H2O Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 What's with the camel hump up into Pittsburgh We call that the "bulge" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 lol I'm always in or just out of your 1-2" bands, and when I wasn't last Monday, I didn't get the 4-8" you forecasted I'm NOT busting on you, I'm just complaining more of MY location Your area's been unusually difficult to pin down this year. I have also busted on every forecast IMBY so far this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Ellinwood! 4-8 down here is this a combo of the euro nam etc. since the euro came in much more wet? Looks great haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 anyone know how much qpf got to dca this run? wv loop does look quite nice: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html also notice a little bit of clouds forming right over our area today, wondering if that is a clue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Ellinwood! 4-8 down here is this a combo of the euro nam etc. since the euro came in much more wet? Looks great haha It's a little bit of everything mixed with personal touches to try to compensate for possible QPF biases and snow ratios. Can't say that I really favor any particular one or two models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 AKQ went WSW's... 3"-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vance1167 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Am I wrong in thinking the general consensus in almost all the models is about .25 QPF right now for immediate DC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC201 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016-018-VAZ038-039-051>055-502-260315-/O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0017.150226T0500Z-150226T1700Z/DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-CALVERT-GREENE-MADISON-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...ANNAPOLIS...WALDORF...CULPEPER...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH201 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TONOON EST THURSDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED AWINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROMMIDNIGHT TO NOON EST THURSDAY.* LOCATIONS...WASHINGTON DC AND ITS MARYLAND AND VIRGINIASUBURBS.* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES.* TIMING...OVERNIGHT THROUGH LATE MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TOBE HEAVIEST DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE.* IMPACTS...ROADS MAY BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOWWILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOWCOVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILEDRIVING.&&$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 201 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015 MDZ004>006-011-503>508-VAZ501-505-506-260315- /O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0017.150226T0800Z-150226T1700Z/ FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE- NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY- NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD- SOUTHEAST HARFORD-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN LOUDOUN- EASTERN LOUDOUN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...PARKTON... REISTERSTOWN...COCKEYSVILLE...BALTIMORE...DUNDALK...CATONSVILLE... GERMANTOWN...DAMASCUS...ROCKVILLE...LISBON...COLUMBIA... ELLICOTT CITY...JARRETTSVILLE...ABERDEEN...WARRENTON... PURCELLVILLE...LEESBURG...ASHBURN 201 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO NOON EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO NOON EST THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...CENTRAL MARYLAND AND THE WESTERN VIRGINIA SUBURBS OF WASHINGTON DC. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES. * TIMING... LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MORNING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVIEST DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE. * IMPACTS...ROADS MAY BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 201 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015 MDZ017-VAZ050-056-057-260315- /O.EXT.KLWX.WW.Y.0017.150226T0300Z-150226T1700Z/ ST. MARYS-ORANGE-SPOTSYLVANIA-KING GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST MARYS CITY...FREDERICKSBURG 201 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST THURSDAY... * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND EXTREME SOUTHERN MARYLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The good thing about this storm is that Wes has a decent chance for snow in his backyard for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 DC looks like 0.3" QPF on the 15z SREF mean... 0.25 is just to the N and W of DC proper... 0.5 line is just S of EZF and clips S MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 What's with the camel hump up into Pittsburgh Guess what day it is? GUESS what day it is!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 0.25 to 0.30 for NOVA and DC on the 15z SREF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If I get 2" out of this one, I consider this a pretty solid winter and a great month. Not to mention, next weeks threat looks formidable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 0.25 to 0.30 for NOVA and DC on the 15z SREF. Any discussion when the new advisories were issued of any places in LWX CWA going to a warning....eventually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Any discussion when the new advisories were issued of any places in LWX CWA going to a warning....eventually I cannot release that information to anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I cannot release that information to anyone. Fair enough....hoping somehow to get to 5" down here around EZF (long shot).....thats all I need to get to climo.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I cannot release that information to anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I cannot release that information to anyone. you act as if someone on this Board will tell somebody lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zgummy Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Your maps are usually great. But you go from 1-2" to not even a coating to 1" north of that?. Let me guess where you live... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 you act as if someone on this Board will tell somebody lol I believe internal NWS discussions are very sensitive in nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Fair enough....hoping somehow to get to 5" down here around EZF (long shot).....thats all I need to get to climo.... You live in spotsy you got a shot. Much of this winter we had tons of north trend. Where's the north trend when we really need one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 You live in spotsy you got a shot. Much of this winter we had tons of north trend. Where's the north trend when we really need one? Jeb, 2 days ago we were forecast to get zilch. Now you are in a good spot to get 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Fair enough....hoping somehow to get to 5" down here around EZF (long shot).....thats all I need to get to climo.... I hope NWS forecasts 5" for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Jeb, 2 days ago we were forecast to get zilch. Now you are in a good spot to get 3". I realize that, but if we could get this thing to trend north more, we could get Rockville more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I believe internal NWS discussions are very sensitive in nature. The only internal discussions I care about are OPM's... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The only internal discussions I care about are OPM's... I wouldn't bet on a closing, maybe a delay. I suppose they might be shy after the January 6th debacle though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Always feels nice when my yard is in hrrr radar range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The only internal discussions I care about are OPM's... We (well, i can't say we, I'm DC Gov't) probably aren't going to close. 2 hour delay looks good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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