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March Into Not A Morch Pattern Discussion


Damage In Tolland

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And again...I really don't put a lot of stock in op/ens 2m temps 2 weeks out. We know they'll be too cold on those fair wx days for max temps.

agree totally, just throwing it out there, then again if a big snowstorm pops up hey could be too warm on a radiator night. at any rate its a continuation of below normal for the rest of the month, how cold it gets will be the question.

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agree totally, just throwing it out there, then again if a big snowstorm pops up hey could be too warm on a radiator night. at any rate its a continuation of below normal for the rest of the month, how cold it gets will be the question.

I agree it looks damn cold overall. But the next 2 weeks will have to be insanely cold to pull off a March record.

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Finally some solutions that look like a "reasonable" fit for the tele's..

 

Looks like a transitory pattern evolving after tomorrow's near miss.  This presently could be the coldest air mass we see again until late next Autumn/winter.  The EPO and WPO (NP Pac) looks slightly negative ... but for all intents and purposes, not enough so to over-comes a strongly rising NAO, and a falling PNA out in time.  

 

Such that less full latitude W. N/A ridging (albeit not none..) would suggest alternating between seasonal cool and mild days.  

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Yeah...pretty impressive airmass. Especially for the non-radiators. Maybe our most impressive March one since 07?

wish we had a big storm to go with it like then. Last year had a cold one? Not a warm fuzzy spring like turn expected at all, a moderation day then the deep trough returns, nothing springlike for a while it appears

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