UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Anyone have a 4k Nam snowfall map? Still loading, I'll post when done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Still loading, I'll post when done Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 the small upticks on the QPF values... look valid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12Z RGEM. Rain/Snow/Freezing Rain Accum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12Z RGEM. Rain/Snow/Freezing Rain Accum. That looks better than last Sat! At least this model does Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12Z RGEM. Rain/Snow/Freezing Rain Accum. Wow that's is really far south. Did not expect to see the freezing rain that far south and that much of it. Does the ice threat the CMC proposed Match other guidance? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 GFS? 925 zero crosses LI by 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 most of the crew would settle for our last licks with a max out on the sno po..... YES??? cold sector battle trends in our favor---atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 925 zero crosses LI by 03z. It finally sees LP off to the south now . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 It finally sees LP off to the south now . PB, I've been riding your train sir. This is another 4" event in Manhattan. Models are trending in the right direction. RGEM may be a tick too far south. Euro is too far north with temp profiles being too warm too fast. I like the RGEM, plus a 10-15 mile adjustment North. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 PB, I've been riding your train sir. This is another 4" event in Manhattan. Models are trending in the right direction. RGEM may be a tick too far south. Euro is too far north with temp profiles being too warm too fast. I like the RGEM, plus a 10-15 mile adjustment North. Sent from my iPhone Thank you . I think its 4 to 6 in and around the city and 6 to 8 N of 80 . But do not be surprised if the N shore of Long Island is 6 plus . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Right now, I'm thinking this is a 2-3er for most of us in the NYC/NENJ area with 4-8" headed into NWNJ/SENY and CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Thank you . I think its 4 to 6 in and around the city and 6 to 8 N of 80 . But do not be surprised if the N shore of Long Island is 6 plus . North shore of Long Island is its own micro climate. The bluffs really insulate it, and the sound, especially this time of year, does nothing to warm it up. I've seen many times where the LIE is the dividing line between sn+ and rn/ip. I remember in the February 2013 blizzard driving down William Floyd and it was horrific from 25a to 495. Once I hit 495, it switched to heavy sleet and rain. The difference over approximately a mile was about twelve inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I'm sure advisories will be posted for most by tonight's 4pm update after the 12z runs, possibly some watchesTheir latest call as of this morning is 1-3 south of the lower hudson valley and 2-4 for the lhv, upton that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Right now, I'm thinking this is a 2-3er for most of us in the NYC/NENJ area with 4-8" headed into NWNJ/SENY and CTI would venture to predict 3-6" for nyc/LI with 4-7" in parts of S CT and NE NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 4K NAM snowfall http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015022812/nam4km_asnow_neus_21.png where is the nervous nell of Pomona today??? Dry Slots to Hell this go round..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 North shore of Long Island is its own micro climate. The bluffs really insulate it, and the sound, especially this time of year, does nothing to warm it up. I've seen many times where the LIE is the dividing line between sn+ and rn/ip. I remember in the February 2013 blizzard driving down William Floyd and it was horrific from 25a to 495. Once I hit 495, it switched to heavy sleet and rain. The difference over approximately a mile was about twelve inches. I agree . Moved to Laurel Hollow in 02 . It is just a different world at times than the S shore . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I agree . Moved to Laurel Hollow in 02 . It is just a different world at times than the S shore . What's very interesting is when the coastal fronts set up on the South Shore or from SW to NE; I've seen it really enhance precipitation amounts on the N/NW side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 4K NAM snowfall http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/nam4km/2015022812/nam4km_asnow_neus_21.png nam4km_asnow_neus_21.png Nice CAD all the way down the Eastern side of the Apps. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 What's very interesting is when the coastal fronts set up on the South Shore or from SW to NE; I've seen it really enhance precipitation amounts on the N/NW side. I like the look of the 4k NAM . Your point shows up well right up the spine and on the N side . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 It still looks like a 6-10" event for a lot of places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I like 5-8" out my way and 3-7" on the coast, with 4-8" near the GSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 most of the crew would settle for our last licks with a max out on the sno po..... YES??? cold sector battle trends in our favor---atm Looks to be a good.last lick as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 OK n for CNJ, geeeez! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 It still looks like a 6-10" event for a lot of places. Nice hold . The models came to you and J . You were mocked yesterday for that call . KNYC 6 - Putnam , Dutchess , Upper West and SW CT could see 10 . As per the RGEM and His res NAM . Thought this was a warning event with 6 from yesterday , however I only expect UPTON to go 2 to 4 at KNYC this afternoon . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Hopefully the euro raises amounts somewhat today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Nice hold . The models came to you and J . You were mocked yesterday for that call . KNYC 6 - Putnam , Dutchess , Upper West and SW CT could see 10 . As per the RGEM and His res NAM . Thought this was a warning event with 6 from yesterday , however I only expect UPTON to go 2 to 4 at KNYC this afternoon . Hey, did you see the Upton discussion this morning? They are calling for a crazy fast, short duration event, starting like 3-4pm tomorrow and ending late tomorrow night before midnight or very early morning morning for eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Sounds like a quick thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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