Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Tough one radar looks sorta good but it's also eroding on the northern end a bit overall. Seems some snow is going to be here well before pre dawn unless something changes quick though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:21 AM, Ian said: soon.. soon. 1 hour 32 minutes.. the miracle grow best work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:24 AM, WestminsterDeathband said: Latest RAP is 0.15" for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:29 AM, Yeoman said: 20:1. 3" ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 slp is in a perfect position too http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=18&parm=pmsl&underlay=1&source=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:28 AM, Yeoman said: 1 hour 32 minutes.. the miracle grow best workLMAO Lots of seed popping in about 1hr 29 mins. #DC420 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:28 AM, Yeoman said: 1 hour 32 minutes.. the miracle grow best work jelly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I'm telling you, that's our problem right there in Missouri http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=20&parm=pmsl&underlay=1&source=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 GFS looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 gfs still gets .1 to mason dixon it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 the 0.10" contour is north of the M/D line...much improved from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:35 AM, Ian said: gfs still gets .1 to mason dixon it appears it is way better than 18z in terms of QPF/cutoff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:37 AM, WestminsterDeathband said: the 0.10" contour is north of the M/D line...much improved from 18z Yeah, 18Z had that big "dip" down into north-central/northeast MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:37 AM, WestminsterDeathband said: the 0.10" contour is north of the M/D line...much improved from 18z a bit better north.. pushed the .25 contour south a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 2:52 AM, Mikethemanatee said: DCPS 2HD already announced. lolz. will be cover for all the other schools tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:38 AM, WestminsterDeathband said: it is way better than 18z in terms of QPF/cutoff... yeah tho not sure there's much difference where it already had .1 that still is in that contour. see text/hi res soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 GFS didn't really change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:27 AM, mitchnick said: again, this looks ideal for a big storm and is NEVER overdone http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/roanoke-va/weather-radar-r1h?play=1 You probably said the same thing about this time on the night of Jan 24, 2000. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 looks like our only source of qpf, really, is from the vort pass and not the slp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:20 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: I almost have to. I can hang for the GFS, but that will be it. Drove down to snowshoe today, skied all day, drove back...I'm beat. conditions must be epic there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:42 AM, MDstorm said: You probably said the same thing about this time on the night of Jan 24, 2000. MDstorm nope, I started around 1PM if memory serves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 GFS is .17" for DCA and .16" for BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 DC 0.15"+ on GFS. 0.2" is south of EZF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The counties immediately to my south are all warned. I realize that I am only a snow weenie, but I think Prince William is going to get warned next. There is a ton of moisture already in central and northern Virginia. This just might overperform, despite recent qpf model output (famous last words) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:44 AM, mitchnick said: GFS is .17" for DCA and .16" for BWI .16" for JYO, then the Friday morning starts to show up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:44 AM, mitchnick said: GFS is .17" for DCA and .16" for BWI Agrees with latest RAP run and lends some credence to the HRRR run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 On 2/26/2015 at 3:45 AM, Jebman said: The counties immediately to my south are all warned. I realize that I am only a snow weenie, but I think Prince William is going to get warned next. There is a ton of moisture already in central and northern Virginia. This just might overperform (famous last words) COD radar looks disappointing as it had that band of precip heading our way go from moving NNE to E and fizzled out on the northwestern flank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I'm still shooting for 1". Hi Leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 now I remember what this storm reminds me of radar-wise....it was the surprise storm in Dec. 1982 where 6-8" fell it had that feed of precip right up the Apps too I remember watching Channel 7 in DC w/a met by the name of Sam Houston Allred and he said the models say it will miss us but it sure looks like we might get something....lol he wasn't kidding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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