Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 This is truly disheartening. Tips sun just destroys The first week of March looks stormy with some cold around @growingwisdom: Here's an idea how fast snow melts next month. Worcester lost 30 inches even in a very cold March w/6" new. 1969 http://t.co/uSmGebH2p1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Mid march has the sun angle of 10/1. Retention is not possible without a lot of snow out of the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Mid march has the sun angle of 10/1. Retention is not possible without a lot of snow out of the sky. Need both a lot of snow and a lot of cloudy days. The fabled March 2001 succeeded in that for N ORH county into CNE. The pack increased by 1-2 feet from Mar 1 to Apr 1. Really hard to do that....well 1997 did it too, but for a different reason, lol...2-3 feet fell on 3/31-4/1...but 2001 did it on multiple events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 This is truly disheartening. Tips sun just destroys The first week of March looks stormy with some cold around @growingwisdom: Here's an idea how fast snow melts next month. Worcester lost 30 inches even in a very cold March w/6" new. 1969 http://t.co/uSmGebH2p1 Which is why without a NIce fat Ridge or a -NAO I am not Thrilled about the pattern going forward and i haven't hidden that bc in late season it is more about big bombs for me than early to middle season, however...there are reasons to be optimistic or biased toward optimism lol Long story short , I'm left hoping for -EPO to stick around longer than progged as well as the -PNA to be not overly so, perhaps so that we can maintain the cold and cash in on a record (and my natural gas long position) and so that my NNE Spring skiing remain robust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 Well hopefully it's cloudy everyday then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Definitely some potential early next week. Even if the first wave is messy, there might even be a follow up wave. The models backed off a bit on the -PNA last night too..but that seems to be a wax and wane on models at times. Definitely not a boring pattern with various warm and cold SWFEs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 This is truly disheartening. Tips sun just destroys The first week of March looks stormy with some cold around @growingwisdom: Here's an idea how fast snow melts next month. Worcester lost 30 inches even in a very cold March w/6" new. 1969 http://t.co/uSmGebH2p1 Seasons being seasons. Tune up the mower, place your Lesco order. My Deere started right up yesterday. It sits in our unheated outbuilding. Would that my truck would start. I hate having to jump that damn thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 Cfs says year without a spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 -EPO continues to win @antmasiello: At least 2 more massive Alaskan breakers in next 10 days will keep the Arctic Air coming and spring delayed for much of the CONUS. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Cfs says year without a spring That is still like Highs in the low to mid 30s by mid March. Not that brutal just below average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 GEFS cooled a bit in the 11-15 day on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Good tics last 24 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 That is still like Highs in the low to mid 30s by mid March. Not that brutal just below average.Well I hope you as a trained met weren't expecting this brutal cold to continue in March. It just isn't possible with sun angle. But temps in the 30's in March are below to much BN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 February is running a tad bit colder than -7C below normal for the month. The same type of departure for March would feel balmy because of increased sun angle. It's all relative Kevin. Edit: Last year's March ran about -3-4C below normal so if the CFS is right and we run double that for negative departures than the highs of last year's March will be much lower so there is your comparison right there. So instead of upper teens and low 20s for highs in Feb sun we get upper 20s to low 30s, maybe ticking to mid 30s after the Solstice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 lets get temps in the 60's with high dews and 5 inches of rain and bring an epic end with sig flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 lets get temps in the 60's with high dews and 5 inches of rain and bring an epic end with sig flooding If you are looking into buying a new home sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 not in a flood zone lol i would feel really bad for the people that are but in a sick way i would like to see it just to experience it If you are looking into buying a new home sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 not in a flood zone lol i would feel really bad for the people that are but in a sick way i would like to see it just to experience it If you're not in a flood zone you'll never experience it until you lose your home LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Need both a lot of snow and a lot of cloudy days. The fabled March 2001 succeeded in that for N ORH county into CNE. The pack increased by 1-2 feet from Mar 1 to Apr 1. Really hard to do that....well 1997 did it too, but for a different reason, lol...2-3 feet fell on 3/31-4/1...but 2001 did it on multiple events. Heck--it's melting on my driveway and rivulets (nothing like yesterday) going down the hill and it's 11.4/-6. The sun will do what the sun does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 doesnt have to be at my house ill drive 5 miles in 2011 after irene i went to check out the flooding in downtown westfield that was a site to see i just like experiencing extremes my brother moed to florida last year and they are due for a hurricane if one is heading there this summer ill be there for sure If you're not in a flood zone you'll never experience it until you lose your home LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 The snow will melt eventually - but if you're looking to see a few more storms bring more snow, seeing the CFS trend colder is probably a good thing. Thats my takeaway, at least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 February is running a tad bit colder than -7C below normal for the month. The same type of departure for March would feel balmy because of increased sun angle. It's all relative Kevin. Edit: Last year's March ran about -3-4C below normal so if the CFS is right and we run double that for negative departures than the highs of last year's March will be much lower so there is your comparison right there. So instead of upper teens and low 20s for highs in Feb sun we get upper 20s to low 30s, maybe ticking to mid 30s after the Solstice. Equinox ... you said Solstice but I think you mean equinox? In any event, march is the end of winter -- that sums it up. Whether it happens in the last week of Feb, or the first week of April from year to year ... this forum irrationally fights it every year. Those that try and be objective about the onset of seasonal change, and even voice interest in warm season type events get the old subversive, under the radar trolling.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 -EPO continues to win @antmasiello: At least 2 more massive Alaskan breakers in next 10 days will keep the Arctic Air coming and spring delayed for much of the CONUS. Sorry. HM has not been buying the pattern breaking down.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Heck--it's melting on my driveway and rivulets (nothing like yesterday) going down the hill and it's 11.4/-6. The sun will do what the sun does. Walking today I was seeing the snow melting in the sun running down the street into shadier spots where it was freezing. Pretty cool to see but a lot of black ice forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 HM has not been buying the pattern breaking down.... It's all relative. The pattern we went through is going away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Current ocean temps suggests coastal peeps are going to have some rough days this spring while inland locales are warm and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 It's all relative. The pattern we went through is going away.I'm glad you said it coastal, reading some other posts, not in the New England forum, but some people are under the impression that there is going to be no change in the pattern at all going into March next week and that the record cold and snow is just going to continue through March. I'm not sure what they are looking at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitinsvilleWX Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Current ocean temps suggests coastal peeps are going to have some rough days this spring while inland locales are warm and sunny. And that's one reason i live in southern woostah county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 This is truly disheartening. Tips sun just destroys The first week of March looks stormy with some cold around @growingwisdom: Here's an idea how fast snow melts next month. Worcester lost 30 inches even in a very cold March w/6" new. 1969 http://t.co/uSmGebH2p1 Nice to pick a year with a late Feb dump of nearly 20" with ratio about 15:1. In 4-5 days that would settle to about half depth during a Jan cold snap. Farmington, Maine lost 44" that same month even with 17" new. (Of course, they had 82" OG on March 1.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 I'm glad you said it coastal, reading some other posts, not in the New England forum, but some people are under the impression that there is going to be no change in the pattern at all going into March next week and that the record cold and snow is just going to continue through March. I'm not sure what they are looking at Well it still could be cold and active here, but the ridge retros west off the west coast, so that is changing. I'm not suggesting warmth or anything. It might get tougher further SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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