CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Nice. Good news to hear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Would not mind seeing this keep digging further south as it did some from 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 If we can get one more nudge south on the shortwave, then this could be a low end warning event. I wouldn't forecast that right now, but if that scenario occurs, then you would probably have to think about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 If we can get one more nudge south on the shortwave, then this could be a low end warning event. I wouldn't forecast that right now, but if that scenario occurs, then you would probably have to think about it. Sounds like NCEP's trending that way, too - ...THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS/MID TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST... THE COMBINATION OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY EMANATING FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH AND A DIGGING TROUGH MOVING SOUTH AND EAST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA TOWARD THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL PRODUCE AN EXPANDING AREA OF SNOWFALL SPREADING EASTWARD WITHIN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE RETREATING ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. RAPIDLY BUILDING HEIGHTS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US ON DAY 3 WILL HELP CREATE AN EXPANDING BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN US. WHILE THERE APPEARS TO BE LITTLE INDICATION THAT A STRONG SURFACE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP...SIGNIFICANT QPF WILL DEVELOP WITHIN THIS BAROCLINIC ZONE AND THE BULK OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS SNOW WHILE RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL COLD AIR OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND LOWER OHIO VALLEY COULD LEAD TO SOME FREEZING RAIN/SLEET. BEGINNING ON DAY 1 THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR 4-INCHES OR MORE CENTERING ALONG THE TX/OK BORDER EAST OF THE PANHANDLES. BY DAY 2...THE POTENTIAL FOR 4-INCHES IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH A MODERATE RISK EXTENDING FROM EASTERN KS TO CENTRAL IL WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH A NORTHERN STREAM BOUNDARY. MID-UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS AND FRONTAL FORCING ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FURTHER ON DAY 3...RAISING A HIGH RISK FOR 4-INCHES OR MORE FROM CENTRAL IND TO UPSTATE NY...WITH A MODERATE RISK FOR 8-INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OH INTO WESTERN PA. THE PROBABILITY OF 0.25 INCHES OR GREATER ICING IS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 I just moved a lot of the banterish and OT posts to the banter thread. Lets remember this is the thread for 3/1-3/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 NAM looks juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 nam is real nice NAM looks juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 NAM looks juicy No kidding. Good trends today. S/W is stronger and further south. May have to entertain the idea of warning criteria snows for some of the mountains in NE CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Really nice trends this afternoon... 18z NAM touching warning criteria at least for northern parts of CT and spreads advisory further north into CNE verbatim Boston's record will be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Just for Scooter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Just for Scooter.. That looks great for you and me Kevin. Hope it verifies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Congrats on the extra inch. Heard you could use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Adjustments from BOX after 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 CT deserves a storm. nam is pretty Juicy for NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Congrats on the extra inch. Heard you could use it.Just joking since you said I have a jack fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Adjustments from BOX after 0z? The map looks better for everyone with a widespread 4-6, and worse for me with 2-3. Typical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 The map looks better for everyone with a widespread 4-6, and worse for me with 2-3. Typical Oh my bad, I hadn't seen their latest update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Just joking since you said I have a jack fetish. I know lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 That's a good map from BOX I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Wow, very nice trends since my thinking last night. I actually feel 5-8 is a good bet the way things are trending especially away from the coast as it looks like some taint almost reaching Boston on that 18z NAM run. But we'll see. Still should be overall colder than the last event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 That's a good map from BOX I think. Still 60 hours out, but I'd probably bring the 4-6 north along the E Coast of MA...they will do well if this trend of developing a closed sfc low to our S is real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 Still 60 hours out, but I'd probably bring the 4-6 north along the E Coast of MA...they will do well if this trend of developing a closed sfc low to our S is real.Agreed but I think at this range a broadbrush is fine and then as we get closer and determine if the coastal trend is real or not we can adjust accordingly in eastern areas. I wouldn't be surprised to see this trend into a widespread 4-8 deal though if the trend towards digging more and forming a coastal is real which I think it may be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Still 60 hours out, but I'd probably bring the 4-6 north along the E Coast of MA...they will do well if this trend of developing a closed sfc low to our S is real. excellent news nice local refresher for Wa Wa and Cpl for my local Fav Crotched Mtn. Conditions in SNH are pretty damn good Also throw a bit more QPF in the pack. I would think any March snow pack records in SNE (esp S shore) are obliterated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 If I'm looking correctly this has been the NAM trends since 0z for BOS 0z: 0.14"6z: 0.32"12z: 0.34"18z: 0.48" (liquid equiv) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Nope - 18" to 24" or I don't want it ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 so... what does Logan need for snow to put them over the top ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 so... what does Logan need for snow to put them over the top ? 6" give or take half an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 GFS looks nice too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Hopefully ... they can haul up beating the old record by 2 tenths of a measly inch then -- After all the bluster, glory, and near OD heroin snow fixing ... leaves a nice unsavory after taste of just getting lucky - haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 GFS looks nice too warning level stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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