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March Threats/Snow Storms Pt. II


mitchnick

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It's kinda funny how none of us are really taking this seriously or talking it up.   If this was 2 weeks ago, this place would be hopping.  

 

I guess it depends on what one considers exciting. Outside of the far burbs, there won't be any more societal impact than a rain storm. Top end closer to the cities is probably 2" if it falls hard enough to stay ahead of the melt. If I get an honest inch I'll be pretty happy. I'll have to make sure I time the measurement because it's gonna get zapped pretty quick. 5:1 ratios might be close to best case. 

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I think it's due to ground temperatures. Two weeks ago we still had a snow pack. Now we have nice 60F days and even stronger March sun.

Good snow generally doesn't happen this late esp near the cities. It could in the period ahead I guess but this event looks way marginal except maybe a lucky elevated zone. Plus people keep mentioning algorithm snow which is way off on this one from what I've seen.
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Plus people keep mentioning algorithm snow which is way off on this one from what I've seen.

 

Exactly. This is far from a 10:1 event. 5:1 might be generous if it comes in sporadic bursts. We need a solid 4 hour period that drops .3-.4 or there won't be much to measure. 

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rain to heavy wet snow to rain for Friday morning :lol:

Accums are loltastic as always on the NAM

1-2" doesn't seem all that crazy or loltastic to me if this works out.

ETA: tropical tidbits shows 1-2, while instantwx shows 3-5.

I think it's obvious which one is more trustworthy, but any fault in the clown map is on the algorithm, not the model itself.

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btw, 15z SREF plumes were interesting :lol:

ETA: And so are the 21z ones too

What do you think the odds are that you will be copy/pasting a government issued winter weather product for our region within the next 48 hours?
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