Voyager Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 -9.3 here now. Hoping we can touch -10 before sunrise, because why not. Yeah really. I'm down to -2 now, and while I'm generally done with sub zero cold, I thought the same thing. It was +1 and I was hoping to go below zero, just because... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Yeah really. I'm down to -2 now, and while I'm generally done with sub zero cold, I thought the same thing. It was +1 and I was hoping to go below zero, just because... Made it. -10.2 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Amazing how much colder you often are than my location. Bottomed out at -2.9 here. Am assuming you're nestled down in a low spot somewhere outside of Bellefonte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Amazing how much colder you often are than my location. Bottomed out at -2.9 here. Am assuming you're nestled down in a low spot somewhere outside of Bellefonte. Actually just a couple hundred yards from the courthouse. Being in a valley in a valley makes the whole town a frost hollow, basically. Sometimes 20 degrees lower than UNV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Made it. -10.2 now. but too for me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 great videos guys. love snow squalls..especially when I'm in the mts. Heres hoping the trends today seem to go the right way for once. Voyager,wmpswx and myself all encompass most of the snow hole (as usual), so heres hoping its filled w/ some white fluffy stuff. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 great videos guys. love snow squalls..especially when I'm in the mts. Heres hoping the trends today seem to go the right way for once. Voyager,wmpswx and myself all encompass most of the snow hole (as usual), so heres hoping its filled w/ some white fluffy stuff. Nut how's the trails up north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Car thermo read 0 here a few minutes ago, in the urban heat island of downtown state college Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 You guys should be good for trail riding, we still have about an 8 or 9 inch base here with very little falling other than the squalls. I'd imagine well over a foot of depth up in Tioga and Potter counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 You guys should be good for trail riding, we still have about an 8 or 9 inch base here with very little falling other than the squalls. I'd imagine well over a foot of depth up in Tioga and Potter counties. heard it was getting thin in a few spots on the trails from sled traffic. plus this time of year the sun can do a number on the south facing slopes. I'm really hoping this midweek system trends weaker and colder. I realize a pure snow event for midweek isn't in the cards, I'm just hoping to limit the damage to the snowpack. plus the trailing energy may have some surprises after the cold air comes back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z NAM still looks good for snow in the LSV. The 5 inch line in the LSV runs along the PA turnpike. About 6 inches just to the north of the turnpike in most of Dauphin, Perry and Lebanon counties. York and Lancaster look closer to 4 inches. Voyager, the 12z NAM had ALL of your county covered in 6 inches. The snow hole this run looks to run the I-99 corridor from Altoona to State College up to Williamsport. This area still looks to be around 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 12z NAM still looks good for snow in the LSV. The 5 inch line in the LSV runs along the PA turnpike. About 6 inches just to the north of the turnpike in most of Dauphin, Perry and Lebanon counties. York and Lancaster look closer to 4 inches. Voyager, the 12z NAM had ALL of your county covered in 6 inches. The snow hole this run looks to run the I-99 corridor from Altoona to State College up to Williamsport. This area still looks to be around 3 inches. We just got NAM'ed. Hope it is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 The NAM has been consistent the last few runs. The radar looks good down in Oklahoma and Kansas heading In to Missouri. Lots of moisture heading our way tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I imagine CTP will post advisories for the north and down to the 99 corridor sometime today given their snow map. Temps will probably be a pain here and the timing is certainly not helpful this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 -12 lastnight <-- It can stop now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 -12 lastnight <-- It can stop now The 45 we're currently forecast for on Wednesday will feel like 65 with the way this winter's gone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 CTP calling for 1" snow then about .25" zr then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 LSV looking icy on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 No, loved it. New World Symphony, Dvorak. Yes, Symphony No. 9. One of my favorite pieces of all time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 how's the trails up north? Fantastic last weekend. Home this weekend. Hoping to be back next weekend for last hurrah. How bout you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 It is time for short Range Models and now casting. 