OntarioChaser Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I figure there is decent enough model consistency to warrant a new thread for the impressive system being picked up by the GFS/CMC/EURO in the March 3/4 range. Fire away, I'll start with a few recent precip type graphics from the 18z GFS and 12z CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 This is certainly the best I've seen the upper/mid levels look in a long time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I'm hoping the look changes on this one. Ohio doesn't need 1-2" of rain on all of this snow pack and frozen ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioChaser Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 indeed impressive, but we know all too well how models have been handling situations long-range recently, lol. Let's hope it holds for once! Definitely would love one more big hit before spring arrives. This is certainly the best I've seen the upper/mid levels look in a long time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 18Z GFS gives us 12+ hours of ZR, although it'll likely change the next run. What worries me is the arctic air mass behind the system. Memories of February 24, 2007 which I don't want to experience ever again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 18Z GFS gives us 12+ hours of ZR, although it'll likely change the next run. What worries me is the arctic air mass behind the system. Memories of February 24, 2007 which I don't want to experience ever again. that's the depressing part....I could care less what this storm does and quite frankly I'm done rooting for snow. But the air mass on it's heels looks like yet another dive into the arctic freezer..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadgerStateWX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Hopefully a wagon west storm with many more to come for msp and other parched locations to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Hopefully a wagon west storm with many more to come for msp and other parched locations to the north. Let me have this one in Central MI please, I'm still waiting for my first winter storm warning of the season with only 2 storms over 3" this season! It's been pretty depressing being everyones source of cold air for their big dogs while getting pixie dust all season lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Per 500mb vort maps, alot of energy working into this storm on the 0z GFS. However, alot of WAA working into it as well. Decent gradient storm in the works. Also nice SE ridge out ahead of it. Could be an interesting week coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The LP is in NE Missouri at 158 hours. Alot of WAA. Heaviest snow in Iowa. IMO potential is there for a cutter, but with the amount of cold air we have out ahead and the deep snow cover, its hard to see it coming to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 IMO potential is there for a cutter, but with the amount of cold air we have out ahead and the deep snow cover, its hard to see it coming to fruition. This argument is almost always invalid. If the UA pattern supports it, a storm can and will cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioChaser Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Absolute bomb. Just need a bit of a SE shift and we are good lol, lookin good for the Chi-town crew atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ner1979 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Let me have this one in Central MI please, I'm still waiting for my first winter storm warning of the season with only 2 storms over 3" this season! It's been pretty depressing being everyones source of cold air for their big dogs while getting pixie dust all season lol. If my memory isn't failing me, several Central Michigan counties (at minimum Isabella and Clare) are now at over two years since their last Winter Storm Warning (February 8, 2013). The area is due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Absolute bomb. Just need a bit of a SE shift and we are good lol, lookin good for the Chi-town crew atm. As is, it's a rainer here too, but obviously a lot of time for things to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioChaser Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Oh sweet jesus. CMC just laid out the most insane model output for a winter storm possible.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Oh sweet jesus. CMC just laid out the most insane model output for a winter storm possible.... Looks amazing. Strong jet streak and gulf influence really evident on the GGEM. Per the 0z GGEM it would be a heavy snow-mixing type of situation for our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GEM would be one hell of a wet system indeed. Man what a beast. Sim sat from GEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Oh sweet jesus. CMC just laid out the most insane model output for a winter storm possible.... Nice front-end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Let me have this one in Central MI please, I'm still waiting for my first winter storm warning of the season with only 2 storms over 3" this season! It's been pretty depressing being everyones source of cold air for their big dogs while getting pixie dust all season lol. Hasn't been much different in Milwaukee (though still better than MSP and yourself) so I feel your pain. Besides the 10" storm February 1st, all our systems have been under 4". It's about time to jackpot or near jackpot on a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioChaser Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Possibly looking at ice potential as well with this one. It's also amazing to note that the gfs and cmc both have a low centered in the exact same location over southern lake Huron at some point. Excellent to see that agreement already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Oh sweet jesus. CMC just laid out the most insane model output for a winter storm possible.... Yes please. MSP hasn't been in the game all season. Where do I sign up for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Huge(8-10")front end thump on the 0z euro for The GTA. Briefly goes over to -ZR/-RN before the freezing line rushes SE at hour 180. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The LP is in NE Missouri at 158 hours. Alot of WAA. Heaviest snow in Iowa. IMO potential is there for a cutter, but with the amount of cold air we have out ahead and the deep snow cover, its hard to see it coming to fruition. A neutral tilt longwave trough west of the Mississippi River with a strong southern stream wave almost always screams cutter. Sorry... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Even with the "main" storm the GFS leaves a ton of energy back in the base of the W US trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Wide spread of solutions on the 0z EPS (timing, location, strength, etc). They did a pretty good job saying that the Feb 28-Mar 2 system wasn't a one and done type of deal...so food for thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioChaser Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Looks like we are pulling the usual SE weaker trend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Weaker and SE yes, but the Canadian has this thing grind low and slow from its origin in the planes at Hr 144, across IN/OH, and then remaining over the east coast before FINALLY pushing offshore at Hr 198. Showing weaker, but long term event over the entire subforum with a mix off all P-types at times. Not even sure what to expect here.... Time to watch the model show! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GFS and Euro are polar opposites right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 2.5" final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 2.5" final call That's 5 inches over 72 hours. Bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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