DAFF Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If it is going to be cold outside lets keep the glacier, at least you can still have fun outside doing winter stuff. There is no enjoyment with cold and brown period. As for spring like weather after April 17th bring it and keep it coming. Till then a mixed bag of weather can always be expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I hope so too, preserving glacier isn't exciting and all it does is push back the nicer weather of spring. I can already foresee this spring being doggy doodie because of the amount of ice on the Lakes. Warm front after warm front stalled from ORD to CLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I can already foresee this spring being doggy doodie because of the amount of ice on the Lakes. Warm front after warm front stalled from ORD to CLE.Besides the more synoptic/mesoscale factors, the LR indices aren't exactly favouring warmth either... not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I can already foresee this spring being doggy doodie because of the amount of ice on the Lakes. Warm front after warm front stalled from ORD to CLE. That's fine, better chase visual in Indiana anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If it is going to be cold outside lets keep the glacier, at least you can still have fun outside doing winter stuff. There is no enjoyment with cold and brown period. As for spring like weather after April 17th bring it and keep it coming. Till then a mixed bag of weather can always be expected.thats the main reason I want to keep it too lol, but id be lying if i didnt admit I was eying another consecutive snowcover streak on the heals of last year. See if we can get two years in a row for among the longest stretches of continuous snowcover in record. January 5 was the start date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GFS now showing some decent continuity with the "refresher" snows this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GFS looks good for LAF - a good 6-8" of overrunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GFS looks good for LAF - a good 6-8" of overrunning. Only problem is surface temps get a bit dicey for a time...but nice slug of precip for sure. 0z Ukie was sorta interesting with a death band a couple of counties to our south. Anyways, still a ways out. I trust no models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Only problem is surface temps get a bit dicey for a time...but nice slug of precip for sure. 0z Ukie was sorta interesting with a death band a couple of counties to our south. Anyways, still a ways out. I trust no models. Really no organized low pressure with this thing. I would think that if we can keep 850 mb temps a few degrees below 0C with steady precip, as the GFS suggests, it would probably be good enough. But we'll see. Plenty of time for something to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Really no organized low pressure with this thing. I would think that if we can keep 850 mb temps a few degrees below 0C with steady precip, as the GFS suggests, it would probably be good enough. But we'll see. Plenty of time for something to change. Right, 850 and 925 temps are solidly cold on the GFS...so I agree. 12z GGEM is even colder, though a bit south. But yes, they always change as it gets closer. I'm not going to sweat the details too much right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Right, 850 and 925 temps are solidly cold on the GFS...so I agree. 12z GGEM is even colder, though a bit south. But yes, they always change as it gets closer. I'm not going to sweat the details too much right now. The way I see it, better pull out something good as we're probably in trouble with the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The way I see it, better pull out something good as we're probably in trouble with the next one. Maybe, with respect to the 2nd one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Maybe, with respect to the 2nd one. Rare is the time when you're more optimistic than me. I'm not locking anything in for that one yet...that would be dumb. But just not feeling it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Rare is the time when you're more optimistic than me. I'm not locking anything in for that one yet...that would be dumb. But just not feeling it. Optimistic would be a stretch. Trust me, I'm not even thinking all snow for us with that one...but a mixed bag of something might be on the table. I guess my feeling is I don't see a torching cutter over the QC or ORD. Not with this one anyway. Eh, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 If it isn't a torch cutter, that is because the blocking is breaking down to fast and the pattern is shearing out. wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 wtf It's best not to respond....you only encourage him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 2.5" final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rdahlem Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'm convinced I'm not going to get a big snowfall in the upper Ohio Valley. Our best chance at that was last week and we got a heavy 5" with some freezing rain mixed in at the end. It was a fun storm to track though.Our snowpack is rapidly melting due to the sun angle, we even made it to freezing today. If this one misses or gets warm, I'm ready to torch so I can get out the golf clubs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 18z GFS fairly consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 0z NAM loving STL-LAF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 00z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 00z GFS gfs.gif GFS intractable with its swath of snow. Very little swaying run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 GFS intractable with its swath of snow. Very little swaying run to run. best run in a few runs and it bumped north some as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 00z GGEM still south of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I guess it's yet another storm missing south, what's new in the news? Next storm middle of next week will probably be a miss just north lol. If that happens, I'll be lighting up the complaint thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 I guess it's yet another storm missing south, what's new in the news? Next storm middle of next week will probably be a miss just north lol. If that happens, I'll be lighting up the complaint thread. Where this should of been. storm is still 84hrs out and you're already writing it off as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Where this should of been. storm is still 84hrs out and you're already writing it off as usual I'm not completely ruling it out, but 80-90% chance this is a non-event. Alek's prediction for this (2.5" of snow) is pretty much the threshold for an 'event' for me. Would be thrilled with 3-4" of snow with this one, then move on to what looks like a bigger storm potential Tuesday or Wednesday. If this was seven years ago, with NW trend and all, I sure wouldn't be writing this off, but only the major February 1st storm had a notable NW trend with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Should be locked and loaded locally now that I have my WisconsinWX downplay for the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Euro similar to the GFS with a nice hit from Quincy, through LAF and into northern Ohio. Northern IL and southern MI do decently as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 00z GFS gfs.gif Maybe I'll add to my snowpack before the inevitable slopfest a few days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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