BTRWx Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 3:14 PM, NE Balti Zen said: In this instance, I am gonna guess it is because it is more than mid-way through March. Plus we have the Atlantic, Apps, and latitude...dynamics at its finest! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 6:59 PM, losetoa6 said: Euro showing nice QPF for Friday ..should help with decent rates . Looks like 3-5" of snow for northern tier counties with elevation..verbatim. Ugh no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 SREF's are decent. Plume mean at IAD is close to 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 8:02 PM, Snowman. said: SREF's are decent. Plume mean at IAD is close to 3". Interesting map! I was going to ask about the source, but I see the College of Dupage Weather url at the bottom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 8:02 PM, Snowman. said: SREF's are decent. Plume mean at IAD is close to 3". We're still 72 hours from SREF's useful range of 0 hours. Anybody looked at the FIMS9 thing? That's based on GFS...or something? The HIWPP website is.....kinda vague. Looking awesome next week. low gets stuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 euro hates next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 8:39 PM, Ji said: euro hates next week The euro is a terrible model if you like snow. You should know that. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Lol NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 8:55 PM, Snowman. said: Lol NAM. rain to heavy wet snow to rain for Friday morning Accums are loltastic as always on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:14 PM, yoda said: rain to heavy wet snow to rain for Friday morning Accums are loltastic as always on the NAM the nam is usually loltastic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:19 PM, Ian said: the nam is usually loltastic True... but it has been showing this "solution" for the past few runs now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:20 PM, yoda said: True... but it has been showing this "solution" for the past few runs nowgnitseretni Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:23 PM, Ian said: gnitseretni Is that a German dish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 A lot has to do with timing, nam gets the good stuff in here late night/ early morning which makes a big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 It's kinda funny how none of us are really taking this seriously or talking it up. If this was 2 weeks ago, this place would be hopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:23 PM, Ian said: gnitseretni gnitseretni yrev ,on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:19 PM, Ian said: the nam is usually loltastic it could be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:37 PM, stormtracker said: It's kinda funny how none of us are really taking this seriously or talking it up. If this was 2 weeks ago, this place would be hopping. I guess it depends on what one considers exciting. Outside of the far burbs, there won't be any more societal impact than a rain storm. Top end closer to the cities is probably 2" if it falls hard enough to stay ahead of the melt. If I get an honest inch I'll be pretty happy. I'll have to make sure I time the measurement because it's gonna get zapped pretty quick. 5:1 ratios might be close to best case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:37 PM, stormtracker said: It's kinda funny how none of us are really taking this seriously or talking it up. If this was 2 weeks ago, this place would be hopping. I think it's due to ground temperatures. Two weeks ago we still had a snow pack. Now we have nice 60F days and even stronger March sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:32 PM, C.A.P.E. said: Is that a German dish? gnitseretni with bacon or GTFO. Who wants to start a thread for the friday white rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:54 PM, Random Chaos said: I think it's due to ground temperatures. Two weeks ago we still had a snow pack. Now we have nice 60F days and even stronger March sun.Good snow generally doesn't happen this late esp near the cities. It could in the period ahead I guess but this event looks way marginal except maybe a lucky elevated zone. Plus people keep mentioning algorithm snow which is way off on this one from what I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 17, 2015 Author Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:41 PM, WxWatcher007 said: We just don't know yet.we may still be saying that about the NAM for Friday on Saturdaypersonally, I've been keeping an eye on Friday but at this time of year I won't feel very confident until Thursday's runs are showing accumulating snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 10:14 PM, Ian said: Plus people keep mentioning algorithm snow which is way off on this one from what I've seen. Exactly. This is far from a 10:1 event. 5:1 might be generous if it comes in sporadic bursts. We need a solid 4 hour period that drops .3-.4 or there won't be much to measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:37 PM, stormtracker said: It's kinda funny how none of us are really taking this seriously or talking it up. If this was 2 weeks ago, this place would be hopping. Sun angle? Maybe once the temps crater tonight people will think about snow. Right now, people are thinking about outdoor activities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:23 PM, Ian said: gnitseretni On 3/17/2015 at 9:32 PM, C.A.P.E. said: Is that a German dish? Sorta like German potato salad? An outside shot at a very sloppy inch or two IF rates are high enough, otherwise likely a 'white rain' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/17/2015 at 9:14 PM, yoda said: rain to heavy wet snow to rain for Friday morning Accums are loltastic as always on the NAM 1-2" doesn't seem all that crazy or loltastic to me if this works out.ETA: tropical tidbits shows 1-2, while instantwx shows 3-5. I think it's obvious which one is more trustworthy, but any fault in the clown map is on the algorithm, not the model itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 12:26 AM, wxdude64 said: Sorta like German potato salad? An outside shot at a very sloppy inch or two IF rates are high enough, otherwise likely a 'white rain' Its an inside joke... its the word interesting backwards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 btw, 15z SREF plumes were interesting ETA: And so are the 21z ones too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 1:26 AM, yoda said: btw, 15z SREF plumes were interesting ETA: And so are the 21z ones too What do you think the odds are that you will be copy/pasting a government issued winter weather product for our region within the next 48 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 18, 2015 Share Posted March 18, 2015 On 3/18/2015 at 1:34 AM, Ian said: What do you think the odds are that you will be copy/pasting a government issued winter weather product for our region within the next 48 hours? 99.9% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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