CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 The brief warmup post-weekend looks more robust than last week to me but it doesn't really change the general thinking of a pretty cool/stormy look for much of the 2nd half of the month. Yeah that snuck in, but I do recall a run or two showing something like that. I think the 00z ensembles on the 5th showed a brief warm up...but I mean overall this week hasn't shown any surprises. And yeah...after later next week...looks pretty good for some last minute chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Yeah that snuck in, but I do recall a run or two showing something like that. I think the 00z ensembles on the 5th showed a brief warm up...but I mean overall this week hasn't shown any surprises. And yeah...after later next week...looks pretty good for some last minute chances. I hope we get another plowable event or two. As impressive as that three week stretch was, these last four weeks have been every bit as dissapointing. Just rotting snowpack as I've watched whiff, after whiff. Seems as though the best winters of late never fail to crawl out the door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 You handling things ok? I think him and Logan11 are cuddling in a corner somewhere. I go back and forth. As much as I enjoy the deep snow in March...keeping my son busy with all this snow has been a challenge. Our daycare lady broke her shoulder falling on ice so it's been a scramble since last week to plug people in to watch him. Between that, the awful commutes and lots of indoor play...it's losing its appeal real quick. Of course I'll always enjoy a late season storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 But not always... There are seasons of yore that conquered seasonal averages as late as the ides of April. In 1956, there was winter that was rather banal as far as sensible winter production; until March. Some three or four 12" coastal juggernauts took that season above average (correct me if I am wrong Jerry -- this was told to me by Harv). 1956 was classic for late winter rescue. At our NNJ home we had 24" on 3/18-19 then a 12" birch bender in April. March 1956 was BDL's snowiest month (43" in a 76" winter) until Jan 2011 smashed the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 You handling things ok?Really excited about the last 12-14 days of the month and early April yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Really excited about the last 12-14 days of the month and early April yes Yikes. Climo really makes the last 2 weeks of March and early April tough south of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 Yikes. Climo really makes the last 2 weeks of March and early April tough south of the Pike.Really really excited about things. Very positive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Yikes. Climo really makes the last 2 weeks of March and early April tough south of the Pike. GC to the ORH hills and here in interior ne MA can still do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 Interesting read here. Goes with our thinking of pack intact into April. He also doesn't factor in more snow fall Dave Epstein @growingwisdom 1h 1 hour ago Milder Air Will Melt More Snow This Week, But We Are Still Weeks Away From Bare Ground http://fw.to/ksHQpAG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Interesting read here. Goes with our thinking of pack intact into April. He also doesn't factor in more snow fall Dave Epstein @growingwisdom 1h 1 hour ago Milder Air Will Melt More Snow This Week, But We Are Still Weeks Away From Bare Ground http://fw.to/ksHQpAG LC has had a pretty good winter, and is on board with our equinox thoughts. Deal with it. Best regards, RS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 LC has had a pretty good winter, and is on board with our equinox thoughts. Deal with it. Best regards, RS. No I won't deal with it. I'm not going to deal with anything. -SCHWARTZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 Sammy says YES I AMSam Lillo @splillo 7m 7 minutes ago Model agreement on redeveloping large blocking ridge from Alaska northward. Hey New England, enjoy another month of winter storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 Get ready One of the greatest AO plunges into negative territory that you are going to see from such a high level. ao.sprd2.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 No I won't deal with it. I'm not going to deal with anything. -SCHWARTZ That incited one of Will's only three meltdowns on record. 1)LC denying the pattern change in 2/'07 2)The EURO people being data nazis circa the winter of 2009. 3)The final nail in the coffin of a very frustrating 2010 season, as he missed 30" of snow by about .2C...just lost as it as the 32.0000000001 style rain was pouring down. He's due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 That incited one of Will's only three meltdowns on record. 