jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 5:40 PM, John1122 said: GFS at it's old self again.Drops the over night lows Friday morn to -19.2C for BNA WITH 5.7" sn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Fwiw, the euro is also showing a more narrowly focused mid south winter storm. Too lazy to look to see if the clown map is correct (likely it's not). GGEM, GFS, an the EURO are now all on board. Anyone seen the UKIE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z Euro: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12Z euro brought everything back S again,5-6"frozen for most of the Valley except the far NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 7:04 PM, Stovepipe said: 12z Euro: Your map looks different from mine,not that it really matters at this point..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Robert: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 7:10 PM, Stovepipe said: Robert: Models have been showing a huge IP storm around Tupelo,Ms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 GFS looks more snow now for Tupelo less ice,good thing if it's right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z Ukie still isn't on board with frozen precip. It does show the cold though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Not much difference from the GFS,The ST/J looks better on the GFS though,GEFS would still be a decent hit for us in the Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z euro control still looks on board. A beefier version of the op. Mean still 2-3+ across much of the state of TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Feb 28: NCEP is having latency issues on top of the long-term network issues. Net result is all model data up to 1 hour late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 9:44 PM, Jaxjagman said: Feb 28: NCEP is having latency issues on top of the long-term network issues. Net result is all model data up to 1 hour late. That is good to know, thanks. Iowa State's meteogram site has been messed up all day, probably related to the NCEP problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 still getting text up to date it seems,will post sites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 18z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattownsnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 hey jax, where are you getting those text outputs from? I want to look it up for CHA without having to ask you nice people to do it for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Not a b On 2/28/2015 at 10:37 PM, Stovepipe said: 18z GFS: Memphis could get up to a ft with the ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 GFS shifted S by the looks,cuts tri off somewhat.But it's a perfect track for us in middle to west,we want systems tracking trough around Montgomery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 10:45 PM, Chattownsnow said: hey jax, where are you getting those text outputs from? I want to look it up for CHA without having to ask you nice people to do it for me thought i posted CHA,my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 It's sinking south with each run and probably will for the next 48 hours or so, then it'll probably creep back north. It may take some luck to get the cold front to stall out East of the Apps rather than along the spine. As of now the ridging off the SE is displaced enough to allow cold to penetrate all the way to the Outer banks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Finally got the meteograms to load. Glad to see that almost all of that GFS frozen the past two runs falls as snow on this side of the state. Only .2 sleet and no zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 11:00 PM, Jaxjagman said: GFS shifted S by the looks,cuts tri off somewhat.But it's a perfect track for us in middle to west,we want systems tracking trough around Montgomery I would assume we see an even further south shift. Nothing drastic but we have seen all winter the subtropical ridge trend weaker as we get closer . It's already started on the GFS and that's why each run keeps trending a little further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWonderland Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Latest from Frank Strait re next week's storm . . . https://www.facebook.com/FrankStraitFanClub/posts/941849405827344 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 12:49 AM, metwannabe said: I would assume we see an even further south shift. Nothing drastic but we have seen all winter the subtropical ridge trend weaker as we get closer . It's already started on the GFS and that's why each run keeps trending a little further south Yeah it retrograded to the E a hair,nothing to be concerned about right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 1:01 AM, WinterWonderland said: Latest from Frank Strait re next week's storm . . . https://www.facebook.com/FrankStraitFanClub/posts/941849405827344 Tupelo got colder aloft on the 18z,the models have been showing them getting crushed with an ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 1:11 AM, Jaxjagman said: Yeah it retrograded to the E a hair,nothing to be concerned about right now I agree my point was a little further south would be better for tenn as it would take the ice threat further south into miss and ala Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 1:23 AM, metwannabe said: I agree my point was a little further south would be better for tenn as it would take the ice threat further south into miss and ala Not trying to wishcast but we've seen storms all winter being stronger than advertised before they get to the coast,even the GFS 18z hinted at this when the storm gets to the SC/GA border it's 2mb stronger than the 12z,This would pour more colder air in for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 On 3/1/2015 at 1:23 AM, metwannabe said: I agree my point was a little further south would be better for tenn as it would take the ice threat further south into miss and ala further S shift would leave us here wondering WTF just happened,especially the W parts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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