BTRWx Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 euro has 850 temps of -10 to -15 Sunday into Monday. Ouch That's sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 Canadian ensemble is not bullish on snow for DC, but GEFS is. The difference seems to be that the GEFS / GFS develop a stronger coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 Canadian ensemble is not bullish on snow for DC, but GEFS is. The difference seems to be that the GEFS / GFS develop a stronger coastal. If it's a straight up miller A coastal and the high is in good position we could certainly make out. If it turns out to be a coastal energy transfer with marginal temps...not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 18z GFS looks a wee bit warmer than 12z in pretty much every panel through 90hours. Never a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 16, 2015 Share Posted March 16, 2015 Looks like the 18z GFS gives us a few possibilities this month, starting with Thursday. Stay alert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 More whacky stuff late run but big. Probable severe wx outbreak and snow on this run. Fantasy but that might be the last hoorah range around start of mo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 That bomb at the end of the 18Z GFS run would be something else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 I feel like winter is slipping away from us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Alright, who mentioned snow? I ended up getting people asking me if it was going to snow on Friday at work :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 JB2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Yes. Someone said snow...local mets? Hmmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Yes, even my Dad asked me today about snow, and he usually doesn't keep up with weather stuff so 'someone somewhere' has thrown the word around in the general news/media in last 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Yes, even my Dad asked me today about snow, and he usually doesn't keep up with weather stuff so 'someone somewhere' has thrown the word around in the general news/media in last 24 hours. Doug Kammerer on Facebook mentioned the possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Looks like some very light SnowTV Friday morning based off 00z GFS... lulz at the 15z sounding at DCA and the snow accum maps (2-3" for N VA/DC/most of MD) ETA: make that 3-4" DCA sits around 33/34 all day long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Looking at snow maps will make you go blind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Looking at snow maps will make you go blind. I know, was just looking at it for the lulz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 It looks just like March 25th....doesn't stick to roads in DC, but nice stats padder when it isn't melting underneath. Hard to measure because it melts during lulls...DCA still picked up 1.7"...moderate snow will accumulate on a snowboard at 33-34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 3/25/14 in the middle of the afternoon. Cosmetic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Nice trends... I'm not discounting the possibility of accumulation. Like Matt said, it will struggle on pavement but hopefully cover the trees and grass... I'd be thrilled with a 3/25/2013 repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Nice trends... I'm not discounting the possibility of accumulation. Like Matt said, it will struggle on pavement but hopefully cover the trees and grass... I'd be thrilled with a 3/25/2013 repeat. It could easily street stick in the middle of the afternoon where you are at 33-34 degrees if it is heavy enough.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 So is this a real threat for the northern tier of states? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 00z GGEM is too late and we all enjoy rain ETA: 00z GFS still has the March 24th-25th "storm" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 It could easily street stick in the middle of the afternoon where you are at 33-34 degrees if it is heavy enough.... It would take nice rates... 3/25/13 had great timing with its daybreak start but then struggled on pavement after 9am. Still a nice overperformer especially after the early month debacle. The GFS day 8 storm looks pretty epic for the burbs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 It appears to me it's going to cool down and snow a bit....deal with it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 It would take nice rates... 3/25/13 had great timing with its daybreak start but then struggled on pavement after 9am. Still a nice overperformer especially after the early month debacle. The GFS day 8 storm looks pretty epic for the burbs... 3/25/13 was mostly overnight. Done by 8am. I had a pasting of 4.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Both 06z GFS and 06z NAM like a snow/sleet mixture Friday morning... better chance N and W of town but DCA is borderline on NAM and ok on GFS... looks like around hr 81 is the "heavy" 3 hr period on both models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Friday isn't particularly exciting but it has decent support for some minor accums from the ops and ensembles. EPS is about 1.5" on the means for the corridor with more closer to the md line. Considering surface temps, accums will likely be pretty light if they happen with little staying power. I'm getting interested in the tues-fri period next week. The fantasy 0z gfs solution has some support. Even thought the euro op didn't have anything there are some pretty hefty storms in the ensembles. Seems that the models are getting more bullish for that period as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Friday morning looks like a small bag of wtf. Gfs is not that far from something big on the 23-24th, but it will be hard to get a good shortwave to come east fast enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Friday isn't particularly exciting but it has decent support for some minor accums from the ops and ensembles. EPS is about 1.5" on the means for the corridor with more closer to the md line. Considering surface temps, accums will likely be pretty light if they happen with little staying power. I'm getting interested in the tues-fri period next week. The fantasy 0z gfs solution has some support. Even thought the euro op didn't have anything there are some pretty hefty storms in the ensembles. Seems that the models are getting more bullish for that period as we get closer. Agree... Friday looks better N and W of town for accums anwyay. 06z GFS is kind of hilarious in the LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Gotta keep the mar 25 streak alive. Goooooo snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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