mitchnick Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 looks west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 looks west The GFS at 72 hrs has the SLP in NE GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GGEM looks pretty good as well ETA: A paste job of snow for all of us Verbatim, GGEM tonight is 6-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 DC Meteogram of UKmet it is warm http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Washington&mod=ukmet&run=00&var=std〈=en&map=us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GGEM looks pretty good as well ETA: A paste job of snow for all of us Didn't they retire the ETA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 DC Meteogram of UKmet it is warm http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Washington&mod=ukmet&run=00&var=std〈=en&map=us I wish they would have Baltimore. They have these little bumblehump towns but not us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 I wish they would have Baltimore. They have these little bumblehump towns but not us. wouldn't make a difference in this case UKmet just looks much slower, idk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 wouldn't make a difference in this case UKmet just looks much slower, idk The GFS and GGEM look great. If the Euro comes in looking great, i think we are in good shape. Lord do i wish the Euro ran an hour earlier i have to be up at 5 a.m.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GEFS looks pretty good at hrs 78 to 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Sounds like the 00z guidance continues to show this pretty wild setup for big snows. Still, have to wait and see how this plays out. But its going to be a wild week for tracking weather. Have to still watch late Tuesday for wintry precip, but then the heavy rain threat. Then finally the one we are looking forward to.. If the front can stall close enough, and have those waves form along the front, hoping the qpf can ve at least 2 inches worth once the arctic air moves in. To me this setup is like a highway of big time moisture rolling in from the Gulf. Well, time for some sleep. If I can't sleep, I'll look at the Euro run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I just cringed thinking about trying to stay up for the euro after we spring ahead. Time to change the avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The euro is a stone cold snow assassin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The euro is a stone cold snow assassin I'm at 54... but it sounds nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The Euro is 5"+ for DC...It is also a 10-12 hour snow event..... We flip from west to east between 11pm - 3am, and then it ends west to east from Noon until 2pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The euro is a stone cold snow assassinNice, looking forward to the details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The Euro is 5"+ for DC...It is also a 10-12 hour snow event..... We flip from west to east between 11pm - 3am, and then it ends west to east from Noon until 2pm. Beautiful, i love when you talk dirty to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Beautiful, i love when you talk dirty to me. There is no threading the needle or narrow stripe. The entire region flips and then is pummeled with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 That would be quite an event. I'm in a different location now but I'd love to see another warning event. We've been on a really nice roll these last few weeks. There is no doubt as depicted that the entire area would be under a winter storm warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 There is no threading the needle or narrow stripe. The entire region flips and then is pummeled with snow. Always good to hear no threading the needle needed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 There is no threading the needle or narrow stripe. The entire region flips and then is pummeled with snow.Nice, thanks for the info Matt. Now i can go to sleep happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Always good to hear no threading the needle needed... The synoptics are different but it is 1/26/11 esque (except it will be colder). We are heavy rain...we flip, and then we are attacked by a snow tsunami. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I should have said verify. It's good to see this run not show a thread the needle situation. The timing looks great too for cancellations lol. Richmond gets smoked this run. DT will have an update out soon if he doesn't already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I can't find any discernible trends in the models in regard to which direction this "threat" is going. All about timing the cold air push with the moisture coming in... Could be PA.. could be VA.. and points in between... I guess NC could still be in the mix, but looking like that is out of the question at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 It's hard to tell the exact flip for dc/bwi. Prob 3am or so. But it looks like close to .7 as snow. It's a region wide pasting. Great run. KY get destroyed. Not sure what their records are but this year could be a version of our 09-10 if it goes down like the euro shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 It's hard to tell the exact flip for dc/bwi. Prob 3am or so. But it looks like close to .7 as snow. It's a region wide pasting. Great run. KY get destroyed. Not sure what their records are but this year could be a version of our 09-10 if it goes down like the euro shows. 3am seems about right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I can't find any discernible trends in the models in regard to which direction this "threat" is going. All about timing the cold air push with the moisture coming in... Could be PA.. could be VA.. and points in between... I guess NC could still be in the mix, but looking like that is out of the question at this point. Based on this run of the euro this threat is going in the direction of your house. Take shelter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 We should start a new thread for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 We should start a new thread for this event.Tomorrow morning. 72 hour rule has been working well.Eta: lol. I should have said 12z suite. It's already morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 3z SREF mean is 5" 8 members are above the mean (ie. have more than 5") -- ARWC/MBP1/NMMC/MBP2/ARP3/NMP3/ARN1/ARN2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 3z SREF mean is 5" 8 members are above the mean (ie. have more than 5") -- ARWC/MBP1/NMMC/MBP2/ARP3/NMP3/ARN1/ARN2 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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