Thrasher Fan Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I was suppose to fly with my wife to Miami tomorrow out of Charlotte for a 4 day weekend. Doesn't look like that is happening. Drive. No way in heck I'd miss a 4 day miami trip. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Temps are shooting up here. The late February sun is not impressed with the meager cloud coverage we have currently. If the clouds weren't forecast to thicken I'd say we could make a run at 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Temps are shooting up here. The late February sun is not impressed with the meager cloud coverage we have currently. If the clouds weren't forecast to thicken I'd say we could make a run at 50s. I keep looking to the west for some clouds but the sun is kicking things into high gear. I wonder if we hit 50F today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Wral is all over this storm! Minute by minute updates in the storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Cloud cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Well I'm either going to get all mix or all rain...that's what I get for living in ENC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ekman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I haven't watched them - have they even admitted it might snow yet? Hah... after insisting all day yesterday it would be nothing but cold rain east of the mountains, they are now covering their bases and calling for somewhere in the neighborhood of 1-3" with the possibility of 8-10. Sounded to me like they were still hedging, and are not ready to give up on the rain. But I have to admit I was only paying partial attention. Honestly I get most of my weather info from the folks on this board these days, at least when something potentially interesting might be coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I keep looking to the west for some clouds but the sun is kicking things into high gear. I wonder if we hit 50F today... But the satellite! Cloud cover incoming! Hi Res NAM can pound sand. We'll get 1"+ QPF. Don't you worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Borderline 2m temps is a main concern. Looks to be a wet messy snow for many. Wish we were 5 degrees colder across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fig Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Wow woke up to a map of 2" QPF for my backyard. Good thing it's all rain! /sarcasm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think these 12z runs are sealing the deal that accums will be impacted farther north and west than it looked earlier. Every run is north some and west some and stronger. Lots of sleet is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think these 12z runs are sealing the deal that accums will be impacted farther north and west than it looked earlier. Every run is north some and west some and stronger. Lots of sleet is coming. The RGEM is a concern, the nice thing is we look to be over 1" QPF...this would probably be half snow and half sleet, so 5" of snow with 2" of sleet, LOL....That would be insane. Edit: The RGEM was a little warm with the mid-levels with last weeks event, it kept wanting to do half sleet and half freezing rain and we got all freezing rain. If I could be anywhere right now it would be right along 85 between Burlington and Chapel Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Wow woke up to a map of 2" QPF for my backyard. Good thing it's all rain! /sarcasm I know how that feels...I'll watch Greenville get several inches while we in Washington get nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mello Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Reading all of this and being on the edge of nada to 3"+ is maddening. I'm almost ready to just accept the cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VeronicaCorningstone Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'm having shades of some storm from February 09 or 10 where we were forecast at least a couple inches of snow and got squat but some cold rain and about 23 sleet pellets. Riding the rain/snow line blows. That said, yesterday's snow was awesome. Hate to see it get washed away but at least we saw some fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 LET IT G O O O O O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The RGEM is a concern, the nice thing is we look to be over 1" QPF...this would probably be half snow and half sleet, so 5" of snow with 2" of sleet, LOL....That would be insane. Edit: The RGEM was a little warm with the mid-levels with last weeks event, it kept wanting to do half sleet and half freezing rain and we got all freezing rain. If I could be anywhere right now it would be right along 85 between Burlington and Chapel Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The RGEM is a concern, the nice thing is we look to be over 1" QPF...this would probably be half snow and half sleet, so 5" of snow with 2" of sleet, LOL....That would be insane. Edit: The RGEM was a little warm with the mid-levels with last weeks event, it kept wanting to do half sleet and half freezing rain and we got all freezing rain. If I could be anywhere right now it would be right along 85 between Burlington and Chapel Hill. Yeah I feel like I may be a little NW of the jackpot zone. Then again, after being on the line with the last 2 big storms and getting a ton of sleet I don't mind having a little wiggle room this time. If I only get a few inches of pure snow then so be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skbl17 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Sheesh, it's already up to 35 here. Can't afford to go much higher. All I can hope for now is that the SLP tracks over Woodbine, Brunswick, St. Marys, or points south. Might be asking for too much, but I have a growing feeling that this is going to turn into #RainDay2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTWolf Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'll save my whining for when Asheville gets 2 inches and the mountains around us get 8+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Once a GooFuS, always a GooFuS. You can't fix stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think these 12z runs are sealing the deal that accums will be impacted farther north and west than it looked earlier. Every run is north some and west some and stronger. Lots of sleet is coming. What do you think for Raleigh CR? And what is the Fish going with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 These models seem pretty untrustworthy at the moment. It's 34 degrees with a dewpoint of 25, and it looks like the precipitation will be moving in in an hour or two, so I don't see how we could get up to 38 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 What do you think for Raleigh CR? And what is the Fish going with? Man, I honestly think Raleigh mixes quite a bit. I think we'll be very lucky to pick up 5". We are so right on the line (or at least on where we think the line is, according to the models). But if the storm continues to trend stronger, I think many more folks will mix. These strong storms have a way of injecting warm air in the mid levels that is not well modeled. So all of these snow maps, while nice to look at, aren't picking that process up. On the other hand, I could be being too pessimistic. I've just seen this happen a lot. It's way too close for comfort here. WRAL was basically saying 1-3 on the low end and like 3-6 or 6-8 on the high end (if we stay all snow and get the robust QPF the models are showing). Haven't seen any updates from them that reflect a change in that thinking. They also said they felt the R/S line would set up between FAY and RAL. That was before the 12z models though. I would have to think that gets adjusted north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'm getting sick about hearing from someone how we're going to have all thus snow not accumulating despite temperatures at freezing with cold soil temperatures AT NIGHT. MAN, it's hard not to lose it. If this was falling during the day in 33-34 degree temperatures like it is down in Alabama, then I'd agree, but it isn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Over/under on post brick get deleted in the pattern thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Over/under on post brick get deleted in the pattern thread? Over 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'm getting sick about hearing from someone how we're going to have all thus snow not accumulating despite temperatures at freezing with cold soil temperatures AT NIGHT. MAN, it's hard not to lose it. If the snow is coming down hard, it will have no problem accumulating. None whatsoever. Anybody that says anything otherwise has zero credibility and should be dismissed on anything else they have to say. If the snow comes down lightly or is mixed with rain, then yes, different story maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Over/under on post brick get deleted in the pattern thread? Over. He'll definitely have some deleted posts today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Yeah I feel like I may be a little NW of the jackpot zone. Then again, after being on the line with the last 2 big storms and getting a ton of sleet I don't mind having a little wiggle room this time. If I only get a few inches of pure snow then so be it. I was thinking 3-6" for us, but now probably 4-8". Maybe even 6-10" if the short-range models are on point. The SREFs continue to look better, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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