BTRWx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 What is the best source for that model? Thanks for the update! eta: I actually have it bookmarked! http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/firewx/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 FWIW...took a look at the 18z NAM fire weather nested grid model. It's run for special events and it was pretty impressive especially just south of DC...had 0.75-1.0 lower St. Mary's, 0.5-0.75 north across spotsy, all southern MD and even fringing to southern facquier county. 0.25-0.50 into DC, eastern Loudoun and toward BWI and 0.1-0.25 to near the M/D line. Thanks for drawing attention to this. It's done a good job with some recent events for us. Here's the screen grab of what you've mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 A warmer push to the NW does not necessitate a NW trend in the precip field. Sometimes storms underperform everywhere...Northwest side on radar is extra nice looking on the southeast loop so far good to see heavier echoes holding strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Don't look at the new nam heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Nam not looking so great on the nw side. Neither is the latest hrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Thanks for drawing attention to this. It's done a good job with some recent events for us. Here's the screen grab of what you've mentioned. Excellent! Thanks for pulling this up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Don't look at the new nam heh Ugh what's it doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Jeb. Your county appears to be next in line for a WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Ugh what's it doing? Taking it all away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Lol NAM. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Ugh what's it doing?Only like .05 or so to DC it appears. In late and basically nada north of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Ugh what's it doing? Basically telling you to undo what you/LWX just did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Crapola... Dry!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 This is a crazy business to be in. You get all the offices onboard then the models suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Convective feedback issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 NAM is still juicy for the southern MD/eastern shore crew, but tightened up the NW extent of the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 4km NAM will be better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Convective feedback issues Being an unreliable inferior model of limited utility issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 4km NAM will be better Way to go out on a limb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 This hobby should come with calm down pills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Convective feedback issues I noticed the HRRR earlier had quite a squall over FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 NAM trended a lot snowier for NYC on 1/26. It's a crappy model and it's trends mean nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Why is anyone surprised that the NAM dropped a turd in the fruit punch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Hey Yoda I bet the GFS will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 toss.. we are in hrrrrrrr range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Hey Yoda I bet the GFS will be interesting. lold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Hey Yoda I bet the GFS will be interesting. Indeed it will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I'm rollin with the RAP...till it shows less snow for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 NAM trended a lot snowier for NYC on 1/26. It's a crappy model and it's trends mean nothing. Yup, countless times it drastically changes with precip amounts within 12 hours of the event starting. Can never make a forecast based on it. Only can be used as guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 This hobby should come with calm down pills. The job Should come with morphine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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