1)LC denying the pattern change in 2/06 2)The EURO people being data nazis 3)The final nail in the coffin of a very frustrating 2010 season, as he missed 30" of snow by about .2C...just lost as it as the 32.0000000001 style rain was pouring down. LOL..he doesn't have many..but when he has them..he makes sure they are unforgettable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Get ready Last time we saw that the blizzard happened. Been on an incline ever since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Sammy says YES I AM Sam Lillo @splillo 7m 7 minutes ago Model agreement on redeveloping large blocking ridge from Alaska northward. Hey New England, enjoy another month of winter storms. More EPO dependent this go around....PNA not as robust. Spells gradient to me....and perhaps more transient cold shots. They won't penentrate as deeply south, nor for as extended of a duration. Fine by me after having Groton to DC jack for a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Tick tock tick tock ... ENERGY AND ASSOCIATED INLAND GULFMOISTURE SURGE INTERACTION WITH MORE UNCERTAIN NRN STREAM ENERGYDIGGING INTO THE N-CENTRAL TO NERN US HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND.THE EXTENT OF ERODING OF AMBIENT SURFACE COLD AIR ACROSS THEMIDWEST AND DAMMED TO THE EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS REMAINS TRICKYIN THIS LATE WINTER/EARLY SPRING CROSSOVER PATTERN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 I wonder if there are just as many tweets from people not seeing things the same way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Tippy hates snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Tippy hates snow No... I hate subjective wish-casting ... and particularly, efforts to locate anything resembling one's bias, and then push THAT as though it were the only indicators.. Christ, some of you would have Fox News envious - And what makes it worse is when a winter storm then happens by dumb stupid luck, and it enables the spin doctors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 No... I hate subjective wish-casting ... and particularly, efforts to locate anything resembling one's bias, and then push THAT as though it were the only indicators.. Christ, some of you would have Fox News envious - And what makes it worse is when a winter storm then happens by dumb stupid luck, and it enables the spin doctors. In fairness the post from ncep you posted is talking about mar 14-15 threat...not the same as the tweets talking about a major EPO dive beyond that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Interesting read here. Goes with our thinking of pack intact into April. He also doesn't factor in more snow fall Dave Epstein @growingwisdom 1h 1 hour ago Milder Air Will Melt More Snow This Week, But We Are Still Weeks Away From Bare Ground http://fw.to/ksHQpAG I tried telling you this for 15 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Last time we saw that the blizzard happened. Been on an incline ever since. last time we saw that big a drop....March 56 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 In fairness the post from ncep you posted is talking about mar 14-15 threat...not the same as the tweets talking about a major EPO dive beyond that time frame.there's a disconnect. Nice strat warming to go along with what everyone in the Met field thinks is coming for the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 9, 2015 Author Share Posted March 9, 2015 I tried telling you this for 15 yearsWhat? I've been saying pack intact past April 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 Tick tock tick tock ... ENERGY AND ASSOCIATED INLAND GULF MOISTURE SURGE INTERACTION WITH MORE UNCERTAIN NRN STREAM ENERGY DIGGING INTO THE N-CENTRAL TO NERN US HEADING INTO THIS WEEKEND. THE EXTENT OF ERODING OF AMBIENT SURFACE COLD AIR ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND DAMMED TO THE EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS REMAINS TRICKY IN THIS LATE WINTER/EARLY SPRING CROSSOVER PATTERN. We're good here through the first week of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 In fairness the post from ncep you posted is talking about mar 14-15 threat...not the same as the tweets talking about a major EPO dive beyond that time frame. I'm not speaking to specific threats ... I'm talking about the general attitude and modis operendi that goes on around here. But that aside ... that's why I suggested for folks to really consider that weekend onward time frame as have two events... I see it at least as possible that the wet or white shallow wave type deal exits, lulls, then if the GFS is onto something, something reinvigorated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 No... I hate subjective wish-casting ... and particularly, efforts to locate anything resembling one's bias, and then push THAT as though it were the only indicators.. Christ, some of you would have Fox News envious - And what makes it worse is when a winter storm then happens by dumb stupid luck, and it enables the spin doctors. best post of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9, 2015 Share Posted March 9, 2015 best post of the dayplease link the subjective wish casts in this thread TIA.All I see are multiple Mets and reliable ones at that indicating through viable indicators that the pattern turns winter like around the 17th. Nobody wishcasting some body is however in denial Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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