friedmators Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 2:26 AM, NYCSNOWMAN2020 said: I know its Nam . ..but what does it say for sun night Healthy amounts of QPF. .5-.8" for most of the area. Looks like mostly snow north of 78. 2-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 2:37 AM, friedmators said: Healthy amounts of QPF. .5-.8" for most of the area. Looks like mostly snow north of 78. 2-6" Yea solid thump n&w of the city. 4 to 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 Every run wetter and wetter....now 0.75" LE for nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 It does look like the 0 C isotherm at 925 mb moves to the north of NYC & LI...a fair amount falls before it moves through...but that would indicate a changeover on Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 2:50 AM, Pamela said: It does look like the 0 C isotherm at 925 mb moves to the north of NYC & LI...a fair amount falls before it moves through...but that would indicate a changeover on Sunday night.safe to say another messy Monday morning commute for most areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 2:53 AM, NYCSNOWMAN2020 said: safe to say another messy Monday morning commute for most areas Its the NAM at 48 - 54...not something to bet anything more than a nickel over; but it does provide some guidance. In my experience; with these so called SWFE's...the models tend to start cold when the event first shows up on the charts 5 days out or so...the next 4 days, the model runs have a tendency to become progressively warmer...until the last 24 hours; when temperatures back down just a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 And for CNJ, folks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 2:59 AM, Pamela said: Its the NAM at 48 - 54...not something to bet anything more than a nickel over; but it does provide some guidance. In my experience; with these so called SWFE's...the models tend to start cold when the event first shows up on the charts 5 days out or so...the next 4 days, the model runs have a tendency to become progressively warmer...until the last 24 hours; when temperatures back down just a bit.yeah I agree ; I think it's ridiculous to try and guess snow amounts etc ..by sat oz suite will have better guidance ..IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 3:04 AM, The Plowsman said: And for CNJ folks?0Z NAMCNJ 2 to 4 sleet light rain. KNYC LI 4 to 6 sleet light rain N of 80 CT coast inc NNJ LHV 6 to 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 2:59 AM, Pamela said: Its the NAM at 48 - 54...not something to bet anything more than a nickel over; but it does provide some guidance. In my experience; with these so called SWFE's...the models tend to start cold when the event first shows up on the charts 5 days out or so...the next 4 days, the model runs have a tendency to become progressively warmer...until the last 24 hours; when temperatures back down just a bit.I don't understand why the NAM is being taken as gospel right now either Pam, it's a horrible model, but it shows a lot of snow so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 JM the post of you were wrong was a response to " that makes sense slop then rain " In your next post you said it was 2 to 4. If i said 6 to 12 i would expect someone to say I am wrong . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 2:41 AM, Zelocita Weather said: Every run wetter and wetter....now 0.75" LE for nycI would not bet a penny on the NAM being right 12 hours out, let alone at this hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 3:19 AM, snowman19 said: I would not bet a penny on the NAM being right 12 hours out, let alone at this hour You do know all models show an event right. Similar to the gfs, just more qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 3:07 AM, PB GFI said: 0Z NAM CNJ 2 to 4 sleet light rain. KNYC LI 4 to 6 sleet light rain N of 80 CT coast inc NNJ LHV 6 to 8 Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 3:19 AM, BxEngine said: There ya go.lol. on a more serious note gfs euro name all wife told in a big way the last three to five storms so sit here and talk about the possibility of 6 7 or 8 inches anywhere near the city 1-3safe bet then if you get an inch to 2 more then praise the weather gods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 3:23 AM, Animal said: You do know all models show an event right. Similar to the gfs, just more qpf.When doesn't the NAM show juiced QPF? I'm done arguing about it, the model sucks, if you want to believe it because it's showing a lot of snow go right ahead. We're beating a dead horse here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 The RGEM is still fairly cold...most of that orange to the south is FZRA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Gfs out to hr 33 looks way further south and cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Hr 39 surface in Nc and 540 by dca Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 3:40 AM, SnowGoose69 said: The RGEM is still fairly cold...most of that orange to the south is FZRA That looks really nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Hr 48 light snow...surface and 850 south of Phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 RGEM snow map shows several inches for NYC. Really nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Hr 51 steady snow. Sleet Ice line to Ttn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Does anyone have one of those snow maps for 0z NAM that are always fun to look at? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Hr 54 is a thump for nyc and nasty ice cnj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Sv maps 4-6 for city and sw ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 On 2/28/2015 at 3:51 AM, Allsnow said: Sv maps 4-6 for city and sw ct Great work man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 4-6 in n nj as well? Colder or the same as 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 Does anyone have rgem snow maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 4-6 extreme ne nj and the rest 2-4 down to the Driscoll bridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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