only have another 24-36 hours. The models won't move too much once inside of 48 hours.Euro certainly has this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 tic toc skiing at SR gonna rock skiing Saddleback Wednesday so hopeful... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 GFS ain't bad for the anafrontal wave. Another tickle north and everyone is in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 Canadians like flat mostly snow solutions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Canadians like flat mostly snow solutionsI guess the GFS is still relatively ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 How's the anafrontal looking on the euro? Ggem had it clip us while the GFS trended further offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 I guess the GFS is still relatively ugly.Pretty cold, looks front end to meh,temps 33-34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I don't think much has changed since yesterday. Looks like some snow (maybe a few inches?) to rain and then we are in a mild regime Wednesday with any breaks of sun bringing us well into the 40s. The Euro op was no on the anafrontal, but the ensembles were a bit more bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Good disco from BOX on why to lean cold THE COLUMN STARTS COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW AT ONSET TUE EVENING...AND LOOKS LIKE AS MUCH AS 0.40-0.60 OF THE TOTAL EVENT QPF FALLS ASSNOW INITIALLY EVERYWHERE...WITH GRADUAL CHANGEOVER DURING THEEARLY MORNING HOURS WED MORNING FROM S-N. THEREFORE...COULD SEE ATLEAST ADVISORY IF NOT LOW-END WARNING LVL SNOWFALLS THROUGH THEOVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE A TRANSITION TO SLEET...THEN FREEZING RAIN.FREEZING RAIN COULD LOCK IN FOR SOME TIME AND GIVEN THAT H93 TEMPS/EVEN ON THE COLDEST GUIDANCE/ AN AVERAGE OF +4C DURING THE 08Z-16Z TIMEFRAME...BUT SFC TEMPS MAY HOLD NEAR FREEZING FOR SOME TIMEGIVEN THE DEEP SNOWPACK ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...STRAIGHT RAINFOR A TIME FROM ABOUT MID MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON IS LIKELYUNTIL THE PRECIP COMES TO AN END. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY 2MTEMPS REBOUND...AS MUCH AS A QUARTER INCH OF ICE CAN/T BE RULEDOUT. AGREE WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTER THAT LEANING A BIT COLDER THANMOS 2M TEMPS IS PROBABLY THE WAY TO GO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Quarter inch of ice? Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 My name is humpity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 My name is humpity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 LOL, well my idea of a thump is more lile 12/16/07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I dont see this as a big icing problem without a good dewpoint feed....there could be pockets where it hangs on longer at marginal temps...I'd think the biggest threat might be in places like DXR up just W of BDL where the initial snow thump changes over the fastest. it could be one of those events where it's raining but some spots on driveways that were iced over continue to accumulate ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Canadian and Euro ENS seem to be leading the way for the anafrontal wave Wed nite/Thursday..I really think that has some legs for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 <p> Canadian and Euro ENS seem to be leading the way for the anafrontal wave Wed nite/Thursday..I really think that has some legs for us What's the next panel show? That's the important one. If it's just slipping southeast that's not overly exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 What's the next panel show? That's the important one. If it's just slipping southeast that's not overly exciting. It's not a great look right now, but hopefully that changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I feel like the anafront wave is tredning in the wrong direction right now...it's gotten more squashed and SE int he past 24 hours. I'll be surprised if we see more than an inch or two out of it...and won't be shocked if it's a whiff. Maybe it will trend back better today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 What's the next panel show? That's the important one. If it's just slipping southeast that's not overly exciting. Well I mean I don't think it's going to be another foot or anything like that..but maybe like 3-6 or something. These s stream waves tend to like to sort of sneak nw as you get in a bit closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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