snowfan Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 I think he was trolling you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 Been years since we had an upper air pattern like this. A bit similar to March 2013. More like the 09-11 era though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 I think he was trolling you yeah probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 Been years since we had an upper air pattern like this. A bit similar to March 2013. More like the 09-11 era though. negnao.JPG Is that good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 I was indeed. The timing of the chance to post that was too perfect. At least I didn't respond to your post on twitter with that, Ian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 So DC metro doubles my snowfall, and in late march no less. Double zero and you'll still have zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 Been years since we had an upper air pattern like this. A bit similar to March 2013. More like the 09-11 era though. negnao.JPG If you were writing a book on blocking, it seems like that could make the front cover? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 If you were writing a book on blocking, it seems like that could make the front cover? It's pretty classic but the southern stream doesn't look strong on the means. Pretty sure there will be some sort of storm during the period of the 18th-23rd. It's going to take more than a good block to get snow. I did find a fairly close match to the pattern. First half of March 2005 looked similar. No snow that month though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 It's pretty classic but the southern stream doesn't look strong on the means. Pretty sure there will be some sort of storm during the period of the 18th-23rd. It's going to take more than a good block to get snow. I did find a fairly close match to the pattern. First half of March 2005 looked similar. No snow that month though. mar05.JPG Really? This event must have missed you guys to the south, we know that ain't happening this winter. http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/maps/accum.20050317.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 Really? This event must have missed you guys to the south, we know that ain't happening this winter. http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/maps/accum.20050317.gif I'm not sure what the dates were but IAD got 1.2 and BWI got .4 in Mar of 05. Could be the same event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 I'm not sure what the dates were but IAD got 1.2 and BWI got .4 in Mar of 05. Could be the same event. Anything less than 8 inches between march 20 and April 15 is a disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 I'm not sure what the dates were but IAD got 1.2 and BWI got .4 in Mar of 05. Could be the same event. Neither---For IAD, the snow come from a dynamic cold front on 3/8 with a squall line during the warm part and a rapid flip to snow. I think DCA picked up 0.8" in that event too, no? BWI's 0.4" was from 3/1. Rockville had accumulations from both events--roughly 2.5" total. I remember some long-time posters were giddy about the modeled March '05 pattern, even comparing it to 1/66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 I remember some long-time posters Weather53 was giddy about the modeled March '05 pattern, even comparing it to 1/66. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 It's pretty classic but the southern stream doesn't look strong on the means. Pretty sure there will be some sort of storm during the period of the 18th-23rd. It's going to take more than a good block to get snow. I did find a fairly close match to the pattern. First half of March 2005 looked similar. No snow that month though. As Gymengineer mentioned the squall line on 3/8 was pretty sweet. I threw my back out and was at home, and for about 30 minutes or so, it was maybe 150 yards viz. Picked up an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 fixed Lol. I didn't want to be quite so aggressive with naming names, but yes. To be fair, he wasn't the only one who was positive about the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 Anything less than 8 inches between march 20 and April 15 is a disaster Thanks BethesdaBoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 4 Certainly a nice MJO flareup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 11, 2015 Share Posted March 11, 2015 Neither---For IAD, the snow come from a dynamic cold front on 3/8 with a squall line during the warm part and a rapid flip to snow. I think DCA picked up 0.8" in that event too, no? BWI's 0.4" was from 3/1. Rockville had accumulations from both events--roughly 2.5" total. I remember some long-time posters were giddy about the modeled March '05 pattern, even comparing it to 1/66. That was a wicked storm in swva. Frequent thunder, lightning, heavy snow, and about 6" of concrete. 75 degrees about 3 days later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 I think DC and east need a good late March snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 HAHAHA........the upcoming supercalifragilisticexpialidocious mega block must have petered out. Where's all the model talk, the ens maps, the once in a century analogs? HAHAHAHA..........I want my SNOW!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 HAHAHA........the upcoming supercalifragilisticexpialidocious mega block must have petered out. Where's all the model talk, the ens maps, the once in a century analogs? HAHAHAHA..........I want my SNOW!!!! He's lost it folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 He's lost it folks You don't know the half of it..............yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 LR hard to say much with certainty but nao still looks transient and even cold might be. Euro had a bit of a hint at the d10 sys that the gfs seemed to drop. I wouldn't be that surprised if DC gets no more measurable this season.. Tho that's just a guess and of course climo is on my side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Btw what happened to tomorrow? Guess CAD isn't always under modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Btw what happened to tomorrow? Guess CAD isn't always under modeled. The event just kept getting more and more delayed and the high weakens. Timing is not great either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Really? This event must have missed you guys to the south, we know that ain't happening this winter. http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/maps/accum.20050317.gif I'm not sure what the dates were but IAD got 1.2 and BWI got .4 in Mar of 05. Could be the same event. Neither---For IAD, the snow come from a dynamic cold front on 3/8 with a squall line during the warm part and a rapid flip to snow. I think DCA picked up 0.8" in that event too, no? BWI's 0.4" was from 3/1. Rockville had accumulations from both events--roughly 2.5" total. I remember some long-time posters were giddy about the modeled March '05 pattern, even comparing it to 1/66. That was a wicked storm in swva. Frequent thunder, lightning, heavy snow, and about 6" of concrete. 75 degrees about 3 days later All I have for March 2005 is 2.0 on 3/1-3/2, 1.5 on 3/12 and a 0.3 on 3/14.? Nothing really epic, but not a zero either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 The event just kept getting more and more delayed and the high weakens. Timing is not great either. Yeah that's true, though the high location always seemed a bit questionable. Euro was never a huge fan of the idea and pushed it east.. but the precip has slowed down a good bit over time. This week has also been a bit warmer than expected overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Yeah that's true, though the high location always seemed a bit questionable. Euro was never a huge fan of the idea and pushed it east.. but the precip has slowed down a good bit over time. This week has also been a bit warmer than expected overall. March sun = furnace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Btw what happened to tomorrow? Guess CAD isn't always under modeled. LOL..........well played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Well since it's so quiet I guess I'll just drop this here, from the LC model: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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