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Feb. 26 Storm DISC+OBS


Ellinwood

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA

256 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

VAZ062>064-074>077-260415-

/O.UPG.KAKQ.WW.Y.0006.150226T0300Z-150226T1800Z/

/O.EXA.KAKQ.WS.W.0002.150226T0000Z-150226T1800Z/

GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-

NORTHUMBERLAND-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOOCHLAND...ASHLAND...TAPPAHANNOCK

256 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM

EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WINTER

STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT

FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER

ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA TO

THE NORTHERN NECK IN EASTERN VIRGINIA.

* HAZARDS: SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS: 3 TO 6 INCHES.

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Doubtful. My wife's firm in Tysons just sent out a weather advisory to be prepared to work from home tomorrow. School systems will follow suit, but then that's not inferring that I'm Nostradamus.

 

My office also just sent out a notice to be prepared to work from home tomorrow.

 

If DC gets an inch before 4am with snow continuing to fall, we are good for at least a delay and telework options

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Just keeping track for DC..hopefully GFS/RGEM moisten at 18z so consensus improves even more...right now looks like a 2" snowfall...maybe a tad more.

 

12zGFS - 0.15"

18z NAM - 0.22"

18z Hi res - 0.27"

15z SREF - 0.27"

12z Euro - 0.24"

12z GGEM - 0.12"

12z UKMET - 0.20"

12z RGEM - 0.09"

 

The. Ratios. Though.

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I am not going to get 1.2 inch per hour rates, not even for one hour. Especially not when I get a couple of inches for the entire storm. IF I get a couple inches for the entire storm. I might see light snow/pixie dust for several hours that MIGHT accumulate to a couple of inches lol. That's an easy decision. Couple hour delay. We can deal with it. The storm is in NORTH CAROLINA, thats 250-300 miles south of DC.

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