jaxjagman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 So Nashville just snow in all this or is it to go South of us yet again? Ice at the start.waiting on my text to load so i can do 3-hr spans Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 i'm not posting any text this far out but if you want yours feel free and ask Kbmx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Kbmx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 The GFS trend this year has been to start in the Lakes far out, drive it way south and east through this term, then trend north in the last 24-36 hours. Just have to see how far South and East this one goes before the North trend. Also handling it very oddly with the L just lingering like a cutoff over South Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 GEM snow. GEM sleet. GEM ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 So once again, The Tennessee Valley looks under the gun for a potential wintery situation on most of the models. Just depends on which you look at to see what exact type we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 GEFS gives the GFS some support,the GFS is slightly S but still cuts through NC,some body is gonna possibly get clocked with a dangerous ice storm with this type set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Jax where do you get your text data from Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 We'll have to see if any consistency emerges over the weekend. The 0z run of the Ukie which was just barely getting in range at 144, looked pretty good, significant wobble at 12z That was also a decent shift on the Euro, who knows how it'll flip around over the next few runs. Maybe in a couple of days the models will have sniffed out the range of possibilities. It's amazing to me that we even have another system to keep an eye on so soon after the latest shenanigans. If this settles into a middle TN threat I vote to name the thread "The Jax Jackhammer" lol. I'm all in,,The Jax Jackhammer,i like it,hopefully it happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 huge ice storm..geeze hope this isnt right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 Yep, the GFS is maybe 1-3 inches of snow North of 40, but lots of sleet and zr as cold air undercuts the precip field, especially from about the Eastern side of the Plateau and westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Yep, the GFS is maybe 1-3 inches of snow North of 40, but lots of sleet and zr as cold air undercuts the precip field, especially from about the Eastern side of the Plateau and westward. HP don't dig down this run,If the GFS is right the only thing saving grace is the winds are below 10kts.Big stinkin ice storm either way..sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 blah,who knows if its right but it's still a concern,the S/TJ finally does something this winter but it pulls our LP to the w,this is what we are seeing with the GFS0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 Not sure about the totals on the Euro, but north of 40 looks to have gotten snow. NW Tennessee looks to have gotten a whole lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 GGEM continues the icy threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 The freight train of cold air with this is amazing. 5 degrees down into Louisiana per the GFS with sub zero over the Western Valley. Easily all time March records I'd imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmundie Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Surface temps post storm are not to be trusted right now because the model is assuming an insane amount of snow pack. We won't really know what the lows are going to be until we see what kind of precip falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 6z GFS clown: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I let my WeatherBell subscription run out yesterday because I thought we were done. Didn't we have a system similar to this last year around this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I let my WeatherBell subscription run out yesterday because I thought we were done. Didn't we have a system similar to this last year around this time? You may be living the Salt Life again haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 You may be living the Salt Life again haha. You don't choose the salt life, the salt life chooses you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 0z Euro: The mean is similar, the control less enthusiastic but still NW TN focused, Ukie is NW of that 100 miles or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z GFS looks pretty juicy for all of the valley behind the 850c line. I haven't looked at precip type or clown maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z GGEM is a massive sleet and ice storm state wide with a fair amount of snow in the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 The GFS was very accurate the last time it was showing temps like this a few weeks ago. I didn't think it was going to happen then, but minus 20s verified over E Kentucky and SWVA, and -10s verified in East Tennessee. This would exceed the March 1960 cold quite easily, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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