12z Hi-Res NAM is similar to regular NAM. It paints 4 to 6 inches across the LSV. Current Dew Point is near 0. Overnight temps are forecast To go back into lower teens and look at the radar in the Midwest now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Thoroughly confused as to why the NWS thinks mixing even up to State College. Just looked at the NAM soundings on Twisterdata for Lewistown (was being conservative and choosing the location to the south and east), and neither of them show any time when any part of the sounding is above freezing. On the NAM, the warmest level is about 900hPa, and it only barely kisses the 0C line for 3-6 hours. On the GFS, the nearest sounding is to the northwest, and the warmest level is at the surface, and again, only just barely kisses the 0C line. The sounding to the east, near Lewisburg, has the warmest level at around 900hPa, but doesn't even reach the 0C line. Only the sounding south of Harrisburg gets above freezing, and is actually a rain sounding down there. And again, the NAM sounding was for near Lewistown. Even the SREF plumes, which notoriously have warm members, suggest by far the biggest chance of all-snow up here. Does the NWS think the models are vastly underdoing the warm air advection aloft? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 The 45 we're currently forecast for on Wednesday will feel like 65 with the way this winter's gone! The way this winter has gone, I wonder if we'll actually see 45. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Fantastic last weekend. Home this weekend. Hoping to be back next weekend for last hurrah. How bout you? we're not up either. we had sled issues last weekend. needed a new stator which sucks big time. but the sled is fixed now. we're just headed out to pick it up then we're headed to Mile Run to test her out. I'm hoping this midweek thing isn't too detrimental to great trails we've had for the last several weeks. I still think that trailing energy needs to be watched carefully. many surprises with that I'm thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Thoroughly confused as to why the NWS thinks mixing even up to State College. Just looked at the NAM soundings on Twisterdata for Lewistown (was being conservative and choosing the location to the south and east), and neither of them show any time when any part of the sounding is above freezing. On the NAM, the warmest level is about 900hPa, and it only barely kisses the 0C line for 3-6 hours. On the GFS, the nearest sounding is to the northwest, and the warmest level is at the surface, and again, only just barely kisses the 0C line. The sounding to the east, near Lewisburg, has the warmest level at around 900hPa, but doesn't even reach the 0C line. Only the sounding south of Harrisburg gets above freezing, and is actually a rain sounding down there. And again, the NAM sounding was for near Lewistown. Does the NWS think the models are vastly underdoing the warm air advection aloft? I like this site: http://vortex.plymouth.edu/grbsnd.html I type in my lon/lat and get the sounding. Neither the NAM or the GFS get above 0c at any layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 NAM and GFS worlds apart for snowfall down in LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 NAM and GFS worlds apart for snowfall down in LSV. As are the NAM and RGEM for a lot of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 From DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Thinking more like 2-4 inches here in State College, all snow. Harrisburg might be 1-3 with a changeover to zr or maybe even rain at some point. But I hope I'm wrong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Region-wide WWA issued Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1214 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015 .MORE SNOW AND ICE HEADED TO CENTRAL PA SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. PAZ006-012-018-019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-011400- /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0018.150301T1200Z-150302T1200Z/ POTTER-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA- BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-SOMERSET-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN- TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON- SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA- PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...RENOVO...PHILIPSBURG... STATE COLLEGE...JOHNSTOWN...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...MOUNT UNION... LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...SOMERSET...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG... CHAMBERSBURG...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO...LAPORTE...LOCK HAVEN... WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY... SHAMOKIN...BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG... HERSHEY...POTTSVILLE...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK... LANCASTER 1214 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS...CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...ENDLESS MOUNTAINS AND MIDDLE SUSQUEHANNA RIVER VALLEY * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...RANGING FROM A LIGHT GLAZE TO BETWEEN ONE AND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND LOWER SUSQUEHANNA RIVER VALLEY. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION SUNDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. ALL PRECIPITATION WILL END IN THE PRE DAWN HOURS MONDAY. * IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL FROM SNOW OR SLUSH COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES. ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND LOWER SUSQUEHANNA RIVER VALLEY WHICH SEE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SNOW ACCUMULATION..UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND WALKWAYS WILL BECOME SLIPPERY DUE TO AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE OR MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO. REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO [email protected]... POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET @NWSSTATECOLLEGE WITH THE HASHTAG C...T...P...W...X. && $$ DEVOIR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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