stormtracker Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 that's been in the modeling for a week Oh, it's been on the 81-84 hour NAM 120 hours ago? Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 0z Euro ens is about the same as 12z with half the members showing snowfall. 6z gefs is the most bullish I've seen so far And very consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Wow 12z GFS, ana gasm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I have to say gymengineer's list made me believe a bit more. If we can analog it then it can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 28, 2015 Author Share Posted February 28, 2015 Wow 12z GFS, ana gasmjust going to post that, maybe different wording. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Whoa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I have to say gymengineer's list made me believe a bit more. If we can analog it then it can happen. But we can't know yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 What does the Euro show on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I have to say gymengineer's list made me believe a bit more. If we can analog it then it can happen. We are locked in a very consistent pacific driven pattern. Seems stable and could even linger into next winter if no major player wants to assert itself to flip the pattern. If we could get a real west based nino and -nao though next year in this epo pattern it could be a Boston like year for our area. Just dreaming but some of the long range guidance says it's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 But we can't know yet I'm still about 48 hours from caring much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 If we get 2 accum events during the first week of march then I'm probably joining the root for warmth crew. Mid month is looking kinda warm. Similar to the Dec pattern where the Pac floods Canada with warmer air but highs to our north won't let us roast. I could deal with a day or 2 in the 60's so I can detail my cars. They look awful and its starting to get on my nerves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 The one thing going for this is that the EURO shows it dumping on the cold side of the front, though farther NW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I have to say gymengineer's list made me believe a bit more. If we can analog it then it can happen. GFS is a home run with this. It is getting sorta interesting with this. I'm starting to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Yall do realize QPF in the cold side is .5 to .75, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Man, Wxbell's at 90 for the GFS. How much qpf is frozen on Wednesday? EDIT: Wow... That is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I am mobile- my 7th grader's middle school musical performances are supposed to be Wednesday, Friday, Saturday - what is timing of this on gfs? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 March snow is our thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 GFS is a home run with this. It is getting sorta interesting with this. I'm starting to believe. It's still pretty far off for something we don't do often here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jb1979 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Not sure if Delmarva is in your region, but this would be amazing for March. Obviously 100+ hours out so the tiniest grain of salt... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Canadian looks really good at 96, lots of energy hanging back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Ggem looks better, need yoda for the true details though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 We are not under the right rear quadrant of the jet, not sure how much that hurts our chances. We are close, though. Still, the jet stream is a monster during the period of interest. The most energetic portion of the jet is in our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Ggem is slower to flip. About .40-.50 region wide as snow from what I can tell. If the flip came just a little earlier it would be 6-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Ggem would be a cool solution. Heavy rain to heavy snow and lighter snow continuing for another 8 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I love dynamic March storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Ggem is slower to flip. About .40-.50 region wide as snow from what I can tell. If the flip came just a little earlier it would be 6-10" Ill consider this a win if we verify 3-6...these set ups usually arent that generous for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 lol...I love how you just pull things out of your ass just to make it want to snow Think before you speak and read the discussions today that have followed my comments from last night. It's part of maintaining a truce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Wow .. I need your climatology. 3-6 would probably be my biggest event of the year. You've got a high "win" bar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 It's still pretty far off for something we don't do often here. I get all that, but it's been pretty consistent for a while on all of the models now in one form or another. The trick storms usually disappear after like a run or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 We are not under the right rear quadrant of the jet, not sure how much that hurts our chances. We are close, though. Still, the jet stream is a monster during the period of interest. The most energetic portion of the jet is in our region. gfs_namer_129_250_wnd_ht.gif So what? It would be the biggest snowfall of the year verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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