CAPE Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 It's good to be on the inside looking out. Probably not wise to say things like "physically impossible" or "Meteorological impossibility". Yeah the projection is for the AO and NAO to be pretty strongly positive as we close the month, and it is getting pretty late in the game. But if I recall correctly the AO was very positive and the NAO was solidly positive on March 5th when 7 inches of snow fell imby. It was real cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 None of them show significant snow. Most bullish member is 2-4", and that's from the clipper. I thought a few of them were decent... members p007/p015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 You should ask DT hmm !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 Probably not wise to say things like "physically impossible" or "Meteorological impossibility". Yeah the projection is for the AO and NAO to be pretty strongly positive as we close the month, and it is getting pretty late in the game. But if I recall correctly the AO was very positive and the NAO was solidly positive on March 5th when 7 inches of snow fell imby. It was real cold too. thought nao supposed to change to - state around this time, guess not!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 It's good to be on the inside looking out. funny !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 thought nao supposed to change to - state around this time, guess not!! No. We may never again see the negative phase of the NAO during winter in our lifetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 GEFS all over the place for late this week/weekend... a couple of large storms, a few grazes... a few misses... and even a few rainers Wow rainers in late March. Say it ain't so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 Wow rainers in late March. Say it ain't so! Pretty shocking. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 A positive NAO, would not allow for a powerful developing low closer to the coast, dr also stated that there could be some snow in parts of the mid Atlantic, just nothing MAJOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 No. We may never again see the negative phase of the NAO during winter in our lifetime. horrible isn't it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 22, 2015 Share Posted March 22, 2015 This thread went downhill fast. . Looks like it's time to stop tracking storms and start playing video games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 18z GEFS individ members still show potential for snow late next week into weekend... hrs 120-144 time period has some decent solutions for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 00z GFS has the right idea re coastal... but its just too far east for anyone and anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 GGEM looks intriguing at 120 If the high could only get here a bit faster... ETA: Ukie at 144 has a 1006 MSLP just offshore by about 100-150 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Yoda- Dude, time to give it up. Most everyone else has. I don't think anyone really cares anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Yoda- Dude, time to give it up. Most everyone else has. I don't think anyone really cares anymore. Speak for yourself! Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? ETA: I'lol be disappointed by anything less than a coating tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Yoda- Dude, time to give it up. Most everyone else has. I don't think anyone really cares anymore. Probably But its something to do while the weather is kinda boring for a lil while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Probably But its something to do while the weather is kinda boring for a lil while I am with you Yoda... Lets have snow until June... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 GTFO ^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Let's have severe until April ^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 If you want snow in June, move to Mt Washington, Crater Lake, Mt Hood, Mt Rainier or the high elevations of Glacier NP and the rest of the Rockies. I am with you Yoda... Lets have snow until June... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 O-V-E-R Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 O-V-E-R After the first week of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 O-V-E-R Really? Ill be surprised if we dont see snow tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Enjoy it while you can, even LC is going warm spring/summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Really? Ill be surprised if we dont see snow tonight. Almost time for radar watching. I'm liking the trajectory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 For the die-hards -- EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2015 VALID 12Z THU MAR 26 2015 - 12Z MON MAR 30 2015 MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST SEEMED TO BE ON-TRACK---WITH SYSTEM MIGRATING FROM SOUTHERN ROCKIES DAY 1 TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY DAY 4---USHERING IN A COLDER BUT DRIER CANADIAN AIRMASS EAST OF THE DIVIDE. UPSTREAM RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL LIKELY CONTAIN A CUTOFF SYSTEM---APPROACHING 130W AROUND DAY 5. BY DAY 7---ADDITIONAL PACIFIC ENERGY SWEEPS THE REMNANT CUTOFF INLAND. THOUGHT A BLEND OF THE 23/00Z ECENS-DETERMINISTIC ECMWF AND THE NAEFS WORKS THROUGH DAY 5---WITH LESS DETERMINISTIC INPUT AFTER 29/00Z TO COVER THE LARGE SPREAD IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND THE EQUATOR-WARD SPREAD OF CANADIAN AIRMASS INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. VOJTESAK ..SENSIBLE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS WAVY COLD FRONT CROSSING THE EAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD SHOULD INITIALLY BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME BANDS OF ENHANCED RNFL... MOST LIKELY FROM THE OH VLY NEWD AND A LITTLE LATER OVER THE FL PENINSULA. SNOW ON THU SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE UPR MS VLY/UPR GRTLKS BUT EXPECT WINTRY PCPN POTENTIAL TO SHIFT SEWD WITH TIME AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE EAST. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THERE COULD BE A LITTLE ADDED FOCUS FRI-SAT FROM OH VLY INTO THE SRN HALF OF THE APLCHNS/SRN MID ATLC. UPSTREAM SYSTEM DROPPING SEWD FROM CANADA SHOULD SPREAD AN AREA OF SNOW N/RAIN S FROM THE NERN TIER ACROSS THE NERN QUADRANT OF THE LOWER 48. ANY WRN CONUS PCPN SHOULD BE MOSTLY ON THE LGT SIDE... INCLUDING ACTIVITY OVER/NEAR THE NRN-CNTRL ROCKIES THU-FRI AND WITH ANY MSTR THAT COULD REACH THE WEST LATE IN THE PERIOD. CONFIDENCE IN THE LATTER IS MODERATE AT BEST GIVEN DEPENDENCE ON A COMPACT UPR LOW THAT IS TYPICALLY CHALLENGING TO FCST. THE AMPLIFIED MEAN PATTERN ALOFT WILL LEAD TO A CONTRAST IN TEMPS. EAST COAST WARMTH ON THU WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A BROAD AREA OF HIGHS 10-20F BELOW NORMAL OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS FRI-SAT WITH SOME MODERATION THEREAFTER. ON THE OTHER HAND A MAJORITY OF THE WRN CONUS SHOULD SEE MULTIPLE DAYS WITH HIGHS 10-25F ABOVE NORMAL WITH SOME LOCATIONS PSBLY REACHING DAILY RECORD VALUES. SOME OF THE WARM AIR OVER THE WEST SHOULD EXTEND INTO PARTS OF THE NRN-CNTRL PLAINS BY SAT. RAUSCH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 For the die-hards -- EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1154 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2015 VALID 12Z THU MAR 26 2015 - 12Z MON MAR 30 2015 Beautiful for the last full week in March: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Really? Ill be surprised if we dont see snow tonight. Damnit!!!!! I'm trying hard to end this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 23, 2015 Share Posted March 23, 2015 Beautiful for the last full week in March: Screen Shot 2015-03-23 at 3.04.44 PM.png Looks much more impressive on that forecast graphic than reality. Woo snow showers! Where you are I guess there is a decent chance of a coating. Looks weak and trending weaker as it moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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