WxUSAF Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Spring is the new winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 0z was a general 4-6" for most. Max stripe se of DC yeah i just glanced.. they're pretty similar. this run maybe a bit better for us if a smidge slower starting initially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 yeah i just glanced.. they're pretty similar. I'm being forced to accept that this might be real. When the gefs looks like this at this range it's pretty compelling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'm being forced to accept that this might be real. When the gefs looks like this at this range it's pretty compelling Lash hurrah. If it happens I don't want to get fringed. (cue Leesburg) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'm being forced to accept that this might be real. When the gefs looks like this at this range it's pretty compelling It has been pretty consistent on modeling whether it's over us or south or north.. similar idea. Too bad we just can't know yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'll take it right now verbatim, but boy that would be nice to get those totals on the western side of the Apps over on this eastern side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 It has been pretty consistent on modeling whether it's over us or south or north.. similar idea. Too bad we just can't know yet. I've been waiting for the rug to be pulled but it's going the other way. IF this event happens, it would be pretty fun. Just a solid slug streaming overhead. No worries about redevelopment or pivot or stuff like that. Just simple isentropic lift over cold. Rates would be pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I've been waiting for the rug to be pulled but it's going the other way. IF this event happens, it would be pretty fun. Just a solid slug streaming overhead. No worries about redevelopment or pivot or stuff like that. Just simple isentropic lift over cold. Rates would be pretty good. The area of good snows still seems really thin. I'm not getting excited yet as this could quickly trend north like 2/2 or flatten to nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I've been waiting for the rug to be pulled but it's going the other way. IF this event happens, it would be pretty fun. Just a solid slug streaming overhead. No worries about redevelopment or pivot or stuff like that. Just simple isentropic lift over cold. Rates would be pretty good. Still plenty of time for the stripe of precip to shift north or south. That has happened already this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'll take it right now verbatim, but boy that would be nice to get those totals on the western side of the Apps over on this eastern side there's some contamination from this storm in that image too.. tho most of the heavy rates over WV are from the upcoming event. actually looks low in spots further west heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Still plenty of time for the stripe of precip to shift north or south. That has happened already this winter. No doubt. Much can easily go wrong. The sw-ne orientation gives us wiggle room. Not as dicey as a n-s gradient. If it holds it would probably be the longest lead event of the year where things locked in early. Last night's euro ensembles looked really good as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I've been waiting for the rug to be pulled but it's going the other way. IF this event happens, it would be pretty fun. Just a solid slug streaming overhead. No worries about redevelopment or pivot or stuff like that. Just simple isentropic lift over cold. Rates would be pretty good. Steadier than you'd expect.. still a bit much range for my liking on a unicorn event around here. We have pulled a number of those out of the hat in recent hot streaks though. Definitely not ruling it out. Would be nice to get an event that starts ripping pre dawn and then peaks in the morning when the sun is up (tho peak on the Euro is prob earlier than that. ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Lol having really hard time believing this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Lol having really hard time believing this Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Lol having really hard time believing this Have you compared the stripe of heaviest snow on the Euro today to yesterday's run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'm really rooting for this one to knock down climo+ @ DCA. It's a statistical big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Have you compared the stripe of heaviest snow on the Euro today to yesterday's run? Pretty similar with coverage for the cities. Max was south last night and north today. Little difference along 95. Big difference to the NW in FDK and areas close to the md line. They should be hugging the 12z run. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Pretty similar with coverage for the cities. Max was south last night and north today. Little difference along 95. Big difference to the NW in FDK and areas close to the md line. They should be hugging the 12z run. lol I'm talking about overall. Yesterday's 12z had it through Tennessee. How far the cold can advance is a huge part of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 This is what I'm talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Spring is the new winter. I find the whole 3 months per season thing silly. Winter is really about Nov 20 - March 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I've always been skeptical with post frontal stuff but I've got a hunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I find the whole 3 months per season thing silly. Winter is really about Nov 20 - March 15 I'm fine with getting snow in meteorological spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Is this mainly We'd night into Thursday? I've been focused on today's system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I'm really rooting for this one to knock down climo+ @ DCA. It's a statistical big deal. More importantly, about 3" at DCA and 5-6" at BWI and IAD and I've got the seasonal snow contest wrapped up. Victory is mine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Is this mainly We'd night into Thursday? I've been focused on today's system Yes it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 More importantly, about 3" at DCA and 5-6" at BWI and IAD and I've got the seasonal snow contest wrapped up. Victory is mine! And to think of all the cancelling, ledge jumping, and breakdowns less than a month ago. lol. Now we're talking about possibly going 125%+ climo @ bwi/iad. If this wed-thurs deal works out, I'll be beyond satisfied with winter and ready for spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Next event looks marginal, rain with snow at the opening and close. Agreed, 4 to 8" is pretty marginal. Good post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 And to think of all the cancelling, ledge jumping, and breakdowns less than a month ago. lol. Now we're talking about possibly going 125%+ climo @ bwi/iad. If this wed-thurs deal works out, I'll be beyond satisfied with winter and ready for spring. This would certainly brighten up my mood after wasting today's cold air with a sleet fest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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