40/70 Benchmark Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 hires has us just outside the warning area. IDK, I think this event is going to disappoint some people....but looks decent south, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 8-10, Danbury to Worcester. That's my final call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 IDK, I think this event is going to disappoint some people....but looks decent south, that's for sure. Low low expectations with this one here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'd peg a zone from Kevin over to Attleboro Mansfield and brockton as somewhere that could see 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 RGEM not looking goodl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'd peg a zone from Kevin over to Attleboro Mansfield and brockton as somewhere that could see 6+ I think this snows 6"+ right down to the south coast. Not seeing much mixing going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I think 3-6" is what I'll expect here, and I'll be happy if we get more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 RGEM not looking goodl Are we looking at same maps? 0z RGEM a big improvement over 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 2-4" for mby.. good luck down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 0z RGEM vs. 18z with much better lift over eastern MA and easterly fetch as low gets going 6z Monday so far good trends on 0z suite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 RGEM not looking goodl RGEM looks great, improved from 18 for CT, RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 New rgem wants to jack the outer cape lol Looks like warning snows for most south of the pike though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Along with improved 0z RGEM I posted above... 0z NAM Bufkit significantly improved over 18z / 12z: KBOS 5.3" / 0.41 qpf KPYM 3.8" / 0.65 qpf KORH 4.3" / 0.43 qpf KBDL 5.6" / 0.46 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Forecast snowfall (RGEM): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 0z GFS very close to 18z... very paltry compared to 0z NAM / RGEM I'd lean with the improving trends of the meso-models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 GFS bumped up QPF now. Very good trends tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Someone discussed this earlier... GFS very splotchy with QPF distribution, ironically the meso models RGEM/NAM have more evenly distributed QPF (and of course, higher amounts) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Along with improved 0z RGEM I posted above... 0z NAM Bufkit significantly improved over 18z / 12z: KBOS 5.3" / 0.41 qpf KPYM 3.8" / 0.65 qpf KORH 4.3" / 0.43 qpf KBDL 5.6" / 0.46 qpf Don't really understand the KPYM total. I don't see much mixing anymore as the trends have been colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Someone discussed this earlier... GFS very splotchy with QPF distribution, ironically the meso models RGEM/NAM have more evenly distributed QPF (and of course, higher amounts) It's a tiny system with a tiny surface reflection maybe the resolution of the GFS is just too coarse to resolve it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Was comparing RGEM to NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 It's a tiny system with a tiny surface reflection maybe the resolution of the GFS is just too coarse to resolve it. Exactly, that was my point about the irony.. coarse resolution relative to the meso-models, yet it has really consistent uneven spotted qpf distribution, compared to the higher-resolution NAM/RGEM which have more uniform distribution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Don't really understand the KPYM total. I don't see much mixing anymore as the trends have been colder. Agree with you, was gonna post the same... I think areas like Ginx - Clinch do really well verbatim on 0z NAM Also interesting that ratios are better overall in BOS than ORH, not sure I buy that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Even the high resolution 13km GFS has the shredded precip shield...so I don't think it is the resolution, the model is just handling the system differently than the NAM/RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Don't really understand the KPYM total. I don't see much mixing anymore as the trends have been colder. Can't it just be a lower SLR, warmer but not enough for mixing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Forecast snowfall (RGEM): Don, is this model accurate this far out. seems to have the good stuff over my area. Best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Don, is this model accurate this far out. seems to have the good stuff over my area. Best. It seems to do best inside 24 hours, but doesn't do too badly at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Ukie joining the rest of the 0z party... much better than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Nam Bufkit is 8 plus around these here parts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Nam Bufkit is 8 plus around these here parts you're looking good from 0z suite KEWB 6.9" / 0.77 qpf KPVD 7.9" / 0.71 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Monday is my 21st.... So obviously I'm hoping classes are called off. Unfortunately.... Looks like this is probably done well before Monday morning and the commute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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