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February 23rd & 24th Winter Weather Discussion/OBS


Hvward

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It is still 50F in Hartwell, Georgia with cold air approaching from the northeast and the west.  You have mid 30s 100 miles to the southwest and around 40F in Greenville, 55 miles to the northeast.  Pretty remarkable for no frontal boundaries.

i despise our leeside mountain eddie. It can be one of the most frustrating things ever and it has screwed me out of some good snows in the past. One time in particular a number of years ago it was snowing in every direction...by as few as 15 miles..while it was 38 and pouring rain here. Not a single flake. That was not a good day lol

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i despise our leeside mountain eddie. It can be one of the most frustrating things ever and it has screwed me out of some good snows in the past. One time in particular a number of years ago it was snowing in every direction...by as few as 15 miles..while it was 38 and pouring rain here. Not a single flake. That was not a good day lol

No kidding.....look here at the 925 temps/contours. Ridiculous.

post-1217-0-52392800-1424743625_thumb.jp

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WWA extended to Athens per FFC

 

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
854 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015

.UPDATE...
LOOKING AT THE 18Z RUN OF THE GFS AND NAM BUFR SOUNDINGS...THEY
ARE NO LONGER SHOWING A DEEP WARM LAYER MOVING OVER NORTH GA
TONIGHT. THE MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE NOW INDICATING EITHER A
RAIN/SLEET/SNOW MIX WITH MOST AREAS ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTH
BECOMING ALL SNOW LATE TONIGHT. HAVE ALSO ADDED A ROW OF COUNTIES
TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE ADVISORY AREA TO INCLUDE ATHENS.
WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW EXPECTED OVER WHITFIELD COUNTY...HAVE ADDED
THEM TO THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR TONIGHT. BASED ON LATEST
TEMPERATURE TREND HAVE ALSO LOWERED MINS BY A COUPLE OF
DEGREES...WHICH PUSHES THE FREEZING LINE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH HENCE
ANOTHER REASON FOR ADDING ATHENS INTO THE ADVISORY. HAVE ALSO
ADDED A RAIN/SLEET MIX TO ALL OF NORTH GA THIS EVENING HAS REPORTS
HAVE COME IN ACROSS THE ATL AREA OF RAIN AND SLEET. NO OTHER
CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

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GSP Update

 

2 products issued by NWS for: Greenwood SC

 

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
906 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015

...ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED...

.A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH WILL SPREAD
SNOW INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE UP TO A COUPLE INCHES IN SOME
PLACES.

GAZ029-NCZ510-SCZ007-011-012-019-241015-
/O.EXA.KGSP.WW.Y.0011.150224T0500Z-150224T1700Z/
ELBERT-EASTERN POLK-SPARTANBURG-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELBERTON...SPARTANBURG...ABBEVILLE...
CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...CLINTON...GREENWOOD
906 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
PIEDMONT...SPARTANBURG COUNTY SOUTH CAROLINA...AND POLK COUNTY
NORTH CAROLINA.

* HAZARDS...ACCUMULATING SNOW ON HIGHWAYS THAT WILL CAUSE
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS

* TIMING...AREAS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MIDNIGHT AND
THEN BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...GENERALLY AROUND 1 INCH.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW ON HIGHWAYS

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS FROM THE UPPER 20S..TO AROUND 30.

* WINDS...WINDS LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY.

* VISIBILITY...ONE MILE OR LESS IN THE HEAVIER SNOW AREAS.

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WWA extended to Athens per FFC

 

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA

854 PM EST MON FEB 23 2015

.UPDATE...

LOOKING AT THE 18Z RUN OF THE GFS AND NAM BUFR SOUNDINGS...THEY

ARE NO LONGER SHOWING A DEEP WARM LAYER MOVING OVER NORTH GA

TONIGHT. THE MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE NOW INDICATING EITHER A

RAIN/SLEET/SNOW MIX WITH MOST AREAS ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTH

BECOMING ALL SNOW LATE TONIGHT. HAVE ALSO ADDED A ROW OF COUNTIES

TO THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE ADVISORY AREA TO INCLUDE ATHENS.

WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW EXPECTED OVER WHITFIELD COUNTY...HAVE ADDED

THEM TO THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR TONIGHT. BASED ON LATEST

TEMPERATURE TREND HAVE ALSO LOWERED MINS BY A COUPLE OF

DEGREES...WHICH PUSHES THE FREEZING LINE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH HENCE

ANOTHER REASON FOR ADDING ATHENS INTO THE ADVISORY. HAVE ALSO

ADDED A RAIN/SLEET MIX TO ALL OF NORTH GA THIS EVENING HAS REPORTS

HAVE COME IN ACROSS THE ATL AREA OF RAIN AND SLEET. NO OTHER

CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

 

Somebody call Lookout.   :snowing:  :snowing:  :snowing:  :snowing:  :snowing:

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Just hit 32.0 and it's clear as a whistle. Looking to go down to the lower 20s tonight and then maybe see that dusting to an inch tomorrow. Definitely would not have any issues sticking.   

That looks inline with me here in the CLT area. We are at 35 in Belmont, NC. Hoping we can get some good snow this week. 

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AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LA...CNTRL MS...AND FAR WRN PORTIONS OF CNTRL
AL

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 240142Z - 240445Z

SUMMARY...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OCCUR THROUGH AT
LEAST 04Z. FREEZING RAIN RATES UP TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH/HR
WILL BE LIKELY. HIGHER RATES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SHALLOW CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS ACROSS CNTRL MS.

DISCUSSION...A SWATH OF LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION EVIDENT ON
AREA RADARS AS OF 0130Z IS MOVING EWD ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW/MID-LEVEL LIFT. LATEST SURFACE
ANALYSIS AND OBSERVATIONS INDICATE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO FALL AS
NORTHERLY WINDS BRING COLDER LOW-LEVEL AIR OVER THE REGION...AND
SLEET/LIGHT FREEZING RAIN HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS BAND OF
PRECIPITATION.

THE 00Z SOUNDING FROM JACKSON MS SUPPORTS FREEZING RAIN AS THE
PREDOMINANT P-TYPE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS GIVEN A PRONOUNCED WARM
NOSE ALOFT MAXIMIZED AROUND 850 TO 800 MB...AND A SHALLOW LAYER OF
SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE THE SFC. INDIVIDUAL ELEMENTS
WITHIN THE BROADER PRECIPITATION BAND WILL MOVE FROM NRN LA INTO
CNTRL MS AND FAR WRN PORTIONS OF CNTRL AL AS SFC TEMPERATURES FALL
BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE ERN PORTIONS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA...AND
FREEZING RAIN RATES OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH PER HOUR WILL BE
LIKELY FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RATES MAY BE HIGHER IN SHALLOW
CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS THAT SHOULD MOVE OVER THE JACKSON MS METRO AREA
IN ASSOCIATION WITH A 50+ KT WIND MAXIMUM CENTERED AT 700 MB. BEYOND
04Z...SHORT-TERM MODELS SUGGEST THE CURRENT SWATH OF PRECIPITATION
WILL SHIFT EWD INTO PORTIONS OF SRN/CNTRL AL WHILE WEAKENING...WITH
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/MS BY 06Z.

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i despise our leeside mountain eddie. It can be one of the most frustrating things ever and it has screwed me out of some good snows in the past. One time in particular a number of years ago it was snowing in every direction...by as few as 15 miles..while it was 38 and pouring rain here. Not a single flake. That was not a good day lol

 

I know that all to well growing up in Hartwell.  I lived northwest of Atlanta, where it was always colder, now down to Lexington where it takes an act of congress to get cold air in here.  

 

That being said, I'm not so sure about temps in this area by tomorrow morning.

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