Ian Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Para Euro has a frontal bomb late run though around when the GFS was doing its whacktastic stuff recently. That late mo period might have a HECS though it could be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I'm gonna go out on a limb and say the GGEM will look really different tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Actually pretty neat at range.. para euro is much slower with a front late run and then it goes nuts. Big interior snowstorm. This is 222: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 lol.. the 500mb loop for the storm at the end of the run is kinda like 1993. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Para euro? upgrade goes live in mid-april or so but i guess they're feeding it out already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 upgrade goes live in mid-april or so but i guess they're feeding it out already Let's hope it spits out fewer fantasy snow storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 12z euro para 1993 not quite the same but a similar dynamic and trough alignment throughout. obv fantasy range but hard to totally ignore the recurring signal of something big by that end of mo period.. guess it could still be the first one but need more than GGEM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 GFS is closeish to something in that late next week range too. I have a gut feeling or something on that period. Maybe a sleet bomb for Leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 GGEM took away our 30". I'm sad. Does have a storm sliding off to our south tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 So is it me or does the NAM @ 84 hours looks like it might be up to something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 So is it me or does the NAM @ 84 hours looks like it might be up to something? You are going to get scolded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 You are going to get scolded. For what? I'm not going to issue the caveats anymore. People know the deal with the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 For what? I'm not going to issue the caveats anymore. People know the deal with the NAM. I agree but people around here get very sensitive about the 84H Nam. It is almost as hairy as PR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 12z euro para 1993 not quite the same but a similar dynamic and trough alignment throughout. obv fantasy range but hard to totally ignore the recurring signal of something big by that end of mo period.. guess it could still be the first one but need more than GGEM.. Man does that look sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 If we don't get a 93 redux, Ian should spend all of severe season in time out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 If we don't get a 93 redux, Ian should spend all of severe season in time out. It was gone from 0z. Surprise! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 12z GGEM misses the phase, but gives us a nice advisory-level+ event Tuesday morning from the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I'm guessing the Euro is still holding off on the 93 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 I'm guessing the Euro is still holding off on the 93 storm? Euro ens are showing a really amplified look from d8-13. +pna/-epo ridge connection and deep trough in the east. I could see a shortwave dig deep and blow up down south in that pattern. Cities and close burbs fighting hard against climo by then but a big elevation event wouldn't shock me at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 19, 2015 Share Posted March 19, 2015 Euro ens are showing a really amplified look from d8-13. +pna/-epo ridge connection and deep trough in the east. I could see a shortwave dig deep and blow up down south in that pattern. Cities and close burbs fighting hard against climo by then but a big elevation event wouldn't shock me at all. that would give me respite from the relentless mild pattern. I am pretty sure that by Apr 3 I will be more than happy to enjoy a cloudy, refreshing cool rain with a northeast breeze. We are continuing to experience a pattern typical of a month from now: Highs in the 60s, lows in the mid 40s, then cold fronts taking us to low 50s highs with lows around 39. That is typical mid April weather. We're setting up for a record warm spring overall then a sweltering hell of a summer that will make 2011 look like The Day After Tomorrow. It will be so hot in DC in August that forecasters all over the nation will be pointing out it is cooler in Austin Texas than in DC lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 cfsv2 showing a cooold start to April. First few days at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Euro ens are showing a really amplified look from d8-13. +pna/-epo ridge connection and deep trough in the east. I could see a shortwave dig deep and blow up down south in that pattern. Cities and close burbs fighting hard against climo by then but a big elevation event wouldn't shock me at all. Heh, look at these analogs. Superstorm + late Mar/early April 1990. This is about as bullish as you can get for very late season snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 No thanks. Today's disaster has removed any and all desire for any additional late season "events". These next 2 weeks or so will be wretched if that amped pattern verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Mar 1993 is hard but that pattern is big time. Even if we miss -- and we probably should in late Mar-- could be a fun event to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Mar 1993 is hard but that pattern is big time. Even if we miss -- and we probably should in late Mar-- could be a fun event to watch. March 1993 maximized an explosive pattern. Getting something to come together like that is awful tough obviously. But seeing that in there + the 1990 stuff is pretty impressive. I'd like to see a big nasty storm even if it's only wind and rain in my yard. GEFS/EPS look very similar in that d8-13 range. I looked at the 6z gefs members and they are all amped next weekend with all kinds of storms during and after that time frame. Euro ens have some good storms inside of d10 but not enough to call it a signal or anything. Not a lot of spread here with height patterns for d8+. Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Looks like the Euro leaves the door open for more cold and possible winter weather. Those with better data want to weigh in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Looks like the Euro leaves the door open for more cold and possible winter weather. Those with better data want to weigh in? euro looks like it has a Miller A brewing day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 euro looks like it has a Miller A brewing day 10 Only 10 days away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 If March 1993 had happened at the end of March rather than the 13th, I bet it would've been a rainstorm for the vast majority of us outside the mountains. As far as I know, temps were pretty marginal with a lot of mixing along I-95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 20, 2015 Share Posted March 20, 2015 Still looks like next week's system will probably scoot to our south. Or will it......? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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