February 28th-March 2nd possibly significant overrunning event/winter storm

[Gilbertfly]

Surfaces have been dusted with some fine pixies falling to the ground

[Chicago Storm]

-SN here.

[Central Illinois]

SN here coming down at a good clip

[weathernerd]

Snow has been falling in Indy for 45 mins. Intensity has drastically picked up last 10 mins.

[IWXwx]

IIRC, the GFS was the quickest to move precip into the area. If that's the case, it wins the trough speed contest.

[Chicago WX]

IND doing well early. Mod snow currently and 0.05" precip last hour.

 

METAR KIND 010154Z 08005KT 1/2SM R05L/4500V5500FT SN FZFG VV011 M06/M08 A3051 RMK AO2 SLP347 P0005 T10611078

[Indystorm]

Was in Speedway for dinner this evening and snow started there about 7 p.m.  Has now made it ne to Fortville as a fine mist of pixie dust.

[Chicago WX]

0z HRRR probably on crack...but Hoosier, Jim, and I can dream.

 

[Hoosier]

0z HRRR probably on crack...but Hoosier, Jim, and I can dream.

 

hrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.png

 

 

And that's a 10:1 map.  RAP has been bumping things up too.

[Chicago WX]

And that's a 10:1 map.  RAP has been bumping things up too.

 

Yeah, we'll see. You know my "love" for short range models. 

[Hoosier]

Yeah, we'll see. You know my "love" for short range models. 

 

 

00z NAM ticked upward too.

[Chicago WX]

00z NAM ticked upward too.

 

It like you, should have stuck with it's original prediction from yesterday. 

[KokomoWX]

0z HRRR probably on crack...but Hoosier, Jim, and I can dream.

hrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.png

I'll take it!

[Hoosier]

Better returns down by IND at the moment but watching some nice bands upstream around SPI.

[blue60007]

Got back from a day in Indy about an hour ago. Drive was a little interesting - leaving from dinner surface streets were just wet and in great shape. Roads started becoming snow covered as soon as I hit the highway. People were playing the usual bumper cars on 65 but smooth sailing once on 52...

 

Little over an inch here at this point. Already wiped out on a hidden patch of ice doing a first clearing of my sidewalk... gonna feel that one on the morning. Short range models looking interesting...

[cyclone77]

Very light snow ended a few hours ago.  Picked up a frosting.  (<0.1")

[Geos]

Little bit of pixie dust coming down here. The clouds are so thin, the moonlight is shining straight through.

[Chicago WX]

Got back from a day in Indy about an hour ago. Drive was a little interesting - leaving from dinner surface streets were just wet and in great shape. Roads started becoming snow covered as soon as I hit the highway. People were playing the usual bumper cars on 65 but smooth sailing once on 52...

 

Little over an inch here at this point. Already wiped out on a hidden patch of ice doing a first clearing of my sidewalk... gonna feel that one on the morning. Short range models looking interesting...

 

52 is always best. Ouch on the wipe out. And yeah, HRRR and RAP not giving up. Radar looking pretty good to our west, at the moment.

[blue60007]

52 is always best. Ouch on the wipe out. And yeah, HRRR and RAP not giving up. Radar looking pretty good to our west, at the moment.

Yeah, last couple events the HRRR and RAP crapped out on us in the last minute. So far so good.

[Chicago WX]

Yeah, last couple events the HRRR and RAP crapped out on us in the last minute. So far so good.

 

I never trust them.

 

But, 0z NAM and RGEM kinda back them up...to an extent. I guess we'll see.

[Chicago WX]

1" last hour at IND

 

METAR KIND 010354Z 11007KT 1SM R05L/P6000FT -SN BR VV015 M06/M08 A3048 RMK AO2 SLP333 SNINCR 1/6 P0007 T10611078

 

Snow getting heavier here at times recently, but it waxes and wanes.

[Chicago WX]

Better returns struggling to make it here. A few good spurts of snow here and there, but it's mainly just -SN. Northern edge on ILX's starting to collapse south, so looks like the under is the easy play for LAF. Just to the south of here looking pretty good. 

[Hoosier]

Better returns struggling to make it here. A few good spurts of snow here and there, but it's mainly just -SN. Northern edge on ILX's starting to collapse south, so looks like the under is the easy play for LAF. Just to the south of here looking pretty good. 

 

We knew that optimistic Tim would be fleeting. 

[Hoosier]

I think we're well-positioned for that stuff upstream in IL and I'd say 6" or a little over is still in play here.  Patience is key.  Many hours of snow to go yet.

[Chicago WX]

I think we're well-positioned for that stuff upstream in IL and I'd say 6" or a little over is still in play here.  Patience is key.  Many hours of snow to go yet.

 

We'll be lucky to crack 3". Kinda surprised how quickly things are drying up to our west/northwest. Good for locations just to our south though, hopefully they cash. 

[Hoosier]

We'll be lucky to crack 3". Kinda surprised how quickly things are drying up to our west/northwest. Good for locations just to our south though, hopefully they cash. 

 

Already cracked 2" here.  Better stop snowing in a couple hours...

[cyclone77]

Yeah the next surge of moisture out in Missouri is forecast to impact the LAF area pretty well later tonight.  No doubt they get at least another 3-4".  

[Sidewinder]

Heavy snow east of whiteland now. Bunch of slide offs starting to roll into the county including one in the ditch out front.

This is overperforming just like the last one

[Hoosier]

Best rates of the storm right now.  Don't have to go too far north of here to run into a real dropoff in intensity.

[cyclone77]

Best rates of the storm right now.  Don't have to go too far north of here to run into a real dropoff in intensity.

 

Yeah looking good down there.  Steady snow extends all the way back to near KC.  You're starting to look like a lock for a 6"er down there. LAF making 6"ers look easy the past several years.