HighStakes Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 the more I look at the radar, the more it looks like a big storm to me the only thing I can say is that if it does disappoint, it's got to have to do with the northern stream system messing up the lift or cold, dry air filtering in from the N & NW I know. Radar looks great. If we didn't have have a billion models and this was 1984 we would think we're going to get crushed. That system will probably result in 8 inches for someone in Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 02z HRRR looks better to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Isn't there a RAP v2? there was until it became the rap v1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 2z HRRR looking better so far than 1z. Earlier onset of precip (b/t 5a-6a) and 0.15" line just south of Route 50 through 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 02z HRRR looks better to me On a scale of interesting how interesting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 2z HRRR looking better so far than 1z. Earlier onset of precip (b/t 5a-6a) and 0.15" line a bit south of Route 50 through 8am. 2-3 inches in Fairfax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On a scale of interesting how interesting? 1 to 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 But better models usually...at least the Euro always seems to do well on total precip Given all the guidance since then, I don't know that we can weight the 12z euro too much at this point..sucks that it only runs twice a day.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On a scale of interesting how interesting? mind if we unilaterally change the scale? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Time to put the models down and stare at Water Vapor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On a scale of interesting how interesting? On the interesting scale, I would rate as moderately interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 34.5/22 in Hampton, VA. I'm guessing it's all snow. Might get a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 this is NOT normally an overdone radar view http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/virginia/weather-radar?play=1 the fact that precip is shooting north up the Apps is "normally" a good sign.....crazy, but it will be what it will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Given all the guidance since then, I don't know that we can weight the 12z euro too much at this point..sucks that it only runs twice a day.... I almost have to. I can hang for the GFS, but that will be it. Drove down to snowshoe today, skied all day, drove back...I'm beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 02z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Time to put the models down and stare at Water Vapor Bong soon.. soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 2-3 inches in Fairfax The Weenies are coming! The Weenies are coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The radar looks great. Precipitation in central VA moving northeast fast towards dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On the interesting scale, I would rate as moderately interesting Honestly, we just can't know yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 34.5/22 in Hampton, VA. I'm guessing it's all snow. Might get a foot. you did the same stuff before the 1/30/10 storm and ended up changing to sleet and getting the same amounts that fell at DCA and BWI so paybacks are he!!, remember that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Time to put the models down and stare at Water Vapor Don't forget the enhanced infrared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I know. Radar looks great. If we didn't have have a billion models and this was 1984 we would think we're going to get crushed. That system will probably result in 8 inches for someone in Illinois. idk, to me, it looks like the southern half the system is getting shunted south and taking the good dynamics with it. the nw edge looks like it's making a beeline towards us, but unlike last storm it doesn't look like we have the upper level support (like bob said in a previous post). this is very beginner's talk though. i could be wrong and we get 6 inches lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 That's a pretty noticeable increase in QPF esp. S and E of DC on the latest HRRR. Interesting to see if just a blip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Radar hallucinations every where Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Latest RAP is 0.15" for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On composite you can see returns showing up NW of DC in a band that connects to the stuff going back into KY.. that might be sort of the NW edge or the NW edge suberband showing its hand early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Latest RAP is 0.15" for DC 0.25" isnt that far away though... its in W PG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 RGEM fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxw Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 This the more I look at the radar, the more it looks like a big storm to me the only thing I can say is that if it does disappoint, it's got to have to do with the northern stream system messing up the lift or cold, dry air filtering in from the N & NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 again, this looks ideal for a big storm and is NEVER overdone http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/roanoke-va/weather-radar-r1h?play=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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