mitchnick Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Mitch work your magic and break out the Water Vapor and 700mb RH panels better just get used to seeing more of this http://www.colonialwilliamsburg.org/capitolcam/raleigh.cfm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 NAM reflected the stronger northern stream system on this run and it is obviously hurting us but for that feature, we'd do fine....oh well, if that doesn't change, I guess we have to wait for overrunning starting the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 better just get used to seeing more of this http://www.colonialwilliamsburg.org/capitolcam/raleigh.cfm I was down there for a week with the family back in June and was thinking I could live there if it snowed more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 I was down there for a week with the family back in June and was thinking I could live there if it snowed more. that's our getaway and go there 4X/year+ funny, because it looks a lot like Annapolis and when I go to the Courthouse in Annapolis and see tourists I just shake my head wondering why they would waste their time and money....I bet if I turned around more often I'd find I was getting the same looks while in Williamsburg lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 NAM reflected the stronger northern stream system on this run and it is obviously hurting us but for that feature, we'd do fine....oh well, if that doesn't change, I guess we have to wait for overrunning starting the weekend Ready to extrapolate the NAM for this weekend and beyond. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 4km NAM decent DC south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If i read the NAM right, it's about 0.2" at EZF and about 0.02" at DCA.....that's a heck of a gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Long period of flurries with the second system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If i read the NAM right, it's about 0.2" at EZF and about 0.02" at DCA.....that's a heck of a gradient Sim rad just goes poof DC north... not sure what's causing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Sim rad just goes poof DC north... not sure what's causing that The poof fairy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 4km NAM decent DC south Yes. Draw a line due west from Springfield to the Blue Ridge. Everything south looks like an inch or two, north almost nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Yeah....but it worked on the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 this reminds me of 1/3/2002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 00z RGEM at 24 -- http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/512_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Long period of flurries with the second system. The second system is trying for a Norlun trough. I'd say: "Go for it." Interesting if the upper air pattern can pull the second low closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The second system is trying for a Norlun trough. I'd say: "Go for it." Interesting if the upper air pattern can pull the second low closer to the coast. That's a different look at the end of the run compared to 18z.....off shore I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 RGEM gives us hours of light snow per sim/rad http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 RGEM gives us hours of light snow per sim/rad http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html be sure to choose 2/25 0Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 NAM reflected the stronger northern stream system on this run and it is obviously hurting us but for that feature, we'd do fine....oh well, if that doesn't change, I guess we have to wait for overrunning starting the weekend That northern stream vort isn't the kicker it's actually what could have been a nice storm. Earlier runs that had a good track did it by leaving enough stj energy behind to phase with that. Instead a storm too far ahead of the trough is blowing the baroclinic zone again. Bad timing two weeks in a row to get the big coastal. Hm was tweeting about it also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Several vortices to work with in the 500 mb flow. Below is the 54 hr. NAM. If A and B and C phase, the resultant can pull that second little low at the surface on the baroclinic zone a bit closer to our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 That northern stream vort isn't the kicker it's actually what could have been a nice storm. Earlier runs that had a good track did it by leaving enough stj energy behind to phase with that. Instead a storm too far ahead of the trough is blowing the baroclinic zone again. Bad timing two weeks in a row to get the big coastal. Hm was tweeting about it also. 3rd times a charm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Sim rad just goes poof DC north... not sure what's causing that The 850mb low takes over offshore and pulls down the cold dry air to our northeast. We don't like coastal lows here unless they track close to Ocean City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 3rd times a charm? March can be funny so I guess if the Pna ridge does rebuild maybe we could get something to bomb up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Damn Great Lakes High.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GFS still gets .1 to DC if I'm squinting right. Tight cutoff tho north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GFS looks good for DC and South especially towards Manassas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Little more after 36.. .1" parallels Potomac maybe a bit north of that.. down to very little in the NAM 4k screwzone of NE MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GFS still gets .1 to DC if I'm squinting right. Tight cutoff tho north. Let me take a look before the peyote wears off.. might be able to get the .5 line up here yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Damn Great Lakes High..Cold suppressionWarm atlantic Warm gom Downsloping Fall line Fringe temps Snowtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Little more after 36.. .1" parallels Potomac maybe a bit north of that.. down to very little in the NAM 4k screwzone of NE MD. Looks like about 0.08" at DCA maybe 0.21" at EZF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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