Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Like 70's? We've seen these warmups get squashed before the last 40 days. Hopefully the case again Not that you asked ...but nothing would surprise me anymore. The Military now has ray guns -- Seriously, I could see a huge 7-10 day balm stretch obliterate the snow pack and convert the deep boreal countryside into a quagmire of mud and black flies, only to refreeze it all during the March 23-April 3rd, 10-D mini nuke winter. After which...yeah, the calendar finally takes over ... only before the great limb- bender bomb on the 25th of April. The only thing consistent about the "result climate" over the last 10 years suggests that screwball results should come to fruition... Let's get 2.5 X a seasonal snow norm in 23 days ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Like 70's? We've seen these warmups get squashed before the last 40 days. Hopefully the case again No, not that warm but it would probably suggest at least 1-2 days well into the 50s...we're talking like 13-14 days out though, but for an ensemble mean at that time range, it was really warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I could do a St Patty's Day torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Me too....getting tired of freezing my hiney off. I think the snow mealt in itself will br interesting;specifically, how long we still have something otg and whether we can get past mid-April with a few weenie piles around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Me too....getting tired of freezing my hiney off. I think the snow mealt in itself will br interesting;specifically, how long we still have something otg and whether we can get past mid-April with a few weenie piles around. Well who knows what will happen, but of all days.....might as well. Not that I'll repeat my college days lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 The only thing consistent about the "result climate" over the last 10 years suggests that screwball results should come to fruition ... It has been extreme, question is wether the period is a blip on radar or new normal ,hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 3/10-3/17 looks like a muted warm up, 35-40. More cold loads after it. Not excited. Snowpack through early April ? GFS is hinting at confluence and potential Arctic high nosing in during said mild period (3/10-3/17) and effectively canning it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Morch next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 If there were another 2 panels on that Euro for 252 and 264 hours, look away, that would be a severe ice storm for NYC through SNE. 25-30 at the surface and 40 degrees just aloft. Perfect ice storm set up. Better not be right. I am sure you see this warm up followed by more complications at 250-270 hours. Wonder what the red taggers would opinionate on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Morch next week? Sell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Sell We are warming up. Time to accept. Might not last as long as GFS has, but it's gonna warm up for at least a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 We are warming up. Time to accept. Might not last as long as GFS has, but it's gonna warm up for at least a day. Noyes has highs in the 30's thru day 10..no 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Noyes has highs in the 30's thru day 10..no 40's LOL, Good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Might have to watch to see of that clipper digs deep enough for some lighter snows on Sunday. After the milder weather, we may get cold again with perhaps a chance of something at this time..but models are all over the place as to when it gets colder again. EC ensembles are still rather mild. Edit: After the milder weather...meaning after next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Might have to watch to see of that clipper digs deep enough for some lighter snows on Sunday. After the milder weather, we may get cold again with perhaps a chance of something at this time..but models are all over the place as to when it gets colder again. EC ensembles are still rather mild. Euro drops some light QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 GEFS want no part of anything near 50 get colder by the 19th again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 GEFS want no part of anything near 50 get colder by the 19th again GEFS are probably easily in the 50s next Wednesday. 546 thicknesses ahead of fropa....Tippy tan napes galore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 But the 11-15 day is all over the place. Good luck energy mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Gibbs texted and said Flood threat 11-17 and 57 BDL ST. Patty Day My response was : Sell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Gibbs texted and said Flood threat 11-17 and 57 BDL ST. Patty Day My response was : Sell Erin Go Bra-less? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Erin Go Bra-less?lolWon't be flood threat to with no rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 meat in that pack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 meat in that pack Indeed. 4.74" of liquid here in the pack here as of yesterday - we added another 0.64" last night too. Most inland areas of SNE now over 5" of liquid on the ground which is a bit concerning for early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 meat in that pack Only way there's flooding issues is with big rainers..which don't look like they are in cards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Only way there's flocking issues is with big raiders..which don't look like they are in cards Well... if we make it to 3/15 with 5" of liquid still locked away regionwide that's trouble. And who's to say a rainy cutter in mid-March won't happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Only way there's flocking issues is with big raiders..which don't look like they are in cards Auto-correct FTL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Auto-correct FTL? Ugh..lol That was like a MPM post from his flip phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2015 Author Share Posted March 4, 2015 Well... if we make it to 3/15 with 5" of liquid still locked away regionwide that's trouble. And who's to say a rainy cutter in mid-March won't happen? If we make it thru the muted mild up later next week with no cutter..the pattern turns cold and stormy again after the 19th..so that might exacerbate things a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Auto-correct FTL? Problems with the sheep in the pasture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 If we make it thru the muted mild up later next week with no cutter..the pattern turns cold and stormy again after the 19th..so that might exacerbate things a bit Well once you're around 3/20 even a cold and stormy pattern is going to mean a lot of melting in SNE. Climo will rule the day. The longer we prolong 5"+ of liquid locked into the pack the higher the threat is for a rapid meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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