Cold Miser Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Everything gets acclimating snows back to 91. Suspect tomorrow mornings forecasts look a lot different than tonight's BOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 21z SREFS look similar to 15z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Oh nammy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 0z NAM will tick west again, nothing stopping this trend but time is against us Trough digs a little deeper vs. 18z Advisory snows to Clinch at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 0z NAM will tick west again, nothing stopping this trend but time is against us Trough digs a little deeper vs. 18z Advisory snows to Clinch at least advisories are up here already....looks like 2-4 now, maybe 3-6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 0.3" qpf contour shifted from channel up to about Clinch... tossing us crumbs but at least trend has not stopped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Not only does northstream dig better, the energy off the Carolinas develops closer west too... another 48 hours of these ticks and we'd have a full phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 0.3" qpf contour shifted from channel up to about Clinch... tossing us crumbs but at least trend has not stopped FOUS has 0.21 for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 That's a pretty decent bust of lift that goes through eastern areas on the NAM. Good soundings too so I'd guess pretty decent ratios. That's probably advisory into BOS on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 That's a pretty decent bust of lift that goes through eastern areas on the NAM. Good soundings too so I'd guess pretty decent ratios. That's probably advisory into BOS on that run. It's getting closer WIll. It's about a 1-2 hour change each one of these runs. We're still 3-4 hours too late for a really good smack. Bottom drops out at 36 hours as the storm races by, little earlier who knows. All the signs are there of a pretty intense band of snow extending up into SNE by about 10 or 11 tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Just keep stacking em eastern folks. Piles and piles of chips at the table, when you're running hot and the deck is smacking you in the face, never fold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 It's getting closer WIll. It's about a 1-2 hour change each one of these runs. We're still 3-4 hours too late for a really good smack. Bottom drops out at 36 hours as the storm races by, little earlier who knows. All the signs are there of a pretty intense band of snow extending up into SNE by about 10 or 11 tomorrow night. I like the inverted troughts that are straight north/south like this one is early on...that really tends to maximize the land/ocean convergence...I'd expect a pretty heavy band of snow at some point around BOS assuming this doesn't trend back east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 I like the inverted troughts that are straight north/south like this one is early on...that really tends to maximize the land/ocean convergence...I'd expect a pretty heavy band of snow at some point around BOS assuming this doesn't trend back east. They always seem to produce better in SNE than their horizontal cousins. THis will be a nasty band, let's hope it makes contact over land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I like the inverted troughts that are straight north/south like this one is early on...that really tends to maximize the land/ocean convergence...I'd expect a pretty heavy band of snow at some point around BOS assuming this doesn't trend back east. Seems like the upshot of this is a CJ....don't see much making into interior e MA. At least Boston will continue the '96 charge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 any more ticks west and this could surprise for eastern sections. strong area of low lvl convergence with a little pva + mid lvl moisture being entrained from the south as the s/w backs the flow. looks like we will be doing some nowcasting tmrw evening / night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Would feel much more confident about BOS breaking the all time records is this ends up being a 2-3" for the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 any more ticks west and this could surprise for eastern sections. strong area of low lvl convergence with a little pva + mid lvl moisture being entrained from the south as the s/w backs the flow. looks like we will be doing some nowcasting tmrw evening / night! I would agree, there should be an intial band I think sometime between midnight and 4 am that drops a quick 2-3" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Would feel much more confident about BOS breaking the all time records is this ends up being a 2-3" for the city. I think you have it, no prob. Hopefully it gives the city a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I think you have it, no prob. Hopefully it gives the city a few. Hoping so. 12z GEFS mean looked better than 18z, but not sure how much weight ensemble has within 48 hs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 0z RGEM is another tic west of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 0z RGEM is another tic west of 18ztic toc tic toc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 That's a good bump west on the RGEM, mixing gets to Chatham now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 0z RGEM is another tic west of 18z I only have it thru hour 12. Is it a tick west for All or just Mid coast Maine edit clinch leatherdaddy spelled it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 That's a good bump west on the RGEM, mixing gets to Chatham now.shhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I only have it thru hour 12. Is it a tick west for All or just Mid coast Maine edit clinch leatherdaddy spelled it out For all Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 can someone post the RGEM, I don't want to wait for my link to update it, (in like 20 mins) edit ...got it http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/rgem/2015022400/rgem_asnow_neus_12.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 tic toc tic toc Yup, 0z GFS as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 Wait for the Euro and GFS, but this is probably advisory Boston to Providence too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 can someone post the RGEM, I don't want to wait for my link to update it, (in like 20 mins) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 West is best.Not getting too excited back this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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