bluewave Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 3/8/13? I believe that was 5" at Central Park officially. 4.0". NYC hasn't done as well in March so far as it has in all other months from October to February in the 2000's. All the big March snowfall records are further back in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 can each of you go post in the mid atlantic portal. Really need to get some mods in here to give you all a time out. Take it somewhere else. Please, keep it on topic (not you Animal), or like the quoted post warns, I will be extending free time outs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Yeh we fell for 4 to 6 last Saturday without blocking huh. how did that one work out with LP going to our W The pattern is filled with low level cold air that can't get displaced. The GEM and NAM spin a center up S of the area. Don't fall for the rain crap. It's snow. Havent been wrong on these this month Not once. Ride the hot hand and the pattern. LMAO that violates a number of logical fallacies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 How's the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 How's the euro Pretty dry so far through Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 I wouldn't even care what the euro looks. Typically a SWFE like this delivers 3-6 inches for our area ending as some taint. Thankfully we got this storm coming in during late hours and sunlight will not be a problem. I expect once the sun comes out Monday morning the precip to shut off as some taint or freezing drizzle. Good event imo and a great winter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Not bad for Monday, the BL is warm but 850's don't look bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 LMAO that violates a number of logical fallacies. How is pattern recognition a fallacy. Do you understand when a model consistently does not see low level cold air and mistakenly warm both the mid levels and the BL it has to correct The hot hand Is neg epo low level direct discharged cold air that models correct to so often one would have to be blind not to see such an easy error. Monkeys read models verbatim and go with it , pattern recognition ability comes from years of seeing the models miss those nuances in the atmosphere . I posted 5 days ago this was snow. It's in the end of Feb disco. You will not find anyone else earlier . Now I am telling you this will correct colder like the GEM and wetter like the UKIE and NAM . what was your forecast 5 days ago ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 EURO, colder/south vs. 0z? How much QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 EURO, colder/south vs. 0z? How much QPF? The map on SV out to hour 72 has 0" of snow for Philly, EWR, NYC and all of LI for the Euro. Not much precip either. Looks like .25-.50 tops. Some snow north of these area's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 EURO, colder/south vs. 0z? How much QPF? 0.25"+ areawide with a warm BL and cold temps aloft. SV maps show 1-2" for the area and 2-4" well North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 The map on SV out to hour 72 has 0" of snow for Philly, EWR, NYC and all of LI for the Euro. Not much precip either. Looks like .25-.50 tops. Some snow north of these area's yeah, it's pretty dry and warm verbatim. Has 1-3 for Southern CT and 2-4 just north of that. Hope it's wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Another poster just said the SV maps show 1 to 2 inches. Which is it, 0 or 1 to 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 So it's basically all rain? Nothing like the other models. I wonder what has happened to EURO, it's used to be the best model. How can a model go from so great to so bad?? It has been all over the place this year like the other models typically are. Seem wet south of that line I described. Other models seemed to have cooled today too. Nothing it ever easy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 12 Z European snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Another poster just said the SV maps show 1 to 2 inches. Which is it, 0 or 1 to 2? Like I said, 1-2 and 2-4 North. getimg (8).jpg 12 Z European snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 Did move nicely toward other guidance....GAME ON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Did move nicely toward other guidance....GAME ON yea looks better than the overnight run. UK looked to solid too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Upton has 1-2" for NYC Long Island and ne Jersey. They have 2-3" for the lhv.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Upton just updated map. Increased totals pretty significantly as expected. Much more inline with current model trends. 1-2, 2-3 would be way too low attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 Upton just updated map. Increased totals pretty significantly as expected. Much more inline with current model trends. 1-2, 2-3 would be way too low attm. Getting there...I think one more shift south with higher totals if nothing changes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 This appears to be very similar to last event with mid-high end advisory amounts. I would be shocked if watches went up, for one we are too far out (5th period) and two, you would need an average of 6" in a zone with a 50% confidence of achieving that. QPF is a bit less this time around but one thing we have going is a colder solution compared to last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 15z SREF mean is wetter across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 18 Z NAM just got really wet. Solid thump N & W of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 15z SREF mean is snow to ice to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 Wow, borderline higher end event now. 0.5" - 0.75" all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Comes in like a wall of snow Sunday afternoon And then a flip the last few hours on the coastal plain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 This is a 8:1 - 10:1 event. Snow growth is marginal. I think 2-4" would be a solid call for NYC right now. More N/W. 1-3" LI Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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