aldie 22 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 One more shift and I may pull the trigger on 1.5-3.5" for here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 One more shift and I may pull the trigger on 1.5-3.5" for here We already know where the band will set up. Not need for another model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 0.25" contour from IAD to DCA. 0.10" contour from Philly - Harrisburg. Thanks... hope we do well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 text from Eurowx gives DCA 2.2" snow. That's thru h30, so snow would be done before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 -sn/flurries into Friday morning? http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=rhum&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Winter Weather Advisories should be coming out for FFX and Southward, DC Proper, PG, Calvert, Charles, St Mary's, and Anne Arundel soon, let's say, by 5:00:00pm . BWI 0.7", DCA 1.1" ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 How's that saying go about surprise snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 1.8" @ BWI text from Eurowx gives DCA 2.2" snow. That's thru h30, so snow would be done before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The snow on snow early friday morning should be pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 we're near the -10C line at 850 tomorrow at 12Z soooooo.......ratios anyone? http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=temp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h24&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The snow on snow early friday morning should be pretty. ha saw that..snow on snow on snow on snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 we're near the -10C line at 850 tomorrow at 12Z so.......ratios anyone? http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=temp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h24&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest I would just use climo (11-12:1) and hope for something better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
infekshus Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 How's that saying go about surprise snows? surprise snow doesn't blow. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Anyone see the WRF ARW and NMM? Juiced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 First thoughts, I actually do believe there could be 12-14:1 ratios with this one, but I'm not sure I buy the euros depiction on this one. The vort pass is good however, so we shall see. DCA: 1-2 (1.3") BWI: <1" (0.9") IAD: 1-3 (1.8") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Anyone see the WRF ARW and NMM? Juiced I thought those models had a wet bias BUT... ARW is ~0.4" QPF and NMM is ~0.6" QPF... both at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Good Call! Hey, can't win 'em all. Model aint named Dr. NO for nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I would just use climo (11-12:1) and hope for something better... I'm going with 6:1 to start and 18:1 to finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Hey, can't win 'em all. Model aint named Dr. NO for nothing. #bostoning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 how can anyone be happy with this when Raleigh,Richmond and Norfolk are about to destroy us in the snow dept. 8-12 for Raleigh...bs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 how can anyone be happy with this when Raleigh,Richmond and Norfolk are about to destroy us in the snow dept. 8-12 for Raleigh...bs You are a very unhappy person Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 how can anyone be happy with this when Raleigh,Richmond and Norfolk are about to destroy us in the snow dept. 8-12 for Raleigh...bs Seconded. Asshats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 EURO finally gets a clue. Geeze. Poor model this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 how can anyone be happy with this when Raleigh,Richmond and Norfolk are about to destroy us in the snow dept. 8-12 for Raleigh...bs relax, in 2 hours the 18Z NAM will be well north of 12Z.....just a hunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 relax, in 2 hours the 18Z NAM will be well north of 12Z.....just a hunch 15z SREFs will lead the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I thought those models had a wet bias BUT... ARW is ~0.4" QPF and NMM is ~0.6" QPF... both at DCA They have a wet bias but I like the trends I'm seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 15z SREFs will lead the way Almost certain the next SREFS will be wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 relax, in 2 hours the 18Z NAM will be well north of 12Z.....just a hunch Everything is coming north. Surface low is deeper so more dynamic and more expansive precip, better vort etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 All we need is that 00z EURO to bump the .25" line to DMW and we're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Everything is coming north. Surface low is deeper so more dynamic and more expansive precip, better vort etc.I've been watching your thoughts on this one, you have been bullish and think this baby is coming N. Hope your right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.